210 S Martin Luther King · Sweeny, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD Home.CASE #493-853631. SOLD AS-IS. PRICE REDUCED! Bid Period for this home ends 2/14/2010 at midnight.If no offers are accepted, it goest to Daily Bid. SO HURRY! EARNEST MONEY & PROOF OF FUNDS REQUIRED TO BID. Not respon. for changes to Property Condition during listing. Great 4BR/3BA offers a large living & dining room with wood floors, beautiful columns and second bedroom has a private bathroom. SF INFO IS FROM FHA APPRAISAL AND IS DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED
Key facts
- Added privacy
- Not in a flood zone
- Unique setting
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Entry level: first floor
- Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1990; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private yard; Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (15 x 9)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (20 x 14); Bedroom on the first floor (17 x 10); Bedroom on the first floor (11 x 10); Bedroom on the first floor (10 x 10)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Gas cooling
- Interior features: High ceilings; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.7% in Sweeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#306 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sweeny ISD (town): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #480 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sweeny H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 589 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $116k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.55%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.88×
- Total profit
- $111,998
- Equity at exit
- $125,222
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.74×
- Total profit
- $301,411
- Equity at exit
- $270,046
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77480
- Home prices YoY
- 12.0%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,977 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1102 Avenue C Unit C Sweeny, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $1,700 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 303 Yaupon St Sweeny, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $1,850 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 208 Silver Leaf St Sweeny, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1984 | $2,400 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13status $139,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$149,000 Active
-
2010-05-18soldstatus 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
HUD Home.CASE #493-853631. SOLD AS-IS. PRICE REDUCED! Bid Period for this home ends 2/14/2010 at midnight.If no offers are accepted, it goest to Daily Bid. SO HURRY! EARNEST MONEY & PROOF OF FUNDS REQUIRED TO BID. Not respon. for changes to Property Condition during listing. Great 4BR/3BA offers a large living & dining room with wood floors, beautiful columns and second bedroom has a private bathroom. SF INFO IS FROM FHA APPRAISAL AND IS DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED
-
2010-03-03historical 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
HUD Home.CASE #493-853631. SOLD AS-IS. PRICE REDUCED! Bid Period for this home ends 2/14/2010 at midnight.If no offers are accepted, it goest to Daily Bid. SO HURRY! EARNEST MONEY & PROOF OF FUNDS REQUIRED TO BID. Not respon. for changes to Property Condition during listing. Great 4BR/3BA offers a large living & dining room with wood floors, beautiful columns and second bedroom has a private bathroom. SF INFO IS FROM FHA APPRAISAL AND IS DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED
-
2010-01-01$58,500 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
HUD Home.CASE #493-853631. SOLD AS-IS. PRICE REDUCED! Bid Period for this home ends 2/14/2010 at midnight.If no offers are accepted, it goest to Daily Bid. SO HURRY! EARNEST MONEY & PROOF OF FUNDS REQUIRED TO BID. Not respon. for changes to Property Condition during listing. Great 4BR/3BA offers a large living & dining room with wood floors, beautiful columns and second bedroom has a private bathroom. SF INFO IS FROM FHA APPRAISAL AND IS DEEMED RELIABLE BUT NOT GUARANTEED
-
2009-11-09soldstatus $115,669
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,474 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,544 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 2.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,727
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,474
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,898
- − Management
- −$1,898
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $4,933
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,184
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sweeny ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841970
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,607
- Composite
- 31.49/100
- National rank
- #5975
- State rank
- #480 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sweeny
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #6914
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sweeny, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,252
Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,414 people
- By 2030
- 457,585 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 532,232 · +26.6%
- By 2050
- 605,399 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 779,358 · +85.4%
- By 2100
- 883,759 · +110.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 35.27%
- Current HPI
- 328.8657
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+28.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2010-05-18 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2010-03-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2010-01-01 Listed $58,500 HARMLS
- 2009-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $115,669 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,474 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…