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543 Birch St
B Composite 72.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$85,000

543 Birch St · Maud, TX 75567
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1998 0.90 ac lot ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious Singlewide Home on Nearly 1-Acre Double Lot – 543 Birch St. , Maud, TX Welcome to this charming and spacious singlewide manufactured home, perfectly situated on a rare double city lot totaling approximately 0.9 acres in Maud, TX. Offering room for work, play, and entertaining, this home is designed for comfort and versatility. Step inside to an oversized living room that flows into a bright breakfast area and a spacious kitchen featuring ample storage, a convenient butler's area, a refrigerator, electric oven, and a recently replaced dishwasher. The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with the third bedroom currently used as an art and workspace—the sellers will convey 2 freezers with the home. The primary bedroom includes a newer walk-in shower, providing a private retreat. Enjoy the Texas outdoors from the nice covered front porch or the huge covered back porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The detached 2-car carport, fenced yard, 2 storage buildings, and a home for your chickens add practicality and charm to this property. The additional lot offers potential for future development, as it has city services and could be divided. Other features include all-electric utilities, city water and public sewer, central heat and air, and a designated utility room. This property combines space, convenience, and versatility—a true gem for anyone seeking country living with city accessibility.

Key facts

  • Butler's area
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Newer walk-in shower

Tags

DOUBLE CITY LOTOVERSIZED LIVING ROOMBRIGHT BREAKFAST AREASPACIOUS KITCHENBUTLER'S AREANEWER WALK-IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#810 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Maud ISD (rural): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #111 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.62%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$28,711
Equity at exit
$38,220
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
4.21×
Total profit
$76,341
Equity at exit
$58,901

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75567

Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $1,001/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $715
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 121 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 109 DOM
  16. 2026-03-17
    status Pending 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    Spacious Singlewide Home on Nearly 1-Acre Double Lot – 543 Birch St. , Maud, TX Welcome to this charming and spacious singlewide manufactured home, perfectly situated on a rare double city lot totaling approximately 0.9 acres in Maud, TX. Offering room for work, play, and entertaining, this home is designed for comfort and versatility. Step inside to an oversized living room that flows into a bright breakfast area and a spacious kitchen featuring ample storage, a convenient butler's area, a refrigerator, electric oven, and a recently replaced dishwasher. The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with the third bedroom currently used as an art and workspace—the sellers will convey 2 freezers with the home. The primary bedroom includes a newer walk-in shower, providing a private retreat. Enjoy the Texas outdoors from the nice covered front porch or the huge covered back porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The detached 2-car carport, fenced yard, 2 storage buildings, and a home for your chickens add practicality and charm to this property. The additional lot offers potential for future development, as it has city services and could be divided. Other features include all-electric utilities, city water and public sewer, central heat and air, and a designated utility room. This property combines space, convenience, and versatility—a true gem for anyone seeking country living with city accessibility.

  17. 2026-02-11
    listed $85,000 Active 1445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1445 chars)

    Spacious Singlewide Home on Nearly 1-Acre Double Lot – 543 Birch St. , Maud, TX Welcome to this charming and spacious singlewide manufactured home, perfectly situated on a rare double city lot totaling approximately 0.9 acres in Maud, TX. Offering room for work, play, and entertaining, this home is designed for comfort and versatility. Step inside to an oversized living room that flows into a bright breakfast area and a spacious kitchen featuring ample storage, a convenient butler's area, a refrigerator, electric oven, and a recently replaced dishwasher. The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with the third bedroom currently used as an art and workspace—the sellers will convey 2 freezers with the home. The primary bedroom includes a newer walk-in shower, providing a private retreat. Enjoy the Texas outdoors from the nice covered front porch or the huge covered back porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The detached 2-car carport, fenced yard, 2 storage buildings, and a home for your chickens add practicality and charm to this property. The additional lot offers potential for future development, as it has city services and could be divided. Other features include all-electric utilities, city water and public sewer, central heat and air, and a designated utility room. This property combines space, convenience, and versatility—a true gem for anyone seeking country living with city accessibility.

  18. 2026-02-05
    listed $85,000 New Listing 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    Spacious Singlewide Home on Nearly 1-Acre Double Lot – 543 Birch St. , Maud, TX Welcome to this charming and spacious singlewide manufactured home, perfectly situated on a rare double city lot totaling approximately 0.9 acres in Maud, TX. Offering room for work, play, and entertaining, this home is designed for comfort and versatility. Step inside to an oversized living room that flows into a bright breakfast area and a spacious kitchen featuring ample storage, a convenient butler’s area, a refrigerator, electric oven, and a recently replaced dishwasher. The home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, with the third bedroom currently used as an art and workspace—the sellers will convey 2 freezers with the home. The primary bedroom includes a newer walk-in shower, providing a private retreat. Enjoy the Texas outdoors from the nice covered front porch or the huge covered back porch, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The detached 2-car carport, fenced yard, 2 storage buildings, and a home for your chickens add practicality and charm to this property.

  19. 2025-10-25
    price $95,000
  20. 2025-10-08
    price $100,000
  21. 2025-08-26
    price $108,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,001 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,556 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$554/yr (+$46/mo · 55.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,981
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,001
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,038
− Management
−$1,038
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,244
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$539
After-tax cash flow
$2,941/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Maud ISD
NCES district ID
4829460
Math proficiency
54% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$43,953
Composite
46.76/100
National rank
#2392
State rank
#111 of 826 in TX

Livability — Maud

Score
64/100
State rank
#810
US rank
#14739

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Maud, TX
Population (ZIP)
3,762

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Pending TBOR
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $85,000 TBOR
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-10-25 Price Changed $95,000 TBOR
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $100,000 TBOR
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $108,000 TBOR

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,001 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…