4098 Parkway · Orchard Lake Village, MI 48328

$74,000

1 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1946 0.28 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

LSSD

Key facts

• 0.28 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1946

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
• Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.4% in Orchard Lake Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#465 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Waterford School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #285 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $74,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.79%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.05%
• DSCR: 1.71
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $240,576
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1071 Pelham Blvd	0.61mi	2/1.5 (+1)	1,317 (-2%)	6mo	$130,000	$99	56
1004 Parkway	0.50mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,226 (-9%)	14mo	$210,000	$171	45
1024 Parkway	0.48mi	2/2.0 (+1)	1,226 (-9%)	21mo	$220,000	$179	40
1065 Olson Ave	0.56mi	2/1.0 (+1)	1,262 (-6%)	22mo	$226,000	$179	37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $5,724
• Equity at exit: $11,034

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.35×
• Total profit: $27,986
• Equity at exit: $6,398

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48328

• Active inventory: 144
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,105 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$388
• Tax from tax record: −$177 /mo · $2,120/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$232
• Net cashflow: $277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754

Max offer price $74,000

Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,500
• Closing costs: $2,220
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3530 Denise Ct Waterford Twp, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	1004	$1,005	$1.00	24d	15	0.74mi
3530 Denise Ct Waterford Twp, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	890	$1,230	$1.38	2d	15	0.74mi
5278 Rosamond Ln Waterford Twp, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	988	$1,095	$1.11	2d	16	1.45mi
5689 Cooley Village Dr Waterford Twp, MI	2.0	1.5	1100	$1,250	$1.14	44d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2025-05-06
   historical 4-char remark

   Show marketing remark (4 chars)

   LSSD

2. 2025-05-06
   historical

   Show marketing remark (4 chars)

   LSSD

3. 2025-05-02
   listed $74,000 4-char remark

   Show marketing remark (4 chars)

   LSSD

4. 2025-05-02
   listed $74,000

   Show marketing remark (4 chars)

   LSSD

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,120 · $177/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,120 · $177/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,255
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,145
• − Property taxes: −$2,120
• − Insurance: −$370
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,060
• − Management: −$1,060
• − Depreciation: −$2,153
• Taxable income: $2,347
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$563
• After-tax cash flow: $2,762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Waterford School District
• NCES district ID: 2635310
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $55,581
• Composite: 29.99/100
• National rank: #6364
• State rank: #285 of 540 in MI

Livability — Orchard Lake Village

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #465
• US rank: #13055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
• City population: 17,043
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 24,478
• Household income: $72,299
• Rent vs Own: 33.3% rent · 66.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1013.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,335,747 people
• By 2030: 1,375,100 · +2.9%
• By 2040: 1,435,385 · +7.5%
• By 2050: 1,469,250 · +10.0%
• By 2075: 1,531,946 · +14.7%
• By 2100: 1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

• 2024 margin: D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -249.13%
• Current HPI: 191.2771
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-05-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2025-05-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-05-02 Listed $74,000 REALCOMP
• 2025-05-02 Listed $74,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,120 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.