505 27th Ave · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ideal starter home featuring 3BR and 1BA. Major updates include a newer roof, updated windows, a new furnace, and new central air for year-round comfort. Enjoy affordable utilities and low taxes, making this a smart and budget-friendly choice for homeownership. Delayed possession.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Newer roof
- Updated windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($565/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Altoona Area Jr Hs (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 1,727 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.85%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,340
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 502 27th Ave | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-4%) | 11mo | $85,000 | $89 | 84 |
| 508 26th Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 949 (-5%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $148 | 74 |
| 117 E 25th Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (+1%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $144 | 73 |
| 1220-1224 28th Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 986 (-1%) | 9mo | $129,900 | $132 | 70 |
| 1206 22nd Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (+0%) | 13mo | $149,900 | $150 | 68 |
| 118 23rd Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+6%) | 11mo | $97,900 | $93 | 63 |
| 1013 16th Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 995 (0%) | 6mo | $18,000 | $18 | 59 |
| 227 22nd Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (+13%) | 14mo | $83,000 | $74 | 49 |
| 315-323 E 23rd Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (-8%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $192 | 44 |
| 130 E 25th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+15%) | 14mo | $129,900 | $114 | 42 |
| 207 Spruce Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,108 (+11%) | 7mo | $78,000 | $70 | 39 |
| 2802 Elm St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,118 (+12%) | 12mo | $171,000 | $153 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-14,640
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-8,798
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16601
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,025 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,746/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $47
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $109 | -5% $78 | +0% $47 | +5% $16 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-34 | -5% $7 | +0% $47 | +5% $88 | +10% $128 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $75 | base $47 | +0.5pp $19 | +1.0pp $-10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 200 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 212 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 45d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 300 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 400 College Park Dr Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $975 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2708 Wehnwood Rd Altoona, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 960 | $967 | $1.01 | 45d | 5 | 0.96mi |
| 315 10th St Unit Rear- 1st Fl Altoona, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-11status Pending 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Ideal starter home featuring 3BR and 1BA. Major updates include a newer roof, updated windows, a new furnace, and new central air for year-round comfort. Enjoy affordable utilities and low taxes, making this a smart and budget-friendly choice for homeownership. Delayed possession.
-
2026-03-11status Pending
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Ideal starter home featuring 3BR and 1BA. Major updates include a newer roof, updated windows, a new furnace, and new central air for year-round comfort. Enjoy affordable utilities and low taxes, making this a smart and budget-friendly choice for homeownership. Delayed possession.
-
2026-02-28$109,000 Active
-
2026-02-27$109,000 Active 281-char remark
Show marketing remark (281 chars)
Ideal starter home featuring 3BR and 1BA. Major updates include a newer roof, updated windows, a new furnace, and new central air for year-round comfort. Enjoy affordable utilities and low taxes, making this a smart and budget-friendly choice for homeownership. Delayed possession.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,746 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,746 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,746
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$984
- − Management
- −$984
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$1,237
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,515
- Household income
- $58,070
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 715.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.97%
- Current HPI
- 183.9907
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-28 Listed $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $109,000 AHARMLS
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,746 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…