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2130 N Park Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 73.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$81,500

2130 N Park Ave · Springfield, MO 65803
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1920 7,405 sqft lot $103/sqft · 27% below area Est $112k · 27% under ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment, Rental Income. Cozy house with 792 sqft, which offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, 1 carport. The kitchen has plenty of cabinets and storage space. kitchen appliances: dishwasher, refrigerator, and gas cook stove. This house has natural gas heat and window air conditioning units. There is extra storage in the backyard with a storage shed. Enjoy the fenced yard. Schedule your showing!! This is tenant-occupied. $500 monthly, long-time renter.

Key facts

  • Kitchen appliances
  • Fenced yard
  • Natural gas heat

Tags

FENCED YARDSTORAGE SHEDNATURAL GAS HEATKITCHEN APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $81,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$111,558) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($967 rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $563 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,165 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.20%
Cash-on-cash
13.95%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,558
List price
$81,500
Delta
-26.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2042 N Marion Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 780 (-2%) 6mo $149,900 $192 84
2100 N Park Ave 0.06mi 2/1.0 728 (-8%) 1mo $99,900 $137 83
2105 N Elizabeth Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 830 (+5%) 2mo $98,500 $119 80
2111 N Grace Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 836 (+6%) 5mo $39,900 $48 80
2237 N Park Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 720 (-9%) 3mo $99,900 $139 77
2111 N Elizabeth Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 845 (+7%) 4mo $80,000 $95 75
2306 N Fay Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 748 (-6%) 3mo $136,500 $182 70
1925 W Atlantic St 0.31mi 2/1.0 728 (-8%) 3mo $100,000 $137 70
2135 N Roosevelt Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 870 (+10%) 5mo $112,000 $129 66
2333 N Farmer Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 768 (-3%) 8mo $69,900 $91 65
2234 N Fay Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 867 (+10%) 3mo $129,900 $150 65
2219 N Nettleton Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 816 (+3%) 8mo $110,000 $135 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$4,883
Equity at exit
$12,152
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$31,042
Equity at exit
$7,047

Cash invested: $22,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65803

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
394
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$967 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$427
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $446/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $631
Max offer price $81,500
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,375
Closing costs
$2,445
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2115 N Grace Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 0.14mi
2224 N Clifton Ave Unit 2238-A Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 756 $695 $0.92 13d 1 0.34mi
2117 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 43d 1 0.37mi
2126 N Lexington Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 990 $895 $0.90 13d 1 0.40mi
2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $925 $1.05 43d 1 0.89mi
3031 W Pacific St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,295 $1.28 21d 1 1.03mi
1406 W Calhoun St Unit B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 885 $865 $0.98 23d 1 1.22mi
3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1059 $1,350 $1.27 43d 1 1.24mi
1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 648 $895 $1.38 23d 1 1.28mi
2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 619 $795 $1.28 43d 1 1.34mi
916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 573 $595 $1.04 43d 1 1.39mi
2601 N Cresthaven Ave Springfield, MO 4.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,340 $1.33 13d 16 1.41mi
740 N West Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 23d 1 1.41mi
741 N West Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 43d 1 1.42mi
922 N Glenn Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,100 $1.41 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $81,500 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $81,500 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $81,500 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $81,500 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $81,500 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $81,500 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $81,500 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $81,500 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $81,500 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $81,500 Active 76 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $81,500 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $81,500 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $81,500 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-03-18
    listed $81,500 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Investment, Rental Income. Cozy house with 792 sqft, which offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, 1 carport. The kitchen has plenty of cabinets and storage space. kitchen appliances: dishwasher, refrigerator, and gas cook stove. This house has natural gas heat and window air conditioning units. There is extra storage in the backyard with a storage shed. Enjoy the fenced yard. Schedule your showing!! This is tenant-occupied. $500 monthly, long-time renter.

  15. 2026-02-12
    price $81,500
  16. 2026-01-21
    price $89,900
  17. 2025-12-09
    listed $99,000 Active
  18. 2025-08-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$446 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$791 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$345/yr (+$29/mo · 77.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,601
− Mortgage interest
−$4,565
− Property taxes
−$446
− Insurance
−$408
− Repairs & maintenance
−$928
− Management
−$928
− Depreciation
−$2,371
Taxable income
$1,956
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$469
After-tax cash flow
$2,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
42,882
Household income
$50,572
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1305.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.08%
Current HPI
205.0439
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $81,500 SOMO
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $81,500 SOMO
  • 2026-01-21 Price Changed $89,900 SOMO
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $99,000 SOMO
  • 2025-08-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $446 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…