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8 Howell St
B- Composite 69.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$239,000

8 Howell St · Walton, NY 13856
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,719 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1890 0.25 ac lot $139/sqft · 87% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Village of Walton. .. .. MOVE IN READY. .. .. Take a look at this very well maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home that sits in the Village of Walton. Updated kitchen, dining room, living room. Full, dry basement and walk up attic. Enjoy time in your hot tub that sits in an enclosed room with plenty of ventilation or sit out on your back trex deck or sit out front on your covered rocking chair porch. Roof was done in 2022 and comes with a transferable 50 year warranty. Blacktop driveway was done in 2022 and this home comes with a detached garage as well. Walking distance to downtown shopping, restaurants, parks, schools and more!

Key facts

  • Walk up attic
  • Hot tub
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENFULL DRY BASEMENTWALK UP ATTICHOT TUBENCLOSED ROOMBACK TREX DECK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $621 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $239k).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 7.8% in Walton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#443 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walton Central School District (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #510 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • Delaware County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $224,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.13%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,683
List price
$239,000
Delta
87.18%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26 Saint John St 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,688 (-2%) 9mo $225,000 $133 80
9 & 11 New St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,584 (-8%) 3mo $225,000 $142 70
6 Howell St 0.01mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,964 (+14%) 11mo $110,000 $56 60
21 Liberty St 0.22mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,885 (+10%) 12mo $237,500 $126 59
91 North St 0.50mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,736 (+1%) 15mo $125,000 $72 57
58 1/2 High St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,810 (+5%) 1mo $230,000 $127 56
47 Shepard St 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,764 (+3%) 23mo $181,500 $103 52
49 North St 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,560 (-9%) 10mo $180,000 $115 52
85 Saint John St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,750 (+2%) 21mo $210,000 $120 49
0.72mi 3/1.0 1,700 (-1%) 16mo $110,000 $65 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$105,635
Equity at exit
$147,146
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
5.19×
Total profit
$280,603
Equity at exit
$264,207

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13856

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,821 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$255 /mo · $3,065/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$593
Net cashflow
$621

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,036
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $239,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-04-06
    listed $249,900 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Village of Walton. .. .. MOVE IN READY. .. .. Take a look at this very well maintained 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home that sits in the Village of Walton. Updated kitchen, dining room, living room. Full, dry basement and walk up attic. Enjoy time in your hot tub that sits in an enclosed room with plenty of ventilation or sit out on your back trex deck or sit out front on your covered rocking chair porch. Roof was done in 2022 and comes with a transferable 50 year warranty. Blacktop driveway was done in 2022 and this home comes with a detached garage as well. Walking distance to downtown shopping, restaurants, parks, schools and more!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,065 · $255/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,552 · $296/mo
Expected delta
+$487/yr (+$41/mo · 15.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,858
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$3,065
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,709
− Management
−$2,709
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable income
$3,840
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$922
After-tax cash flow
$6,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton Central School District
NCES district ID
3629820
Math proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,231
Composite
34.86/100
National rank
#5088
State rank
#510 of 590 in NY

Livability — Walton

Score
70/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#7789

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Walton, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,915

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,668 people
By 2030
40,337 · -5.5%
By 2040
35,514 · -16.8%
By 2050
31,265 · -26.7%
By 2075
24,455 · -42.7%
By 2100
19,529 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
R (+19.8) · D 40.1% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.2pp · 2024: -19.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.8 2020: R+18.4 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+5.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.79%
Current HPI
331.9799
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $249,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,065 · -9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…