🏷️ Likely Rental
8513 Westchester Dr · Douglasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
No HOA! Great three bedroom townhome, move-in ready with backyard. Be close to 1-20, grocery stores, and restaurants. Electric stove and lots of storage in spacious kitchen, newer LVP floors, and new paint. Investment opportunity. Tenant occupied. Please do not disturb the tenant. There are 4 units for sale and can be sold as a bundle deal. Inquire with listing agent.
Key facts
- Newer lvp floors
- Lots of storage
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community contains 32 units
Exterior
- Parking: Two total parking spaces; Driveway; Parking pad; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Two levels; Brick front; Resale property; Fee simple ownership; Accessible entrance; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick front construction
- Exterior features: Private yard; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Cabinets with stain finish; Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Three upstairs bedrooms; Bedroom features: Other
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (main level); Master bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Thermostat (energy efficient feature)
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Insulated windows; 2+ common walls; Family room; Separate dining room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in hall on main level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
- Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Chestnut Log Middle School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #333 of 470 statewide, top 72%, 726 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 53% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 299 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $150k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.03%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,516
- List price
- $149,500
- Delta
- -30.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8538 Westchester Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,334 (+11%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $120 | 62 |
| 8678 Ashley Way | 0.46mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,110 (-8%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $122 | 61 |
| 8691 Ashley Way | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 2mo | $152,300 | $117 | 54 |
| 8676 Ashley Way | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,110 (-8%) | 7mo | $66,000 | $59 | 53 |
| 8692 Ashley Way | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+8%) | 7mo | $56,000 | $43 | 50 |
| 8694 Ashley Way | 0.49mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,364 (+14%) | 7mo | $57,000 | $42 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-9,069
- Equity at exit
- $22,291
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,033
- Equity at exit
- $12,926
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30134
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 299
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,698 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $400 | -5% $357 | +0% $315 | +5% $273 | +10% $230 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $181 | -5% $248 | +0% $315 | +5% $382 | +10% $449 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $390 | -0.5pp $353 | base $315 | +0.5pp $276 | +1.0pp $237 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6363 Melrose St Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,665 | $1.76 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8753 Bowden St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,300 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9018 Stoneleigh Trce Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,600 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6765 W Strickland St Unit B Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8040 Colquitt St Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,295 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6297 Redcliff Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,789 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,187 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1675 Dogwood Trl Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,740 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4839 Lehigh Dr Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,500 | $3.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7797 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $2,099 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4642 Elmhurst Dr Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8288 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,510 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7029 Branch Crossing Way Douglasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $160,000 395-char remark
-
2026-04-28price $160,000 395-char remark
-
2026-03-03price $173,900 395-char remark
-
2026-03-03price $173,900 395-char remark
-
2025-12-04$165,000 New 395-char remark
-
2025-12-04$165,000 Active 395-char remark
-
2025-04-09historical $1,395
-
2025-03-28price $1,395
-
2025-02-04$1,550
-
2025-02-04historical $1,550
-
2025-02-04$1,550
-
2020-06-11soldstatus $77,600
-
2020-06-08soldstatus $77,580 Sold
-
2020-05-29status Under Contract
-
2020-05-23status Back on Market
-
2020-05-18status Under Contract
-
2020-02-10status Back on Market
-
2020-02-07status Under Contract
-
2020-01-31$95,000 New
-
2015-07-31price $40,500
-
2015-07-17price $40,500
-
2015-07-15soldstatus $40,500 Sold
-
2015-07-15price $50,000
-
2015-07-15soldstatus $40,500 Sold
-
2015-06-26status Under Contract
-
2015-06-26historical Pending
-
2015-06-26price $50,000
-
2015-05-11$50,000 New
-
2015-05-11$50,000 Active
-
2014-10-03historical
-
2014-09-22$60,000 New
-
1988-06-23soldstatus $46,900
-
1981-06-29soldstatus $240,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,164 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,164 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,379
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$2,164
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,630
- − Management
- −$1,630
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable income
- $1,484
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$356
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Douglas County
- NCES district ID
- 1301860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,335
- Composite
- 25.84/100
- National rank
- #7353
- State rank
- #92 of 174 in GA
Livability — Douglasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #6971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Douglasville, GA
- County
- Douglas County · 141,416 people
- City population
- 114,380
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,580
- Household income
- $76,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1339.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,022 people
- By 2030
- 173,956 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 196,859 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 220,017 · +35.0%
- By 2075
- 279,831 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 322,702 · +97.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.36%
- Current HPI
- 243.9426
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
-37.8% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $149,500 GAMLS
- 2026-06-16 Listed $149,500 FMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $149,500 GAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $160,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $173,900 GAMLS
- 2025-12-04 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
- 2025-04-09 Rental Removed $1,395 GAMLS
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $1,395 GAMLS
- 2025-02-04 Listed for Rent $1,550 GAMLS
- 2025-02-04 Rental Removed $1,550 FMLS
- 2025-02-04 Listed for Rent $1,550 FMLS
- 2020-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $77,600 Public Records
- 2020-06-08 Sold (MLS) $77,580 GAMLS
- 2020-05-29 Pending — GAMLS
- 2020-05-23 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2020-05-18 Pending — GAMLS
- 2020-02-10 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2020-02-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2020-01-31 Listed $95,000 GAMLS
- 2015-07-31 Price Changed $40,500 GAMLS
- 2015-07-17 Price Changed $40,500 FMLS
- 2015-07-15 Sold (MLS) $40,500 GAMLS
- 2015-07-15 Sold (MLS) $40,500 FMLS
- 2015-07-15 Price Changed $50,000 FMLS
- 2015-06-26 Pending — GAMLS
- 2015-06-26 Contingent — FMLS
- 2015-06-26 Price Changed $50,000 GAMLS
- 2015-05-11 Listed $50,000 GAMLS
- 2015-05-11 Listed $50,000 FMLS
- 2014-10-03 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2014-09-22 Listed $60,000 GAMLS
- 1988-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $46,900 Public Records
- 1981-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $240,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,164 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…