🏷️ Likely Rental
241 14th St · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$525,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfect for investor or someone in a 1031 Exchange. Tenant occupied - see remarks below. Or, Make it Yours! Tenant occupied - see remarks below. This condo is an excellent opportunity. This delightful, remodeled open floor plan layout with 2 bed, 1 bath, is located in the heart of San Francisco's vibrant Mission District. 241 14th Street offers immediate access to one of the city's most culturally rich and walkable neighborhoods. Enjoy a dynamic mix of acclaimed restaurants, cafs, local shops, colorful street murals, and everyday conveniences just steps away. The area blends historic character with modern urban energy, making it one of San Francisco's most desirable residential communities. This remodeled unit features a kitchen with granite counters and stainless steel appliances. Lovely wood flooring adds to the refined beauty of this condo. Access the deck off the living room where one can relax and spend quality time on the deck, reading or doing a little work in an outdoor setting. Southern facing yard. Exceptional public transportation options are nearby, including multiple Muni bus lines along Mission Street, convenient access to BART at 16th Street Mission and 24th Street Mission stations, providing fast connections to Downtown San Francisco, the East Bay, and regional destinations. With extensive transit options and a highly walkable setting, commuting throughout the city is easy and efficient. Informal HOA - expenses are paid quarterly. Pay when the invoices arrive! HOA dues approximately $432/month. * HOA dues are estimated from 2025 data. Currently tenant occupied.
Key facts
- Open plan living
- Period architecture
- In unit laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $525k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $499k (4.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $462k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.5%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,992/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 2666% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.09%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $674,248
- List price
- $525,000
- Delta
- -22.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.96% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $178,160
- Equity at exit
- $296,315
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.91×
- Total profit
- $574,830
- Equity at exit
- $510,414
Cash invested: $147,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94103
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Rents YoY
- 15.5%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,992 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,753
- Tax from tax record
- −$333 /mo · $4,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$219
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$137
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,048
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $799 | -5% $650 | +0% $501 | +5% $353 | +10% $204 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $107 | -5% $304 | +0% $501 | +5% $699 | +10% $896 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $766 | -0.5pp $635 | base $501 | +0.5pp $365 | +1.0pp $227 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $131,250
- Closing costs
- $15,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1801 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 446 | $10,000 | $22.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1600 15th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $6,066 | $6.52 | 0d | 6 | 0.10mi |
| 270 Valencia St #205 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $3,800 | $7.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 429 14th St #1621 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $3,440 | $6.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 68 McCoppin St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $3,825 | $5.21 | 18d | 2 | 0.31mi |
| 1699 Market St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $4,871 | $8.68 | 0d | 7 | 0.35mi |
| 30 Otis St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $10,000 | $11.44 | 0d | 15 | 0.37mi |
| 1 Brady St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $7,373 | $8.29 | 0d | 26 | 0.39mi |
| 200 Buchanan St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $9,680 | $9.53 | 0d | 10 | 0.50mi |
| 799 S Van Ness Ave San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,800 | $5.43 | 0d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2315 Mission St Unit 106 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $2,995 | $6.66 | 9d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2315 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $2,995 | $6.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 225 Fell St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 512 | $4,495 | $8.77 | 9d | 3 | 0.57mi |
| 8 10th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 919 | $8,790 | $9.56 | 0d | 26 | 0.57mi |
| 325 Octavia St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $7,563 | $9.33 | 0d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 100 Van Ness Ave #1477 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $7,990 | $9.24 | 0d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 1288 Howard St #1908 San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 782 | $6,710 | $8.58 | 3d | 2 | 0.61mi |
| 1 Polk St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $4,482 | $5.79 | 0d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 1288 Howard St #604 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 431 | $3,400 | $7.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 150 Van Ness Ave #1475 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $5,510 | $8.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1390 Market St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $4,067 | $7.25 | 0d | 13 | 0.63mi |
| 55 9th St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $5,625 | $6.75 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1222 Harrison St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 853 | $6,346 | $7.44 | 0d | 33 | 0.65mi |
| 101 Polk St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 573 | $4,628 | $8.07 | 0d | 7 | 0.67mi |
| 1190 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 508 | $3,342 | $6.57 | 0d | 5 | 0.76mi |
| 530 Grove St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $3,895 | $6.49 | 9d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 33 8th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $6,708 | $10.38 | 0d | 10 | 0.76mi |
| 1177 Market St San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 562 | $5,532 | $9.83 | 0d | 8 | 0.78mi |
| 99 Rausch St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $4,250 | $6.49 | 26d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1188 Mission St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 448 | $3,333 | $7.43 | 0d | 17 | 0.79mi |
| 975 Bryant St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 697 | $6,304 | $9.04 | 0d | 10 | 0.80mi |
| 291 15th St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,695 | $4.90 | 26d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1 Henry Adams St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 873 | $5,646 | $6.46 | 0d | 3 | 0.84mi |
| 855 Brannan St San Francisco, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $5,633 | $5.88 | 0d | 5 | 0.85mi |
| 603 Natoma St Apt 406 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 556 | $2,950 | $5.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 35 Hill St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $3,500 | $5.19 | 9d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 940 Guerrero St Unit 06 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $4,295 | $8.26 | 26d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 940 Guerrero St Unit 02 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $4,295 | $7.81 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 901 Fell St Apt 17 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,000 | $4.00 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 451 Kansas St #375 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 661 | $4,350 | $6.58 | 20d | 1 | 0.90mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $525,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $525,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $525,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $525,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $525,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $525,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $525,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $525,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $525,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $525,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $525,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $525,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $525,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $525,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $525,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $525,000 1603-char remark
Show marketing remark (1603 chars)
Perfect for investor or someone in a 1031 Exchange. Tenant occupied - see remarks below. Or, Make it Yours! Tenant occupied - see remarks below. This condo is an excellent opportunity. This delightful, remodeled open floor plan layout with 2 bed, 1 bath, is located in the heart of San Francisco's vibrant Mission District. 241 14th Street offers immediate access to one of the city's most culturally rich and walkable neighborhoods. Enjoy a dynamic mix of acclaimed restaurants, cafs, local shops, colorful street murals, and everyday conveniences just steps away. The area blends historic character with modern urban energy, making it one of San Francisco's most desirable residential communities. This remodeled unit features a kitchen with granite counters and stainless steel appliances. Lovely wood flooring adds to the refined beauty of this condo. Access the deck off the living room where one can relax and spend quality time on the deck, reading or doing a little work in an outdoor setting. Southern facing yard. Exceptional public transportation options are nearby, including multiple Muni bus lines along Mission Street, convenient access to BART at 16th Street Mission and 24th Street Mission stations, providing fast connections to Downtown San Francisco, the East Bay, and regional destinations. With extensive transit options and a highly walkable setting, commuting throughout the city is easy and efficient. Informal HOA - expenses are paid quarterly. Pay when the invoices arrive! HOA dues approximately $432/month. * HOA dues are estimated from 2025 data. Currently tenant occupied.
-
2026-03-13price $549,000 1603-char remark
Show marketing remark (1603 chars)
Perfect for investor or someone in a 1031 Exchange. Tenant occupied - see remarks below. Or, Make it Yours! Tenant occupied - see remarks below. This condo is an excellent opportunity. This delightful, remodeled open floor plan layout with 2 bed, 1 bath, is located in the heart of San Francisco's vibrant Mission District. 241 14th Street offers immediate access to one of the city's most culturally rich and walkable neighborhoods. Enjoy a dynamic mix of acclaimed restaurants, cafs, local shops, colorful street murals, and everyday conveniences just steps away. The area blends historic character with modern urban energy, making it one of San Francisco's most desirable residential communities. This remodeled unit features a kitchen with granite counters and stainless steel appliances. Lovely wood flooring adds to the refined beauty of this condo. Access the deck off the living room where one can relax and spend quality time on the deck, reading or doing a little work in an outdoor setting. Southern facing yard. Exceptional public transportation options are nearby, including multiple Muni bus lines along Mission Street, convenient access to BART at 16th Street Mission and 24th Street Mission stations, providing fast connections to Downtown San Francisco, the East Bay, and regional destinations. With extensive transit options and a highly walkable setting, commuting throughout the city is easy and efficient. Informal HOA - expenses are paid quarterly. Pay when the invoices arrive! HOA dues approximately $432/month. * HOA dues are estimated from 2025 data. Currently tenant occupied.
-
2026-01-12$575,000 Active 1603-char remark
Show marketing remark (1603 chars)
Perfect for investor or someone in a 1031 Exchange. Tenant occupied - see remarks below. Or, Make it Yours! Tenant occupied - see remarks below. This condo is an excellent opportunity. This delightful, remodeled open floor plan layout with 2 bed, 1 bath, is located in the heart of San Francisco's vibrant Mission District. 241 14th Street offers immediate access to one of the city's most culturally rich and walkable neighborhoods. Enjoy a dynamic mix of acclaimed restaurants, cafs, local shops, colorful street murals, and everyday conveniences just steps away. The area blends historic character with modern urban energy, making it one of San Francisco's most desirable residential communities. This remodeled unit features a kitchen with granite counters and stainless steel appliances. Lovely wood flooring adds to the refined beauty of this condo. Access the deck off the living room where one can relax and spend quality time on the deck, reading or doing a little work in an outdoor setting. Southern facing yard. Exceptional public transportation options are nearby, including multiple Muni bus lines along Mission Street, convenient access to BART at 16th Street Mission and 24th Street Mission stations, providing fast connections to Downtown San Francisco, the East Bay, and regional destinations. With extensive transit options and a highly walkable setting, commuting throughout the city is easy and efficient. Informal HOA - expenses are paid quarterly. Pay when the invoices arrive! HOA dues approximately $432/month. * HOA dues are estimated from 2025 data. Currently tenant occupied.
-
2023-12-26historical $2,975
-
2023-11-10$2,975
-
2023-10-26price $670,000
-
2023-09-22price $680,000
-
2023-03-01status Active
-
2023-03-01historical
-
2022-10-12$698,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,002 · $333/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,002 · $333/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $59,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,408
- − Property taxes
- −$4,002
- − Insurance
- −$2,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,792
- − Management
- −$4,792
- − HOA
- −$1,644
- − Depreciation
- −$15,273
- Taxable loss
- −$2,631
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$631
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,648/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,964
- Household income
- $116,438
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2666.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Asian 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 16% Chinese 9% Tagalog/Filipino 6%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.96%
- Current HPI
- 175.4945
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.50%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-24.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $525,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $549,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $575,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2023-12-26 Rental Removed $2,975 APPFOLIO
- 2023-11-10 Listed for Rent $2,975 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-26 Price Changed $670,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2023-09-22 Price Changed $680,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2023-03-01 Relisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2023-03-01 Delisted — San Francisco MLS
- 2022-10-12 Listed $698,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,002 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…