🏗️ New Construction
None · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$238,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
Key facts
- $120 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2026
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Home warranty provided; Zoned PUD; Lot roughly 20x90 (about 0.05 acres); Permit number 2026-16; Builder license CRC
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Priority Community Management; Monthly HOA fee $120 (includes none); Association enforces fence restrictions; Community features: community mailbox, deed restrictions, sidewalks, street lights; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car, approximately 10x20) with driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Cable available; Water connected
- Home design: Attached townhouse; Two levels; Under construction (projected completion May 31, 2026); North-facing
- Construction: Cement siding, frame, and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; New construction; Built by Dream Finders Homes (Julington model)
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Cleared lot; Asphalt road; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full baths, 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $239k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (8.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Jefferson Elementary (math 60% / reading 55%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 446 students, 57% FRL); Jean Ribault Middle School (math 28% / reading 24%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 679 students, 78% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.99%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,645
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9146 Tender Ln | 0.08mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,395 (0%) | 1mo | $210,490 | $151 | 90 |
| 9173 Tender Ln | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,395 (0%) | 2mo | $209,990 | $151 | 89 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-25,504
- Equity at exit
- $31,408
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-13,114
- Equity at exit
- $18,213
Cash invested: $58,981 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32222
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$263 /mo · $3,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$120
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $147
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $292 | -5% $220 | +0% $147 | +5% $74 | +10% $1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-25 | -5% $61 | +0% $147 | +5% $233 | +10% $319 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $200 | base $147 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,661
- Closing costs
- $6,319
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9113 Red Bird Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2106 | $2,468 | $1.17 | 3d | 2 | 0.17mi |
| 4001 Haymon Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1502 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 19d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3980 Bay Hawk Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1492 | $1,695 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 9008 Gifford Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1202 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $120 · $1,440/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $238,990 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $238,990 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $238,990 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $238,990 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $238,990 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $238,990 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $238,990 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $237,490 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $237,490 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $237,490 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $237,490 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $237,490 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $237,990 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-04-14price $237,990 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-03-24price $237,490 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-03-20price $237,490 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-03-20price $237,490
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-02-23status Active 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-02-23historical 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-02-17$236,990 Active
-
2026-02-04price $236,990 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-02-03$237,792 Active 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
-
2026-01-29$236,990 Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,166
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,799
- − Property taxes
- −$3,160
- − Insurance
- −$1,053
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,093
- − Management
- −$2,093
- − HOA
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$6,128
- Taxable loss
- −$1,601
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$384
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,146/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This townhouse is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a spacious layout and is move-in ready.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
- Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the overall aesthetic and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the overall aesthetic and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,258
- Household income
- $85,649
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 666.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.56%
- Current HPI
- 257.6466
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.62%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+0.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $237,990 realMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $237,990 Zillow
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $237,490 Zillow
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $237,490 realMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $237,490 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-23 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-17 Listed $236,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $236,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-03 Listed $237,792 Zillow
- 2026-01-29 Listed $236,990 realMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…