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None 🏗️ New Construction
C- Composite 51.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$238,990

None · Jacksonville, FL 32222
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,395 sqft · Townhouse · 124 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 1,890 sqft lot $120/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

Key facts

  • $120 HOA
  • Garage
  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home warranty provided; Zoned PUD; Lot roughly 20x90 (about 0.05 acres); Permit number 2026-16; Builder license CRC
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by Priority Community Management; Monthly HOA fee $120 (includes none); Association enforces fence restrictions; Community features: community mailbox, deed restrictions, sidewalks, street lights; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car, approximately 10x20) with driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Underground utilities; Cable available; Water connected
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; Two levels; Under construction (projected completion May 31, 2026); North-facing
  • Construction: Cement siding, frame, and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; New construction; Built by Dream Finders Homes (Julington model)
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Cleared lot; Asphalt road; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full baths, 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $238,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $210,645.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $239k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (3.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (8.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Thomas Jefferson Elementary (math 60% / reading 55%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 446 students, 57% FRL); Jean Ribault Middle School (math 28% / reading 24%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 679 students, 78% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,311 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
2.99%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,645
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9146 Tender Ln 0.08mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,395 (0%) 1mo $210,490 $151 90
9173 Tender Ln 0.09mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,395 (0%) 2mo $209,990 $151 89

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-25,504
Equity at exit
$31,408
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-13,114
Equity at exit
$18,213

Cash invested: $58,981 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32222

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,180 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,105
Tax est. 1.5%
$263 /mo · $3,160/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$120
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,995
Max offer price $210,645
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $292 -5% $220 +0% $147 +5% $74 +10% $1
Rent -10% $-25 -5% $61 +0% $147 +5% $233 +10% $319
Rate -1.0pp $253 -0.5pp $200 base $147 +0.5pp $92 +1.0pp $37

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,661
Closing costs
$6,319
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9113 Red Bird Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0–5.0 2.0–3.0 2106 $2,468 $1.17 3d 2 0.17mi
4001 Haymon Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1502 $2,400 $1.60 19d 1 0.18mi
3980 Bay Hawk Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1492 $1,695 $1.14 13d 1 0.20mi
9008 Gifford Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.5 1202 $1,650 $1.37 25d 1 0.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$120 · $1,440/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $238,990 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $238,990 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $238,990 Active 120 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $238,990 Active 119 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $238,990 Active 118 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $238,990 Active 112 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $238,990 Active 111 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $237,490 Active 110 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,490 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $237,490 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $237,490 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,490 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-04-15
    price $237,990 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  14. 2026-04-14
    price $237,990 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  15. 2026-03-24
    price $237,490 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  16. 2026-03-20
    price $237,490 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  17. 2026-03-20
    price $237,490
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  18. 2026-02-23
    status Active 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  19. 2026-02-23
    historical 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  20. 2026-02-17
    listed $236,990 Active
  21. 2026-02-04
    price $236,990 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  22. 2026-02-03
    listed $237,792 Active 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. * Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

  23. 2026-01-29
    listed $236,990 Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    The Julington is a spacious two-story exterior unit townhome offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Featuring a 1-car garage, 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 baths, this thoughtfully designed home has all bedrooms located upstairs for added privacy. The primary suite includes a well-appointed bath with dual sinks for added functionality. Downstairs, enjoy an open-concept layout with a welcoming great room and a kitchen that includes a pantry for ample storage. This townhome is ideal for modern living with a smart layout that maximizes space and style. *Sample photos represent the floor plan, and are not of the actual home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,166
− Mortgage interest
−$11,799
− Property taxes
−$3,160
− Insurance
−$1,053
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,093
− Management
−$2,093
− HOA
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$6,128
Taxable loss
−$1,601
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$384
After-tax cash flow
$2,146/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This townhouse is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a spacious layout and is move-in ready.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the overall aesthetic and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
  • Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Enhances the overall aesthetic and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,258
Household income
$85,649
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
666.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 39% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.56%
Current HPI
257.6466
Rent YoY
▲ 2.62%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $237,990 realMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $237,990 Zillow
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $237,490 Zillow
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $237,490 realMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $237,490 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-23 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $236,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $236,990 Zillow
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $237,792 Zillow
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $236,990 realMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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