10B Yorkshire Ct · Leisure Village West, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you're looking for an ACTIVE adult community, look no further. Home is being sold ''as is'' and is located on a quiet dead end street surrounded by walking paths. This home is a blank slate for the new homeowners to make their own. Home offers 2 BR, 1 1/2 baths, enclosed front porch, Luxury vinyl flooring throughout the main part of the home. Windows have been replaced. In addition to numerous clubs and activities, LVW also offers 2 Clubhouses, 2 pools, golf course, Tennis Courts, Pickle Ball, Bocci, Shuffle Board and is located close to shopping, restaurants, the Jersey Shore and Atlantic City. Motivated seller can accommodate a quick closing.
Key facts
- Replaced windows
- Two clubhouses
- Walking paths
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Leisure Vlg W; Located in Ocean County
- HOA & community: Leisure Village West HOA; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include exercise room, pool, golf course, clubhouse, common areas, jogging path, bocci; Association fee covers trash, lawn maintenance, pool, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium ownership; Model: Baronet
- Construction: Living area approximately 1050; Model name: Baronet
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Property is attached (condominium)
Interior
- Kitchen: Counter top range; Wall oven; Microwave; Stove hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds/shades; Garage door opener; Sunroom
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.8% in Leisure Village West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#261 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Manchester Township School District (suburban): math 25% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #320 of 472 in NJ (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 648 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $200k implies a 382% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.50%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-12,817
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $14,795
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08759
- Active inventory
- 648
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$404
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43C Edinburgh Ln Manchester, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $2,200 | $2.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 73 Buckingham Dr N Manchester, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $2,200 | $2.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1425 Amsterdam Ave Toms River, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $3,500 | $2.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1540 Birmingham Ave Toms River, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,900 | $2.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 150 Farm Rd Manchester, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $3,000 | $2.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 501 Bismarck St Toms River, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,775 | $2.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2556 Woodland Rd Manchester, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $3,500 | $2.48 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $404 · $4,848/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 656-char remark
-
2026-06-08$200,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,513 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,746 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,234/yr (+$103/mo · 49.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,513
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,490
- − Management
- −$2,490
- − HOA
- −$4,848
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $763
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,459/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manchester Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,905
- Composite
- 28.8/100
- National rank
- #6662
- State rank
- #320 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Leisure Village West
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #261
- US rank
- #7714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leisure Village West, NJ
- City population
- 34,290
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,290
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -347.85%
- Current HPI
- 274.4679
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+568.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $200,000 MOMLS
- 1993-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
- 1993-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,513 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…