33 Second St · Deposit, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This house has great potential. The Dining area was just updated. The 2nd floors has partial updated floors. There's a community Park near by. A grocery store just a 1/2 mile away. The School is . 9 miles away. Great fishing at the Delaware River which is only 1 mile away. There are two great raised gardens out back, with a great play area. There are two parcels with this property. The vacant land is 31 Second St. , with a tax map # of 187.18-4-20, and the house is on 33 Second St. , with a tax map # of 187.18-4-19.
Key facts
- Play area
- Updated dining area
- Two parcels
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.8% in Deposit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#616 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Deposit Central School District (rural): math 58% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #417 of 755 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.89%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,525
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -18.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $54,127
- Equity at exit
- $81,085
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.01×
- Total profit
- $145,933
- Equity at exit
- $146,548
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13754
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,446 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,652/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-07$129,900 Active 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
This house has great potential. The Dining area was just updated. The 2nd floors has partial updated floors. There's a community Park near by. A grocery store just a 1/2 mile away. The School is . 9 miles away. Great fishing at the Delaware River which is only 1 mile away. There are two great raised gardens out back, with a great play area. There are two parcels with this property. The vacant land is 31 Second St. , with a tax map # of 187.18-4-20, and the house is on 33 Second St. , with a tax map # of 187.18-4-19.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,652 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,924 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$271/yr (+$23/mo · 16.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,652
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,388
- − Management
- −$1,388
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,219
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$293
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,940/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Deposit Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609060
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,214
- Composite
- 46.65/100
- National rank
- #5268
- State rank
- #417 of 755 in NY
Livability — Deposit
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #616
- US rank
- #11200
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Deposit, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,793
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 274.797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $129,900 GBAOR
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,652 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…