4219 Stonehenge Trl · Houston, TX 77066

$215,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,861 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1980 6,242 sqft lot Est $253k · 15% under $26/mo HOA · 1% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +14.3/15.0
• Cash flow +9.5/30.0
• Appreciation +4.5/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +3.5/10.0
• DSCR +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.3/5.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4219 Stonehenge Trail, a beautifully maintained one-story home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,861 sq. ft. of living space on a 6,240 sq. ft. lot in the established Northcliffe community. Major updates include a new 30-year roof and A/C condenser and gas furnace replaced in 2023. The kitchen features black crystal granite countertops and a dining area with a large bay window. The spacious living room offers a fireplace, soaring ceilings, and ceiling fans, while the oversized primary suite includes double closets, including a walk-in closet. Additional highlights include fresh interior paint (2026), brick and wood exterior, 2-car garage, and a large fenced backyard with m

Key facts

• 6,242 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1980

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Seller disclosure available
• HOA & community: Northcliff Community association; Annual association fee of $310

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Built in 1980; Slab foundation; Composition roof
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Private yard; Back yard fencing; Located in a subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Gas range
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (12 x 24); Three additional first-floor bedrooms (each 11 x 12)
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
• Interior features: Electric fireplace (one); Disposal
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (17.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (14.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $177k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Klein ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Kaiser El (math 28% / reading 24%, grade F, #2,954 of 4,322 statewide, top 69%, 639 students, 84% FRL); Wunderlich Int (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 1,316 students, 77% FRL); Klein H S (math 58% / reading 67%, grade B-, #234 of 1,632 statewide, top 14%, 3,352 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 37% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $60k; list at $215k implies a 259% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $177,178 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.85% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.47%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.94%
• DSCR: 0.87
• GRM: 9.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $253,096
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4127 Brookhead Trl	0.10mi	4/3.0	1,958 (+5%)	4mo	$200,000	$102	79
4247 Southchase Ln	0.41mi	4/2.0	1,831 (-2%)	2mo	$210,000	$115	76
12450 Grossmount Dr	0.47mi	4/2.5	1,848 (-1%)	3mo	$254,975	$138	72
4431 Brandemere Way St	0.25mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,768 (-5%)	4mo	$255,000	$144	72
13607 Sable Ln	0.28mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,726 (-7%)	1mo	$219,990	$127	69
4142 Surreydon Dr	0.59mi	4/2.5	1,944 (+4%)	7mo	$264,900	$136	58
13707 Sablegarden Ln	0.47mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,749 (-6%)	7mo	$235,500	$135	57
13751 Sablesprings Ln	0.56mi	4/2.0	2,050 (+10%)	3mo	$260,000	$127	54
4227 Tasselwood Ln	0.62mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,767 (-5%)	8mo	$249,000	$141	51
14030 Torrey Village Dr	0.64mi	4/2.0	1,992 (+7%)	9mo	$279,000	$140	50
4903 Charade Dr	0.65mi	4/2.0	2,075 (+12%)	2mo	$287,000	$138	49
14031 Valechase Ln	0.63mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,135 (+15%)	5mo	$269,900	$126	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.02% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.41×
• Total profit: $-35,275
• Equity at exit: $51,680

10-year hold

• IRR: -10.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.15×
• Total profit: $-51,218
• Equity at exit: $54,081

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77066

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: -4.7%
• Active inventory: 164
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,837 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,127
• Tax from tax record: −$356 /mo · $4,267/yr
• Insurance: −$90
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$26
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$386
• Net cashflow: $-214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,108

Max offer price $177,178

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-92	-5% $-153	+0% $-214	+5% $-275	+10% $-336
Rent	-10% $-359	-5% $-287	+0% $-214	+5% $-142	+10% $-69
Rate	-1.0pp $-106	-0.5pp $-159	base $-214	+0.5pp $-270	+1.0pp $-326

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $53,750
• Closing costs: $6,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 13 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4203 Stonehenge Trl Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,811	$1.21	14d	1	0.06mi
4202 Brandemere Way St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1586	$1,695	$1.07	45d	1	0.11mi
4710 Tracemeadow Dr Houston, TX	4.0	2.5	2123	$2,300	$1.08	45d	1	0.69mi
5163 Klein Orchard Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1544	$2,149	$1.39	45d	1	1.07mi
12820 Greenwood Forest Dr Unit 3047 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1458	$1,884	$1.29	4d	1	1.12mi
12820 Greenwood Forest Dr Unit 3047 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1458	$1,895	$1.30	0d	1	1.12mi
12820 Greenwood Forest Dr Unit 525 Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1458	$1,844	$1.26	0d	1	1.12mi
12407 Hosanna Way Houston, TX	4.0	2.0	1275	$2,200	$1.73	26d	1	1.13mi
31 Greenwood Forest Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1367	$1,733	$1.27	21d	1	1.23mi
31 Greenwood Forest Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1367	$1,733	$1.27	45d	1	1.23mi
4703 Cashel Cir Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1722	$1,950	$1.13	20d	1	1.31mi
12801 Champion Forest Dr Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1039	$1,477	$1.42	0d	15	1.41mi
12801 Champion Forest Dr Houston, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	925	$1,478	$1.60	45d	28	1.41mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $26 · $312/yr
• Likely covers: gas

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-21
   remarks 699-char remark
2. 2026-06-21
   listed $215,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,267 · $356/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,267 · $356/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,041
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,043
• − Property taxes: −$4,267
• − Insurance: −$1,872
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,763
• − Management: −$1,763
• − HOA: −$312
• − Depreciation: −$6,255
• Taxable loss: −$6,235
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,496
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Klein ISD
• NCES district ID: 4825740
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $78,288
• Composite: 40.91/100
• National rank: #3615
• State rank: #213 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 39,311
• Household income: $87,138
• Rent vs Own: 26.5% rent · 73.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 815.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 23% Two or more races 21% Asian 15% White 13%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 32%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 31% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 49% English-only · Spanish 36% Vietnamese 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.02%
• Current HPI: 261.1086
• Rent YoY: ▼ -4.69%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+258.9% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-20 Listed $215,000 HARMLS
• 2005-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2004-05-10 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2004-03-29 Listed $99,900 HARMLS
• 1998-12-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1998-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,267 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.