3241 Santiago Dr · Mesquite, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors! Bring your vision to 3241 Santiago Dr and turn this into your next project. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits on a slab foundation, is priced for a quick sale, and offers straightforward ARV potential for the right investor. Property needs work and is being sold as-is. Great opportunity for renovation, rental, or resale. No conventional, FHA, or VA financing. Utilities are not currently on. Property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Slab foundation
- Rental potential
- Resale potential
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing/funding; Listing is active with exclusive right to sell agreement
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 covered/carport space)
- Security: Video surveillance present
- Utilities: City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Property attached: Yes
- Construction: Built in 1960
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approx. 0.20 acre); Subdivision: Country Club Estates
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on main level (16 x 12)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Pantry; One living area; One dining area; Total of 2 main rooms (plus bedrooms and baths)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.4% in Mesquite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#358 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Mesquite ISD (suburban): math 35% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #536 of 826 in TX (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shands El (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,500 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 551 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 63% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 195 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.83%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $274,266
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3418 Caracas Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,810 (+7%) | 3mo | $259,000 | $143 | 76 |
| 3324 Trinidad Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,523 (-10%) | 5mo | $212,000 | $139 | 75 |
| 4404 San Marcus Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-8%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $176 | 73 |
| 3100 Caribbean Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,690 (-0%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $163 | 72 |
| 4738 Bedford Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,740 (+3%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $144 | 62 |
| 4765 Snow Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,647 (-3%) | 4mo | $224,900 | $137 | 56 |
| 4781 Stallcup Dr | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 | 1,794 (+6%) | 2mo | $289,900 | $162 | 54 |
| 4760 Stallcup Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,837 (+8%) | 2mo | $267,900 | $146 | 45 |
| 2839 Linhaven Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,788 (+6%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $165 | 44 |
| 3704 Sidney Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (-13%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $199 | 43 |
| 2847 Linhaven Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,895 (+12%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $103 | 37 |
| 2505 Leta Way | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,917 (+13%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $172 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,159
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,447
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75150
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,894 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$514 /mo · $6,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $190
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $270 | -5% $230 | +0% $190 | +5% $151 | +10% $111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $115 | +0% $190 | +5% $265 | +10% $340 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $261 | -0.5pp $226 | base $190 | +0.5pp $154 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3064 Clover Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1334 | $1,795 | $1.35 | 9d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3064 Clover Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1334 | $1,795 | $1.35 | 12d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3057 Dogwood Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1348 | $1,575 | $1.17 | 9d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4437 Scottsdale Dr Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4524 Harvey Dr Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1890 | $1,950 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3520 Sidney Dr Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $2,150 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3253 Millmar Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 19d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3412 Beth Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5303 Kiamesha Way Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,725 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3230 San Lucas Ave Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 20d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3500 Statler Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $1,895 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10803 Mandalay Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1882 | $2,700 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3404 Gray Dr Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,150 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3216 San Vicente Ave Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $2,250 | $1.86 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4345 Chestnut Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3622 Gray Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $2,200 | $1.23 | 9d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2938 Healey Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,095 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3532 Hilton Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,690 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3532 Hilton Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $1,690 | $1.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3022 Larry Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,949 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2310 La Costa Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 9d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2640 Glenmore Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2517 Rosewood Dr Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1933 | $2,500 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 10830 Cotillion Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 10732 Cotillion Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,895 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2502 Rosewood Dr Mesquite, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,150 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10403 Sandra Lynn Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,195 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5412 Village Green Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2709 Highwood Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,695 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3008 Scottsbluff Dr Dallas, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1901 Pinehurst Ln Mesquite, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 842 | $1,770 | $2.10 | 0d | 16 | 1.15mi |
| 2729 Lockhart Ave Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 20d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2729 Lockhart Ave Unit NA Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2305 Driftwood Dr Mesquite, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 842 | $1,765 | $2.10 | 0d | 29 | 1.21mi |
| 4819 N Galloway Ave Mesquite, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $1,815 | $1.88 | 0d | 39 | 1.24mi |
| 3110 Berkshire Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,038 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10858 Cassandra Way Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1439 | $1,850 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3315 Kensington Dr Mesquite, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,900 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2510 Materhorn Dr Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,195 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1300 Wooded Lake Dr Mesquite, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 897 | $1,993 | $2.22 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 447-char remark
-
2026-06-13$140,000 Pending 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,164 · $514/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,164 · $514/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,731
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$6,164
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $315
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$76
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,208/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mesquite ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830390
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,372
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6606
- State rank
- #536 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mesquite
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #358
- US rank
- #7743
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mesquite, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 150,788
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,738
- Household income
- $65,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3609.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.95%
- Current HPI
- 338.3934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.40%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2002-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,164 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…