19 Schoolhouse Rd · Winterport, ME 04496

$99,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · MultiFamily · 258 Days on market

Built 1840 16 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.4/30.0
• DSCR +9.6/10.0
• 1% rule +8.6/10.0
• Schools +7.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits! This old home could be restored or a new owner could demo and build on this 16.5 Acre lot. This property is a canvas waiting for the right owner to bring it back to life.

Key facts

• 16.5 acre lot
• 16.5 acre lot
• 5 parking spots

Tags

• 16.5 ACRE LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $99k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
• Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.1% in Winterport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#87 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
• RSU 22 (suburban): math 91% / reading 92% proficiency, ranked #16 of 112 in ME (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Waldo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Waldo County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1840 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1840 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.80%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.52%
• DSCR: 1.56
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.09×
• Total profit: $2,460
• Equity at exit: $14,761

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.94×
• Total profit: $26,184
• Equity at exit: $8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Maine: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 04496

• Home prices YoY: -8.9%
• Active inventory: 42
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,351 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax from tax record: −$218 /mo · $2,611/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$284
• Net cashflow: $289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $985

Max offer price $99,000

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,750
• Closing costs: $2,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-02-24
   status Pending
2. 2025-06-11
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2025-06-11
   listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,611 · $218/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,611 · $218/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,212
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,546
• − Property taxes: −$2,611
• − Insurance: −$495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,297
• − Management: −$1,297
• − Depreciation: −$2,880
• Taxable income: $2,086
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$501
• After-tax cash flow: $2,971/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: RSU 22
• NCES district ID: 2314815
• Math proficiency: 91% ▲ 49.00%
• Reading proficiency: 92% ▲ 26.00%
• Median HH income: $65,487
• Composite: 78.68/100
• National rank: #72
• State rank: #16 of 112 in ME

Livability — Winterport

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #87
• US rank: #9878

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 3,839

Population outlook (Waldo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 39,611 people
• By 2030: 39,475 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 38,245 · -3.4%
• By 2050: 36,078 · -8.9%
• By 2075: 29,774 · -24.8%
• By 2100: 22,172 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Waldo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.0% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 3.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+3.4 2020: D+4.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+10.7 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -24.03%
• Current HPI: 246.1944
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-24 Pending — MREIS
• 2025-06-11 Contingent — MREIS
• 2025-06-11 Listed $99,000 MREIS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,611 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.