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1025 Lehr St
D Composite 42.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$148,900

1025 Lehr St · West Memphis, AR 72301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 67 Days on market
Built 1955 8,275 sqft lot $118/sqft · 10% above area Est $136k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained home offering space, comfort, and endless potential! Featuring very spacious rooms throughout, this property boasts a huge den plus a separate living room. .. perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or creating flexible living spaces to fit your needs. Enjoy the oversized laundry room, 1-car carport, and a large fenced backyard ideal for pets, gatherings, or outdoor enjoyment. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking for the perfect starter home or someone looking to downsize into your forever home, this property offers great bones, functionality, and charm. A solid home with plenty of room to grow and make your own!

Key facts

  • Huge den
  • Separate living room
  • 8,275 sq ft lot

Tags

HUGE DENSEPARATE LIVING ROOMOVERSIZED LAUNDRY ROOMLARGE FENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Richland Elementary School (math 43% / reading 22%, grade F, #277 of 454 statewide, top 61%, 528 students, 100% FRL); West Junior High School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #175 of 201 statewide, top 88%, 507 students, 100% FRL); The Academies of West Memphis Charter School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #265 of 292 statewide, top 91%, 952 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 100% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $149k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,966 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.49%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,831
List price
$148,900
Delta
9.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
330 S Center Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,240 (-2%) 2mo $165,000 $133 82
714 Baylor Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+2%) 1mo $169,900 $132 76
1108 N Rich Rd 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,335 (+6%) 2mo $190,000 $142 72
516 Highland Dr 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,103 (-12%) 6mo $155,000 $141 71
814 Briarcliff Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,242 (-1%) 3mo $168,000 $135 70
1409 N Avalon St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,172 (-7%) 2mo $164,900 $141 70
1301 Crestmere St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,283 (+2%) 7mo $185,000 $144 61
1113 Spears St 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,076 (-15%) 7mo $136,250 $127 58
208 S Center Dr 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,137 (-10%) 0mo $50,000 $44 51
213 S Worthington Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+9%) 7mo $169,900 $124 49
1014 Balfour Rd 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,148 (-9%) 4mo $168,000 $146 46
908 Roselawn Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,442 (+14%) 2mo $90,000 $62 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-14,171
Equity at exit
$22,201
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$545
Equity at exit
$12,874

Cash invested: $41,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax est. 1.5%
$186 /mo · $2,234/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303
Max offer price $148,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $259 -5% $207 +0% $156 +5% $105 +10% $53
Rent -10% $37 -5% $97 +0% $156 +5% $215 +10% $274
Rate -1.0pp $231 -0.5pp $194 base $156 +0.5pp $117 +1.0pp $78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,225
Closing costs
$4,467
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
911 N Avalon St Unit Future applicants West Memphis, AR 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 0d 1 0.25mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $148,900 Active 67 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $148,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $148,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $148,900 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $148,900 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $148,900 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $148,900 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $148,900 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $148,900 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $148,900 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $148,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $148,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $148,900 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $148,900 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $148,900 Active 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained home offering space, comfort, and endless potential! Featuring very spacious rooms throughout, this property boasts a huge den plus a separate living room. .. perfect for entertaining, relaxing, or creating flexible living spaces to fit your needs. Enjoy the oversized laundry room, 1-car carport, and a large fenced backyard ideal for pets, gatherings, or outdoor enjoyment. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking for the perfect starter home or someone looking to downsize into your forever home, this property offers great bones, functionality, and charm. A solid home with plenty of room to grow and make your own!

  16. 2024-10-22
    price $119,900
  17. 2024-08-04
    price $124,900
  18. 2024-07-15
    price $129,900
  19. 2024-06-28
    price $135,000
  20. 2024-06-19
    price $145,000
  21. 2024-06-11
    price $150,000
  22. 2024-06-10
    listed $125,000 Active
  23. 2021-05-07
    soldstatus $89,900
  24. 2021-05-07
    soldstatus $89,900
  25. 2021-01-25
    listed $89,900
  26. 2005-11-21
    soldstatus $77,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$8,341
− Property taxes
−$2,234
− Insurance
−$744
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$4,332
Taxable loss
−$530
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$127
After-tax cash flow
$1,999/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $148,900 EARA
  • 2024-10-22 Price Changed $119,900 EARA
  • 2024-08-04 Price Changed $124,900 EARA
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $129,900 EARA
  • 2024-06-28 Price Changed $135,000 EARA
  • 2024-06-19 Price Changed $145,000 EARA
  • 2024-06-11 Price Changed $150,000 EARA
  • 2024-06-10 Listed $125,000 EARA
  • 2021-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 2021-05-07 Sold (MLS) $89,900 EARA
  • 2021-01-25 Listed $89,900 EARA
  • 2005-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $199 · -23.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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