812 Fairbanks Ave · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
Key facts
- 4,269 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 365 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Two levels; Poured foundation
- Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl windows; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen area approx. 15 x 16
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 1 (approx. 15 x 14); Bedroom 2 on level 2 (approx. 22 x 11); Bedroom 3 on level 2 (approx. 16 x 13); Bedroom 4 on level 2 (approx. 9 x 10); Bedroom 5 on level 2 (approx. 12 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on level 1, one on level 2)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Gas water heating
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Partial, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (0.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,986/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 365 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 8991% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $200k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 365 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.32%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,910
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 933 Enright Ave | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 | 2,026 (-1%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $94 | 80 |
| 3606 W Eighth St | 0.16mi | 5/— | 2,075 (+1%) | 13mo | $234,000 | $113 | 79 |
| 1011 Purcell Ave | 0.35mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,056 (+0%) | 9mo | $174,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 539 Woodlawn Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,176 (+6%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 482 Elberon Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,151 (+5%) | 12mo | $58,000 | $27 | 55 |
| 868 Academy Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 | 1,934 (-6%) | 10mo | $245,000 | $127 | 55 |
| 327 Crestline Ave | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 | 2,250 (+10%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $71 | 50 |
| 1104 Carson Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,860 (-9%) | 13mo | $100,000 | $54 | 47 |
| 1114 Seton Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,232 (+9%) | 10mo | $54,000 | $24 | 45 |
| 3312 Glenway Ave | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,883 (-8%) | 17mo | $114,900 | $61 | 43 |
| 1030 Seton Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,242 (+10%) | 13mo | $222,500 | $99 | 41 |
| 545 Considine Ave | 0.39mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,346 (+15%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $111 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-16,003
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,877
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45205
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,266/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $248
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 916 Fairbanks Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1438 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 928 Fairbanks Ave Cincinnati, OH | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $2,200 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1014 Considine Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,000 | $0.91 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 862 Academy Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1627 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 16d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 905 Suire Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1699 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1620 Minion Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $1,550 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 943 Rosemont Ave Cincinnati, OH | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2132 | $1,700 | $0.80 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2454 River Rd Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1311 Manss Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1409 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-01-24historical $1,900
-
2026-01-15price $1,900
-
2025-12-29$2,200
-
2025-11-13price $200,000
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2025-09-08price $210,000
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2025-07-25price $225,000
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2025-06-06price $235,000
-
2025-05-30$250,000 Active
-
2023-09-13price $76,000 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
-
2023-05-31soldstatus $76,000 Closed 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
-
2023-05-24status Pending 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
-
2023-05-24price $88,000 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
-
2023-05-01price $88,000 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
-
2023-04-25price $95,000 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
-
2023-04-20$99,999 Active 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity for amazing cash flow on this duplex. Investor dream ! Complete Rehab.
-
2022-12-18historical
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2022-12-18price $110,000
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2022-10-18price $98,000
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2022-08-23price $105,000
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2022-08-18$110,000 Active
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2022-07-30historical
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2022-05-18price $110,000
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2022-05-02price $124,000
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2022-01-25$130,000 Active
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2020-06-18soldstatus $97,000
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2018-08-30soldstatus $31,000
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2018-08-16soldstatus $31,000 Sold
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2018-07-17historical Accept Backup Offers
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2018-07-10price $33,000
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2018-06-28status Active
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2018-06-26historical Accept Backup Offers
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2018-06-18$35,000 Active
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1992-10-14soldstatus $52,000
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1989-06-28soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,266 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,693 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- +$427/yr (+$36/mo · 18.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,266
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,907
- − Management
- −$1,907
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$264
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,043/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,651
- Household income
- $43,682
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.67%
- Current HPI
- 163.3375
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-94.6% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-24 Rental Removed $1,900 TURBOTENANT
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $1,900 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-12-29 Listed for Rent $2,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $200,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $210,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $225,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $235,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-05-30 Listed $250,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-09-13 Price Changed $76,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-05-31 Sold (MLS) $76,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-05-24 Pending — Cincy MLS
- 2023-05-24 Price Changed $88,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-05-01 Price Changed $88,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-04-25 Price Changed $95,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-04-20 Listed $99,999 Cincy MLS
- 2022-12-18 Price Changed $110,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-12-18 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2022-10-18 Price Changed $98,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-08-23 Price Changed $105,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-08-18 Listed $110,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-07-30 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2022-05-18 Price Changed $110,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-05-02 Price Changed $124,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-01-25 Listed $130,000 Cincy MLS
- 2020-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-16 Sold (MLS) $31,000 Cincy MLS
- 2018-07-17 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2018-07-10 Price Changed $33,000 Cincy MLS
- 2018-06-28 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2018-06-26 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2018-06-18 Listed $35,000 Cincy MLS
- 1992-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1989-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,266 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…