120 Loma Vista Dr · Sunland Park, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special with Income Potential! This unique property features a 3-bedroom, 1-bath main home offering over 1,600 sq. ft. of living space, situated on a generous 9,000 sq. ft. lot. A detached structure at the rear provides approximately 540 sq. ft. and presents an excellent opportunity for rental income, guest quarters, or additional living space. This is a true fixer-upper with significant upside--ideal for investors looking to add value. Property is being sold as-is. All information deemed reliable but not guaranteed; buyer and buyer's agent to verify all details. Cash or hard money financing only.
Key facts
- Detached structure
- Guest quarters
- 9,000 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#125 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Gadsden Independent Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #21 of 29 in NM (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 964 units permitted in Doña Ana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.54%
- DSCR
- 2.49
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $46,550
- Equity at exit
- $31,795
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.80×
- Total profit
- $114,291
- Equity at exit
- $44,491
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88063
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,511 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $665
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Edgewood Dr Sunland Park, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $1,525 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 309 Mora Dr Unit B Sunland Park, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-20$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $680 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$108/yr (+$9/mo · 19.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,451
- − Management
- −$1,451
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $7,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,681
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gadsden Independent Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3501080
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,461
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8298
- State rank
- #21 of 29 in NM
Livability — Sunland Park
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #20003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunland Park, NM
- City population
- 11,282
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,282
Population outlook (Doña Ana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,177 people
- By 2030
- 220,967 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 222,775 · +1.6%
- By 2050
- 223,576 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 228,461 · +4.2%
- By 2100
- 214,536 · -2.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 37% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 95%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 12% English-only · Spanish 88%
Political lean MEDSL · Doña Ana
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.8% · R 44.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+18.0 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.62%
- Current HPI
- 257.9938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — GEPARMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $85,000 GEPARMLS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $572 · -27.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…