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610 Niagara St Duplex
B- Composite 68.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

610 Niagara St · Buffalo, NY 14201
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 4,132 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1900 4,760 sqft lot $65/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Located on a major bus route and just minutes from local shopping, this sprawling 4,000+ square foot dwelling in the historic Porter Avenue district offers the perfect blend of traditional neighborhood charm and everyday convenience. Situated close to D’Youville University, this well-maintained home has been updated with a newer roof, windows, siding, and furnaces. The interior features updated kitchens and bathrooms, with a unique upstairs layout that includes two kitchens and two full baths—ideal for an effortless in-law arrangement. Negotiations delayed until Tuesday May 5th at noon.

Key facts

  • Updated siding
  • Updated furnaces
  • Updated windows

Tags

UPDATED ROOFUPDATED WINDOWSUPDATED SIDINGUPDATED FURNACESUPDATED KITCHENSUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owner pays: see remarks/other; Rent includes: see remarks
  • Financial info: Multi-family property with 2 total units; Each unit has separate gas and electric meters; Unit 1 rent listed at $1,000 (actual/total); Operating expenses: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more off-street parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story building; Resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built (existing structure)
  • Exterior features: Rectangular lot with 34 x 140 dimensions; Located on a main thoroughfare

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 1: Eat-in kitchen; Unit 2: Eat-in kitchen, dishwasher, microwave
  • Bedrooms: One unit with 4 bedrooms; One unit with 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (total for property); Unit 1: 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $590/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $270k).
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,530/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1213% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $269,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.54%
Cash-on-cash
18.73%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$642,606
List price
$269,900
Delta
-58.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
767 Prospect Ave 0.53mi 5/— (+1) 4,593 (+11%) 11mo $240,000 $52 42
175 Richmond Ave 0.71mi 4/— 3,653 (-12%) 15mo $532,500 $146 35
81,83,85 West Ave 0.59mi 5/4.0 (+1) 3,590 (-13%) 22mo $432,500 $120 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$35,881
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$146,939
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14201

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,530 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $977/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$741
Net cashflow
$1,179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,037
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 62%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,530

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Hoyt St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2848 $1,775 $0.62 14d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 605-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $269,900 Active 605-char remark
  3. 2014-05-01
    historical
  4. 2014-04-17
    listed $106,000
  5. 2014-01-02
    historical
  6. 2012-05-24
    listed $94,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$977 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,769 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$1,792/yr (+$149/mo · 183.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,360
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$977
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,389
− Management
−$3,389
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable income
$10,285
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,468
After-tax cash flow
$11,684/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,369
Household income
$40,512
Rent vs Own
76.4% rent · 23.6% own
Severe rent burden
1213.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 16% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.73%
Current HPI
290.2643
Rent YoY
▲ 4.28%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+184.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $269,900 WNYREIS
  • 2014-05-01 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2014-04-17 Listed $106,000 WNYREIS
  • 2014-01-02 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2012-05-24 Listed $94,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+13.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $977 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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