Duplex
610 Niagara St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Located on a major bus route and just minutes from local shopping, this sprawling 4,000+ square foot dwelling in the historic Porter Avenue district offers the perfect blend of traditional neighborhood charm and everyday convenience. Situated close to D’Youville University, this well-maintained home has been updated with a newer roof, windows, siding, and furnaces. The interior features updated kitchens and bathrooms, with a unique upstairs layout that includes two kitchens and two full baths—ideal for an effortless in-law arrangement. Negotiations delayed until Tuesday May 5th at noon.
Key facts
- Updated siding
- Updated furnaces
- Updated windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owner pays: see remarks/other; Rent includes: see remarks
- Financial info: Multi-family property with 2 total units; Each unit has separate gas and electric meters; Unit 1 rent listed at $1,000 (actual/total); Operating expenses: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built (existing structure)
- Exterior features: Rectangular lot with 34 x 140 dimensions; Located on a main thoroughfare
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 1: Eat-in kitchen; Unit 2: Eat-in kitchen, dishwasher, microwave
- Bedrooms: One unit with 4 bedrooms; One unit with 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (total for property); Unit 1: 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $590/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $270k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,530/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1213% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.73%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $642,606
- List price
- $269,900
- Delta
- -58.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 767 Prospect Ave | 0.53mi | 5/— (+1) | 4,593 (+11%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $52 | 42 |
| 175 Richmond Ave | 0.71mi | 4/— | 3,653 (-12%) | 15mo | $532,500 | $146 | 35 |
| 81,83,85 West Ave | 0.59mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 3,590 (-13%) | 22mo | $432,500 | $120 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $35,881
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $146,939
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14201
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,530 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $977/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$741
- Net cashflow
- $1,179
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,530 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,765 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,765 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,530 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Hoyt St Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2848 | $1,775 | $0.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 605-char remark
-
2026-04-27$269,900 Active 605-char remark
-
2014-05-01historical
-
2014-04-17$106,000
-
2014-01-02historical
-
2012-05-24$94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $977 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,769 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,792/yr (+$149/mo · 183.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$977
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,389
- − Management
- −$3,389
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable income
- $10,285
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,468
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,369
- Household income
- $40,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1213.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Black 16% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 30% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.73%
- Current HPI
- 290.2643
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+184.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $269,900 WNYREIS
- 2014-05-01 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2014-04-17 Listed $106,000 WNYREIS
- 2014-01-02 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2012-05-24 Listed $94,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2025): $977 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…