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301 Adams St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 72.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$99,900

301 Adams St · Humboldt, IL 61931
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1974 7,900 sqft lot $72/sqft · 30% below area Est $142k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside this cozy fixer upper three bedroom home in Humboldt, IL on a corner lot! Upon entry you are greeted a living room, perfect size for entertaining with a large window to let in tons of natural light! The kitchen is a perfect size for cooking complete with an island for additional storage. This home also has a bonus room that could be a family room, formal dining room, or office just off the kitchen. Down the hall to the bedrooms is the laundry area. (Gas dryer hookup. ) The bedrooms are generous in side and the master bedroom does have a master bathroom. Appliances for this home ARE NOT INCLUDED. Home is being sold 'as-is. ' Currently there is a tenant on a month to month lease, so if you are wanting to start your investment journey or would like to add to your porfolio, this is a solid house to do so!

Key facts

  • Laundry area
  • Living room
  • Bonus room

Tags

CORNER LOTLIVING ROOMKITCHEN ISLANDBONUS ROOMLAUNDRY AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$142,424) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,108 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Mattoon CUSD 2 (town): math 13% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #462 of 620 in IL (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Coles County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
  • Coles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $58k; list at $100k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $90,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.71%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,424
List price
$99,900
Delta
-29.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
707 Walnut St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,492 (+7%) 22mo $149,000 $100 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$27,396
Equity at exit
$44,320
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$76,002
Equity at exit
$67,839

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61931

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,208 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $892
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-05-17
    price $99,900 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Step inside this cozy fixer upper three bedroom home in Humboldt, IL on a corner lot! Upon entry you are greeted a living room, perfect size for entertaining with a large window to let in tons of natural light! The kitchen is a perfect size for cooking complete with an island for additional storage. This home also has a bonus room that could be a family room, formal dining room, or office just off the kitchen. Down the hall to the bedrooms is the laundry area. (Gas dryer hookup. ) The bedrooms are generous in side and the master bedroom does have a master bathroom. Appliances for this home ARE NOT INCLUDED. Home is being sold 'as-is. ' Currently there is a tenant on a month to month lease, so if you are wanting to start your investment journey or would like to add to your porfolio, this is a solid house to do so!

  6. 2026-03-01
    listed $105,000 Active 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    Step inside this cozy fixer upper three bedroom home in Humboldt, IL on a corner lot! Upon entry you are greeted a living room, perfect size for entertaining with a large window to let in tons of natural light! The kitchen is a perfect size for cooking complete with an island for additional storage. This home also has a bonus room that could be a family room, formal dining room, or office just off the kitchen. Down the hall to the bedrooms is the laundry area. (Gas dryer hookup. ) The bedrooms are generous in side and the master bedroom does have a master bathroom. Appliances for this home ARE NOT INCLUDED. Home is being sold 'as-is. ' Currently there is a tenant on a month to month lease, so if you are wanting to start your investment journey or would like to add to your porfolio, this is a solid house to do so!

  7. 2016-06-13
    soldstatus $58,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,969 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$299/yr (+$25/mo · 17.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,495
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,669
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,160
− Management
−$1,160
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$361
After-tax cash flow
$2,634/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mattoon CUSD 2
NCES district ID
1725050
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$40,452
Composite
15.71/100
National rank
#9280
State rank
#462 of 620 in IL

Livability — Humboldt

Score
58/100
State rank
#1108
US rank
#20978

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Humboldt, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,328

Population outlook (Coles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,967 people
By 2030
53,829 · -0.3%
By 2040
52,332 · -3.0%
By 2050
49,989 · -7.4%
By 2075
42,226 · -21.8%
By 2100
34,675 · -35.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% German/W. Germanic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Coles

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.5) · D 34.9% · R 63.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.7pp toward R · 2008: 3.2pp · 2024: -28.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+26.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.89%
Current HPI
129.1985
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $99,900 CIBR
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $105,000 CIBR
  • 2016-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,669 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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