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313 Castleton Ave
B- Composite 67.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

313 Castleton Ave · Mount Vernon, IL 62864
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Other · 172 Days on market
Built 1900 8,100 sqft lot ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a great starter home or investment opportunity? This 2 bed, 1 bath home is ready for you to move in and make it home! The welcoming front porch is a great spot to enjoy your morning coffee. The entryway spills into the oversized living room and dining room, both with freshly painted floors. Nestled at the back of the house, the eat-in kitchen features white cabinets and crisp dark countertops. The bathroom has a brand new shower, vanity, and plumbing, and the bedrooms both have new carpeting and fresh paint. The laundry is located just past the kitchen where you will find the basement stairs and back door. The backyard is fenced and has a quaint shed along with the detached 2 ca

Key facts

  • 8,100 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Over 100 years old
  • Construction: Frame construction with aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced yard; Level lot (54 x 150)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood in living room and dining room; Carpet in bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished daylight partial basement with egress window

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 5.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#413 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201 (town): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #532 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 112% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $50k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
18.12%
Cash-on-cash
42.25%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$23,278
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
45.4%
Equity multiple
5.35×
Total profit
$60,755
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62864

Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,098 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,121/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $476
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 172 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 171 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 170 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 169 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 167 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,900 Active 166 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 163 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 162 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 161 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 160 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 157 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 156 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 155 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 154 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 153 DOM
  16. 2026-05-23
    historical
  17. 2026-05-23
    price
  18. 2026-04-08
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-31
    historical
  20. 2026-02-04
    price
  21. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  22. 2026-01-06
    historical
  23. 2026-01-05
    historical
  24. 2025-12-30
    price
  25. 2025-12-29
    price
  26. 2025-09-19
    listed Active
  27. 2021-08-06
    historical
  28. 2021-08-06
    historical
  29. 2016-06-14
    soldstatus $15,000
  30. 2016-06-14
    soldstatus $15,000
  31. 2016-03-14
    listed $23,500
  32. 2016-03-14
    listed $23,500
  33. 2013-04-19
    soldstatus $12,000
  34. 2013-04-19
    soldstatus $12,000
  35. 2013-03-19
    listed $21,000
  36. 2013-03-19
    listed $21,000
  37. 2013-01-18
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,121 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,127 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$6/yr ($0/mo · 0.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,181
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,121
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,055
− Management
−$1,055
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$5,455
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,309
After-tax cash flow
$4,593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1727360
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$38,188
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9648
State rank
#532 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
69/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#8520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,061

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,818 people
By 2030
35,764 · -2.9%
By 2040
33,649 · -8.6%
By 2050
31,557 · -14.3%
By 2075
26,055 · -29.2%
By 2100
19,237 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.5% · R 73.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-37.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.64%
Current HPI
134.2669
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.6% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-14 Sold (MLS) $15,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-14 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-14 Listed $23,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-14 Listed $23,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-19 Sold (MLS) $12,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-19 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-19 Listed $21,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-19 Listed $21,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-18 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,121 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…