1036 Linthicum St · Tarrant, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 4 bedroom, 2 full bath investment property. Maintenance free vinyl siding. Very large den and dining room. There is an unfinished basement that is plumbed for additional full bath.
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1925
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 11.0% in Tarrant — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#507 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Tarrant City (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #121 of 129 in AL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $34k; list at $75k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.75%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,841
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -42.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1925 Etowah St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,968 (-5%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $48 | 55 |
| 1408 Elizabeth Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,048 (-1%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $29 | 44 |
| 2309 Etowah St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,860 (-10%) | 23mo | $140,000 | $75 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $17,268
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $54,984
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35217
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $971/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $451
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $493 | -5% $472 | +0% $451 | +5% $429 | +10% $408 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $355 | -5% $403 | +0% $451 | +5% $498 | +10% $546 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $488 | -0.5pp $470 | base $451 | +0.5pp $431 | +1.0pp $411 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1434 Thomason Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $1,100 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1816 Damon Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1401 | $1,153 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5015 42nd Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1224 Sloan Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2164 | $1,200 | $0.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4221 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2984 | $1,200 | $0.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4212 50th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $1,595 | $1.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1225 Elizabeth Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1697 | $1,100 | $0.65 | 19d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1236 Elm Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1888 | $950 | $0.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4418 43rd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1710 | $925 | $0.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1108 Hall St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $850 | $0.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4029 44th Ave N Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2768 | $1,300 | $0.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 619 Bell Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,075 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3823 43rd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1303 Main St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-31$75,000 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Great 4 bedroom, 2 full bath investment property. Maintenance free vinyl siding. Very large den and dining room. There is an unfinished basement that is plumbed for additional full bath.
-
2020-10-22soldstatus $34,000
-
2020-10-20soldstatus $34,000 Sold 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great 4 bedroom, 2 full bath investment property. Maintenance free vinyl siding. Very large den and dining room. There is an unfinished basement that is plumbed for additional full bath. Current tenant pays $800 monthly.
-
2020-10-09status Pending 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great 4 bedroom, 2 full bath investment property. Maintenance free vinyl siding. Very large den and dining room. There is an unfinished basement that is plumbed for additional full bath. Current tenant pays $800 monthly.
-
2020-09-21$50,000 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great 4 bedroom, 2 full bath investment property. Maintenance free vinyl siding. Very large den and dining room. There is an unfinished basement that is plumbed for additional full bath. Current tenant pays $800 monthly.
-
2018-07-02soldstatus $30,500 Sold
-
2018-05-10price $37,000
-
2018-05-09$36,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $971 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $971 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,523
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$971
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,470
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,073
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,335/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tarrant City
- NCES district ID
- 0103270
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,256
- Composite
- 8.0/100
- National rank
- #9924
- State rank
- #121 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tarrant
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #507
- US rank
- #25136
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tarrant, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 12,240
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,240
- Household income
- $40,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.54%
- Current HPI
- 117.416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
+108.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $75,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-20 Sold (MLS) $34,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-10-09 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-09-21 Listed $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-07-02 Sold (MLS) $30,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-05-10 Price Changed $37,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-05-09 Listed $36,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $971 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…