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19248 Lumpkin St
C- Composite 50.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

19248 Lumpkin St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 878 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1941 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located at 19248 Lumpkin ST, Detroit, MI, this single-family residence presents an opportunity to craft your ideal home. Built in 1941, this property holds a unique character waiting to be reimagined. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space for rest and relaxation. Envision each room becoming a personal sanctuary, designed to reflect your individual style and preferences. The possibilities are endless to transform these spaces into comfortable and inviting retreats. With one bathroom, this home provides the essentials for daily living. Picture creating a spa-like atmosphere, a tranquil space where you can unwind and rejuvenate. Imagine the soothing ambiance you can cultivate within these walls. This Detroit residence is a canvas awaiting your personal touch, offering the chance to establish a comfortable and stylish home.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1941

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $140k implies a 774% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,444 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.65%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$31,608
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18877 Fleming St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-1%) 3mo $9,900 $11 80
19164 Dequindre St 0.14mi 3/1.5 918 (+5%) 8mo $80,000 $87 77
18660 Klinger St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 880 (+0%) 0mo $21,000 $24 59
19403 Anglin St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+14%) 7mo $22,500 $23 57
18128 Fleming St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (+8%) 1mo $21,500 $23 56
18654 Klinger St 0.67mi 3/2.0 860 (-2%) 7mo $22,000 $26 55
19619 Norwood St 0.68mi 3/1.0 941 (+7%) 2mo $30,500 $32 55
19444 Yonka St 0.75mi 3/1.0 900 (+2%) 8mo $85,000 $94 54
17888 Marx St 0.71mi 3/1.0 937 (+7%) 2mo $34,000 $36 54
18547 Anglin St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+14%) 6mo $93,000 $93 49
18134 Dequindre St 0.55mi 3/2.0 993 (+13%) 8mo $109,999 $111 42
19210 Cameron St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 750 (-15%) 5mo $52,500 $70 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-5,859
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$32,446
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,314 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $742/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,081
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $264 -5% $224 +0% $185 +5% $145 +10% $105
Rent -10% $81 -5% $133 +0% $185 +5% $237 +10% $288
Rate -1.0pp $255 -0.5pp $220 base $185 +0.5pp $148 +1.0pp $111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 0.30mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 25d 1 0.34mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 18d 1 0.42mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 18d 1 0.50mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 18d 1 0.56mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 16d 1 0.57mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 0.62mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 6d 1 0.68mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 18d 1 0.74mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 18d 1 0.90mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 45d 1 0.97mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 19d 1 1.04mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.09mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 25d 1 1.12mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,281 $5.11 0d 1 1.24mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 23d 1 1.26mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 25d 1 1.28mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 19d 1 1.33mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 6d 1 1.35mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,448 $5.88 0d 1 1.37mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 45d 1 1.37mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 1.41mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 45d 1 1.45mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 45d 1 1.45mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 25d 1 1.46mi
429 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,595 $1.48 0d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-03-14
    status Pending 853-char remark
    Show marketing remark (853 chars)

    Located at 19248 Lumpkin ST, Detroit, MI, this single-family residence presents an opportunity to craft your ideal home. Built in 1941, this property holds a unique character waiting to be reimagined. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space for rest and relaxation. Envision each room becoming a personal sanctuary, designed to reflect your individual style and preferences. The possibilities are endless to transform these spaces into comfortable and inviting retreats. With one bathroom, this home provides the essentials for daily living. Picture creating a spa-like atmosphere, a tranquil space where you can unwind and rejuvenate. Imagine the soothing ambiance you can cultivate within these walls. This Detroit residence is a canvas awaiting your personal touch, offering the chance to establish a comfortable and stylish home.

  2. 2026-03-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (853 chars)

    Located at 19248 Lumpkin ST, Detroit, MI, this single-family residence presents an opportunity to craft your ideal home. Built in 1941, this property holds a unique character waiting to be reimagined. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space for rest and relaxation. Envision each room becoming a personal sanctuary, designed to reflect your individual style and preferences. The possibilities are endless to transform these spaces into comfortable and inviting retreats. With one bathroom, this home provides the essentials for daily living. Picture creating a spa-like atmosphere, a tranquil space where you can unwind and rejuvenate. Imagine the soothing ambiance you can cultivate within these walls. This Detroit residence is a canvas awaiting your personal touch, offering the chance to establish a comfortable and stylish home.

  3. 2025-12-29
    listed $139,900 Active
  4. 2025-12-28
    listed $139,900 Active 853-char remark
    Show marketing remark (853 chars)

    Located at 19248 Lumpkin ST, Detroit, MI, this single-family residence presents an opportunity to craft your ideal home. Built in 1941, this property holds a unique character waiting to be reimagined. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space for rest and relaxation. Envision each room becoming a personal sanctuary, designed to reflect your individual style and preferences. The possibilities are endless to transform these spaces into comfortable and inviting retreats. With one bathroom, this home provides the essentials for daily living. Picture creating a spa-like atmosphere, a tranquil space where you can unwind and rejuvenate. Imagine the soothing ambiance you can cultivate within these walls. This Detroit residence is a canvas awaiting your personal touch, offering the chance to establish a comfortable and stylish home.

  5. 2022-07-07
    historical
  6. 2022-02-03
    status Pending
  7. 2022-02-03
    status Pending
  8. 2022-02-03
    historical
  9. 2021-12-23
    price $59,900
  10. 2021-12-22
    status Active
  11. 2021-12-18
    price $59,900
  12. 2021-12-18
    status Active
  13. 2021-08-23
    status Pending
  14. 2021-08-23
    status Pending
  15. 2021-07-15
    status Active
  16. 2021-07-15
    status Active
  17. 2021-06-14
    status Pending
  18. 2021-06-14
    status Pending
  19. 2021-05-22
    price $49,900
  20. 2021-05-22
    price $49,900
  21. 2021-03-02
    price $44,900
  22. 2021-03-02
    price $44,900
  23. 2020-10-28
    listed $49,600 Active
  24. 2020-10-28
    listed $49,600 Active
  25. 2020-10-27
    historical
  26. 2020-10-27
    historical
  27. 2017-09-14
    historical
  28. 2017-09-13
    historical
  29. 2017-07-12
    price $29,900
  30. 2017-07-11
    price $29,900
  31. 2017-03-29
    price $31,500
  32. 2017-03-28
    price $31,500
  33. 2017-03-28
    status Active
  34. 2017-03-28
    status Active
  35. 2017-03-13
    status Pending
  36. 2017-03-13
    status Pending
  37. 2017-02-14
    listed $34,500 Active
  38. 2017-02-13
    listed $34,500 Active
  39. 1999-01-21
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$742 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,448 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$706/yr (+$59/mo · 95.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,773
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$742
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,262
− Management
−$1,262
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$99
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$24
After-tax cash flow
$2,239/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+774.4% since first listed
39 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-28 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-23 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-22 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-18 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-23 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-08-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-15 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-15 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-22 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-22 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-02 Price Changed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-02 Price Changed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-28 Listed $49,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-28 Listed $49,600 REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-27 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-27 Coming Soon REALCOMP
  • 2017-09-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-09-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-12 Price Changed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-11 Price Changed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2017-03-29 Price Changed $31,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-03-28 Price Changed $31,500 REALCOMP
  • 2017-03-28 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-03-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2017-03-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-03-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-02-14 Listed $34,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-02-13 Listed $34,500 REALCOMP
  • 1999-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $742 · -53.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…