17229 Heyden St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for investors. This house features vinyl siding, Pex Plumbing, updated electrical, and a newer roof. BATVAI
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- Pex plumbing
- Newer roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $21k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $21k).
- Recommended offer: $19k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 47.2% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Emerson Elementarymiddle School (519 students, 90% FRL); Henry Ford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 712 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 309 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $144 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $627 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $21k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 47.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 146.25%
- DSCR
- 7.51
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $63,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17370 Stout St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 745 (-6%) | 2mo | $37,000 | $50 | 82 |
| 18135 Fielding St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 796 (+0%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $163 | 71 |
| 17594 Vaughan St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 852 (+8%) | 8mo | $94,500 | $111 | 63 |
| 18418 Heyden St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 865 (+9%) | 3mo | $17,000 | $20 | 57 |
| 18498 Heyden ST St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 842 (+6%) | 4mo | $9,000 | $11 | 53 |
| 17336 Patton St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 892 (+13%) | 13mo | $75,000 | $84 | 52 |
| 16115 Burt Rd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 859 (+8%) | 5mo | $57,000 | $66 | 48 |
| 18411 Grandville Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-6%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $80 | 47 |
| 18255 Patton St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 873 (+10%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $92 | 45 |
| 18510 Heyden St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 884 (+12%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $57 | 42 |
| 18551 Vaughan St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+9%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $81 | 41 |
| 17185 Bentler St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 690 (-13%) | 13mo | $43,000 | $62 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.22×
- Total profit
- $48,118
- Equity at exit
- $3,116
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.88×
- Total profit
- $128,042
- Equity at exit
- $1,807
Cash invested: $5,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48219
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$110
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $848/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $713
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $725 | -5% $719 | +0% $713 | +5% $707 | +10% $701 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $623 | -5% $668 | +0% $713 | +5% $758 | +10% $803 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $724 | -0.5pp $719 | base $713 | +0.5pp $708 | +1.0pp $702 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,225
- Closing costs
- $627
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 18205 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,078 | $1.20 | 26d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 6d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $838 | $1.20 | 26d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,364 | $1.56 | 16d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 26d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,394 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 21434 Karl St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,323 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 15712 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 16854 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $885 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15519 Plainview Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,396 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Apt 3A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Unit 1A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 17644 Lahser Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 26d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18045 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $960 | $1.43 | 6d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 18350 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 18400 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $950 | $1.53 | 26d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 18450 Lahser Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $820 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 15340 Braile St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 883 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15318 Kentfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 15143 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $875 | $1.34 | 26d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-03-13status Pending 125-char remark
Show marketing remark (125 chars)
Great opportunity for investors. This house features vinyl siding, Pex Plumbing, updated electrical, and a newer roof. BATVAI
-
2026-03-13status Pending
Show marketing remark (125 chars)
Great opportunity for investors. This house features vinyl siding, Pex Plumbing, updated electrical, and a newer roof. BATVAI
-
2025-12-09$20,900 Active
-
2025-12-05$20,900 Active 125-char remark
Show marketing remark (125 chars)
Great opportunity for investors. This house features vinyl siding, Pex Plumbing, updated electrical, and a newer roof. BATVAI
-
2004-09-24historical
-
2004-03-24$55,000
-
2004-03-18historical
-
2003-09-18$55,000
-
2003-09-05soldstatus $7,000
-
2002-12-12$5,900
-
1996-07-17soldstatus $5,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,171
- − Property taxes
- −$848
- − Insurance
- −$104
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,096
- − Management
- −$1,096
- − Depreciation
- −$608
- Taxable income
- $8,780
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,107
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,208
- Household income
- $43,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.06%
- Current HPI
- 563.3263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+318.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-09 Listed $20,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Listed $20,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-09-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-03-24 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-03-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-09-18 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-09-05 Sold (MLS) $7,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-12-12 Listed $5,900 REALCOMP
- 1996-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $848 · -53.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…