409 N Clermont Ave · Margate City, NJ
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$975,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW PRICE!! THE HOME YOU’VE BEEN WAITING FOR, PERFECT FOR YEAR-ROUND LIVING OR YOUR SHORE GETAWAY! 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in one of Margate’s most desirable neighborhoods. A welcoming front porch offers the perfect place to relax and enjoy. Inside, you’ll find a wonderful layout featuring an open living room, dining area, kitchen, plus two separate living spaces so everyone has room to spread out. Upstairs offers four spacious bedrooms, a hall bath, and a huge primary suite complete with his-and-hers closets and a private full bath. Outside, enjoy a nice yard, driveway, and attached garage. Ideally situated in the heart of Margate’s beloved locals’ neighborhood, this is an amazing place to call home; especially on Halloween, when this street is where everyone wants to be! Close to the boardwalk, beach and stores, too! HURRY!
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1958
- Listed 69 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $975k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($44k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $975k).
- Recommended offer: $916k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 7.4% in Margate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#149 in NJ, #3,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Margate City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #113 of 472 in NJ (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,879/mo this rent would consume 127% of the median local household income ($122k/yr) (locally 23% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $273k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($916k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $166k; list at $975k implies a 487% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.12%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $984,769
- List price
- $975,000
- Delta
- -0.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 N Clermont Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,125 (-6%) | 1mo | $1,150,000 | $541 | 72 |
| 29 East Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 | 2,426 (+7%) | 1mo | $1,525,000 | $629 | 69 |
| 1 S Douglas Ave | 0.52mi | 4/3.5 | 2,357 (+4%) | 3mo | $1,425,000 | $605 | 63 |
| 7 S Hanover Ave | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,240 (-1%) | 3mo | $1,695,000 | $757 | 63 |
| 614 N Delavan Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,084 (-8%) | 6mo | $810,000 | $389 | 62 |
| 111 N Brunswick Ave | 0.29mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,500 (+10%) | 0mo | $2,175,000 | $870 | 60 |
| 108 N Clermont Ave | 0.28mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 2,168 (-5%) | 7mo | $1,475,000 | $680 | 60 |
| 6 Bayside Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,448 (+8%) | 7mo | $933,000 | $381 | 54 |
| 28 S Huntington Ave | 0.65mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,408 (+6%) | 6mo | $2,587,500 | $1,075 | 46 |
| 302 N Mansfield Ave | 0.65mi | 4/3.5 | 2,500 (+10%) | 5mo | $2,100,000 | $840 | 45 |
| 8508 Wellington Ave | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 | 2,547 (+12%) | 8mo | $1,325,000 | $520 | 45 |
| 18 N Buffalo #B Ave | 0.75mi | 4/3.5 | 2,500 (+10%) | 2mo | $1,640,000 | $656 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $145,459
- Equity at exit
- $145,376
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $739,634
- Equity at exit
- $84,300
Cash invested: $273,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08402
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,879 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,113
- Tax from tax record
- −$533 /mo · $6,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$406
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,704
- Net cashflow
- $3,695
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,247 | -5% $3,971 | +0% $3,695 | +5% $3,419 | +10% $3,143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,678 | -5% $3,187 | +0% $3,695 | +5% $4,204 | +10% $4,713 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,186 | -0.5pp $3,943 | base $3,695 | +0.5pp $3,443 | +1.0pp $3,186 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $243,750
- Closing costs
- $29,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 N Belmont Ave Unit June 2026 Margate City, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $10,000 | $4.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 107 N Douglas Ave Unit AUGUST Margate City, NJ | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2312 | $33,000 | $14.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 111 N Belmont Ave Margate City, NJ | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3200 | $35,000 | $10.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 107 N Douglas Ave Margate City, NJ | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2312 | $36,000 | $15.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2 N Frontenac Ave Margate City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $17,000 | $9.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8208 Lagoon Dr Margate City, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2480 | $18,000 | $7.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6 N Melbourne Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2028 | $3,000 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7701 Atlantic Ave Margate City, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1660 | $75,000 | $45.18 | 45d | 4 | 0.62mi |
| 7103 Ventnor Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2288 | $5,500 | $2.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 106 S Essex Ave Margate City, NJ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2034 | $9,500 | $4.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 109 N Wissahickon Ave Unit B Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2000 | $25,000 | $12.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 8606 Monmouth Ave Unit August 9/13 Margate City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2430 | $20,000 | $8.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 129 N New Haven Ave Fl 2 (July '26) Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2812 | $24,000 | $8.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 129 N New Haven Ave Fl 2 (MemDay June30) Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2812 | $12,000 | $4.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 129 N New Haven Ave Fl 2 (June '26) Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2812 | $9,000 | $3.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 129 N New Haven Ave Fl 2 (MemDay July 31) Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2812 | $35,000 | $12.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 129 N New Haven Ave #2 Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2812 | $21,000 | $7.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7 S Richards Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $25,000 | $15.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 204 N Union Ave Margate City, NJ | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2393 | $5,000 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 16 S Decatur Ave Unit 9/15-10/31 Margate City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1732 | $7,000 | $4.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 9406 Amherst Ave Margate City, NJ | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2554 | $47,000 | $18.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9411 Winchester Ave Margate City, NJ | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2776 | $11,500 | $4.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 208 N Surrey Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2672 | $50,000 | $18.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 610A N Victoria Ave Ventnor City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,550 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $975,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $975,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $975,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $975,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $975,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $975,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $975,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $975,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $975,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $975,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $975,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $975,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $975,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $975,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $975,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $975,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-10historical
Show marketing remark (876 chars)
NEW PRICE!! THE HOME YOU’VE BEEN WAITING FOR, PERFECT FOR YEAR-ROUND LIVING OR YOUR SHORE GETAWAY! 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in one of Margate’s most desirable neighborhoods. A welcoming front porch offers the perfect place to relax and enjoy. Inside, you’ll find a wonderful layout featuring an open living room, dining area, kitchen, plus two separate living spaces so everyone has room to spread out. Upstairs offers four spacious bedrooms, a hall bath, and a huge primary suite complete with his-and-hers closets and a private full bath. Outside, enjoy a nice yard, driveway, and attached garage. Ideally situated in the heart of Margate’s beloved locals’ neighborhood, this is an amazing place to call home; especially on Halloween, when this street is where everyone wants to be! Close to the boardwalk, beach and stores, too! HURRY!
-
2026-04-10$975,000 Active 876-char remark
Show marketing remark (876 chars)
NEW PRICE!! THE HOME YOU’VE BEEN WAITING FOR, PERFECT FOR YEAR-ROUND LIVING OR YOUR SHORE GETAWAY! 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in one of Margate’s most desirable neighborhoods. A welcoming front porch offers the perfect place to relax and enjoy. Inside, you’ll find a wonderful layout featuring an open living room, dining area, kitchen, plus two separate living spaces so everyone has room to spread out. Upstairs offers four spacious bedrooms, a hall bath, and a huge primary suite complete with his-and-hers closets and a private full bath. Outside, enjoy a nice yard, driveway, and attached garage. Ideally situated in the heart of Margate’s beloved locals’ neighborhood, this is an amazing place to call home; especially on Halloween, when this street is where everyone wants to be! Close to the boardwalk, beach and stores, too! HURRY!
-
2026-03-20$999,000 Active
-
1996-07-03soldstatus $166,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,396 · $533/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $15,337 · $1,278/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8,941/yr (+$745/mo · 139.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $154,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$54,615
- − Property taxes
- −$6,396
- − Insurance
- −$9,994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,363
- − Management
- −$12,363
- − Depreciation
- −$28,364
- Taxable income
- $30,448
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,308
- After-tax cash flow
- $37,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Margate City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409690
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,112
- Composite
- 47.71/100
- National rank
- #2241
- State rank
- #113 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Margate City
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #3893
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Margate City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 5,234
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,234
- Household income
- $121,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 23.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -625.70%
- Current HPI
- 475.1366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.91%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+487.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $975,000 SJSRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $999,000 SJSRMLS
- 1996-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,396 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…