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323 Hamblen St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 62.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

323 Hamblen St · Big Stone Gap, VA 24219
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,955 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1998 8,712 sqft lot $51/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unique investment opportunity in the heart of Big Stone Gap! This 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is priced well below tax assessment and already has a current tenant in place, making it an excellent opportunity for investors looking for immediate income potential. Featuring beautiful hardwood floors throughout, this property offers plenty of character and space while also being ideal for first-time home buyers looking to build equity. Enjoy scenic mountain views while still being conveniently located close to shopping, dining, schools, and all of the town's amenities. Inside photos coming soon! Don't miss your chance to own this affordable property with endless potential.

Key facts

  • Current tenant
  • Hardwood floors
  • Conveniently located

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYCURRENT TENANTHARDWOOD FLOORSMOUNTAIN VIEWSCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Deck; Level topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Has cooling (type listed as other)
  • Interior features: Range and refrigerator included; Block basement; Nine total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$215,487) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-218 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $61k (38.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (38.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.4% in Big Stone Gap — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#279 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Wise County Public School District (town): math 74% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #11 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Union Primary (math 72% / reading 79%, grade A, #207 of 1,108 statewide, top 19%, 861 students, 84% FRL); Union Middle (math 58% / reading 70%, grade B+, #127 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 583 students, 89% FRL); Union High (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 601 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 55% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wise County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $100k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,440 (38.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.41%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$215,487
List price
$99,900
Delta
-53.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15 Proctor Cir 0.44mi 4/1.5 2,071 (+6%) 5mo $275,000 $133 63
250 Wallens Ridge Blvd 0.61mi 4/2.0 2,050 (+5%) 9mo $220,000 $107 52
205 Wood Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (-13%) 3mo $138,300 $81 40
314 Lexie St 0.66mi 4/3.0 2,104 (+8%) 22mo $245,000 $116 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.5%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-29,798
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-36.0%
Equity multiple
-0.53×
Total profit
$-42,763
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24219

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $650/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$-218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,367
Max offer price $61,440
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-161 -5% $-189 +0% $-218 +5% $-246 +10% $-274
Rent -10% $-304 -5% $-261 +0% $-218 +5% $-175 +10% $-131
Rate -1.0pp $-167 -0.5pp $-192 base $-218 +0.5pp $-244 +1.0pp $-270

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    status $99,900 Pending 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-05-07
    listed $99,900 Active 676-char remark
  11. 2012-02-10
    soldstatus $37,000
  12. 2010-01-22
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$650 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$819 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$169/yr (+$14/mo · 26.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,099
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$650
− Insurance
−$6,024
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,048
− Management
−$1,048
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$4,173
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,002
After-tax cash flow
$-1,611/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wise County Public School District
NCES district ID
5104080
Math proficiency
74% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$35,624
Composite
63.37/100
National rank
#625
State rank
#11 of 131 in VA

Livability — Big Stone Gap

Score
68/100
State rank
#279
US rank
#10035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Big Stone Gap, VA
Population (ZIP)
10,416

Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,714 people
By 2030
33,742 · -5.5%
By 2040
29,870 · -16.4%
By 2050
26,233 · -26.5%
By 2075
18,296 · -48.8%
By 2100
12,147 · -66.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 10% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wise

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.3) · D 18.1% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.7pp · 2024: -63.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.3 2020: R+61.7 2016: R+62.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+27.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.21%
Current HPI
144.2927
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending TVRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $99,900 TVRMLS
  • 2012-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 2010-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $650 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…