1816 Russett Pl · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman Special. This is a large ranch style home with an attached garage and a full basement. Previous owners have changed the original bedroom configuration. It was originally a 4 bedroom ranch, one of the bedrooms has been eliminated to create a larger living room and two bedrooms have been combined into 1 bedroom. Their intent was to have 2 bedrooms on the main floor and 2 bedrooms in the basement which are still there. With a relatively small amount of work this home could easily be restored to a 3 or 4 bedroom. There is also a very large bonus room/family room with a wood burning fireplace that adds a huge amount of square feet. The basement is still partially finished and would not take much effort to make it a nice living area. The house has been cleaned out and is ready for a rehab. The kitchen and bathrooms need refreshing/updating and it needs flooring and paint. The house is on a corner lot, there are two driveways one off of Russet Pl and one off of Fleetwood. It would be great project for a handy homeowner or an investor looking for a flip or a long term rental property. Sellers were going to rehab this one but they got sidetracked with other projects. This one needs some TLC and a rehab but the end value is definitely there.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Bonus room
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (approximately 2.5 spaces)
- Utilities: Circuit breaker electrical service; Municipal water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built area above grade approximately 2,500 (finished) with about 600 below-grade finished
- Exterior features: Porch; Back yard fencing; Corner lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room; Partially finished basement; Total of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $40k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.08%
- DSCR
- 3.23
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $36,072
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1807 Russett Pl | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-7%) | 8mo | $34,000 | $36 | 74 |
| 6310 Valorie Ln | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+4%) | 4mo | $49,900 | $48 | 70 |
| 1511 W Home Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,042 (+4%) | 3mo | $35,500 | $34 | 69 |
| 5905 Cloverlawn Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 983 (-2%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $31 | 68 |
| 2106 Janice Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 913 (-9%) | 2mo | $74,000 | $81 | 66 |
| 2017 Chateau Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 915 (-9%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $55 | 62 |
| 813 Chatham Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 942 (-6%) | 1mo | $33,700 | $36 | 59 |
| 5722 Susan St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 989 (-1%) | 8mo | $33,000 | $33 | 57 |
| 6611 Sally Ct | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+12%) | 2mo | $21,420 | $19 | 56 |
| 7005 Daryll St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,093 (+9%) | 8mo | $43,000 | $39 | 54 |
| 5909 Edwards Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-7%) | 10mo | $20,600 | $22 | 43 |
| 626 W Austin Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 869 (-13%) | 1mo | $34,000 | $39 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $23,268
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 53.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.25×
- Total profit
- $58,656
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48504
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $989 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,072/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 6802 DuPont St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $899 | $0.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $925 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5280 Cedar Shores Ct Flint, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,148 | $1.00 | 14d | 6 | 0.82mi |
| 5413 DuPont St Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1038 | $900 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,072 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2216 Obrien Rd Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19price $39,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $44,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $44,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $44,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $44,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-12$44,900 Active 1260-char remark
Show marketing remark (1260 chars)
Handyman Special. This is a large ranch style home with an attached garage and a full basement. Previous owners have changed the original bedroom configuration. It was originally a 4 bedroom ranch, one of the bedrooms has been eliminated to create a larger living room and two bedrooms have been combined into 1 bedroom. Their intent was to have 2 bedrooms on the main floor and 2 bedrooms in the basement which are still there. With a relatively small amount of work this home could easily be restored to a 3 or 4 bedroom. There is also a very large bonus room/family room with a wood burning fireplace that adds a huge amount of square feet. The basement is still partially finished and would not take much effort to make it a nice living area. The house has been cleaned out and is ready for a rehab. The kitchen and bathrooms need refreshing/updating and it needs flooring and paint. The house is on a corner lot, there are two driveways one off of Russet Pl and one off of Fleetwood. It would be great project for a handy homeowner or an investor looking for a flip or a long term rental property. Sellers were going to rehab this one but they got sidetracked with other projects. This one needs some TLC and a rehab but the end value is definitely there.
-
2026-05-12$44,900 Active
Show marketing remark (1260 chars)
Handyman Special. This is a large ranch style home with an attached garage and a full basement. Previous owners have changed the original bedroom configuration. It was originally a 4 bedroom ranch, one of the bedrooms has been eliminated to create a larger living room and two bedrooms have been combined into 1 bedroom. Their intent was to have 2 bedrooms on the main floor and 2 bedrooms in the basement which are still there. With a relatively small amount of work this home could easily be restored to a 3 or 4 bedroom. There is also a very large bonus room/family room with a wood burning fireplace that adds a huge amount of square feet. The basement is still partially finished and would not take much effort to make it a nice living area. The house has been cleaned out and is ready for a rehab. The kitchen and bathrooms need refreshing/updating and it needs flooring and paint. The house is on a corner lot, there are two driveways one off of Russet Pl and one off of Fleetwood. It would be great project for a handy homeowner or an investor looking for a flip or a long term rental property. Sellers were going to rehab this one but they got sidetracked with other projects. This one needs some TLC and a rehab but the end value is definitely there.
-
2026-04-22soldstatus $23,000
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2026-04-02soldstatus $23,000 Closed 66-char remark
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
Ready for updating and set for new homeowners and investors alike.
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2026-04-02soldstatus $23,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
Ready for updating and set for new homeowners and investors alike.
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2025-10-03historical 66-char remark
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
Ready for updating and set for new homeowners and investors alike.
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2025-10-03$26,500 66-char remark
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
Ready for updating and set for new homeowners and investors alike.
-
2025-10-03$26,500
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
Ready for updating and set for new homeowners and investors alike.
-
2025-10-03historical
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
Ready for updating and set for new homeowners and investors alike.
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2021-10-01historical
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2021-09-04price $56,500
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2021-09-04price $56,500
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2021-08-21$58,500 Active
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2021-08-21$58,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,072 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,072 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,870
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$1,072
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $5,303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,273
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,322/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,873
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.67%
- Current HPI
- 94.3111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-23.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 2026-04-02 Sold (MLS) $23,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-02 Sold (MLS) $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-03 Listed $26,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-03 Listed $26,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-04 Price Changed $56,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-09-04 Price Changed $56,500 REALCOMP
- 2021-08-21 Listed $58,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-08-21 Listed $58,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,072 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…