3800 S 1900 W #66 · Roy, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bed, 2 bath home (~1,400 sq ft) built in 1980 in Monte Vista MHP. Fully remodeled with a functional open layout, spacious living area, and private primary suite. Move-in ready with great natural light and storage. Close to shopping, dining, and major roads. Buyer must be park approved; lot rent $775/mo. Financing options available based on approval. 55+ community
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1980
- Listed 57 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in MONTE VISTA MOBILE HOME PARK
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association fee $775 per month; Association provides management, allows pets, and handles snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 2 parking spaces; 1 covered parking space; 1 open/uncovered parking space; 1 carport space; Covered parking and uncovered parking available
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Mobile home; Property is built and standing
- Construction: Aluminum exterior; Asphalt roof; Built/standing construction
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Covered deck; Covered patio; Partially fenced yard; Automatic full sprinkler system
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Granite countertops; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Disposal; Oven: Gas; Granite countertops; Accessible electrical and environmental controls
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $87k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($411/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#32 in UT, #1,449 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F.
- Weber District (suburban): math 36% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #56 of 80 in UT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Park School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #419 of 585 statewide, top 72%, 467 students, 50% FRL); Sand Ridge Jr High (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #119 of 138 statewide, top 87%, 857 students, 40% FRL); Roy High (math 15% / reading 39%, grade F, #131 of 171 statewide, top 79%, 1,834 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,630 units permitted in Weber County in 2024 (521 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weber County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.69%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-16,647
- Equity at exit
- $12,972
- IRR
- -56.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-29,866
- Equity at exit
- $7,522
Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84067
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,785 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$775
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $94 | -5% $64 | +0% $34 | +5% $4 | +10% $-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-107 | -5% $-36 | +0% $34 | +5% $105 | +10% $175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $78 | -0.5pp $56 | base $34 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,750
- Closing costs
- $2,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2405 Hinckley Dr Unit L203 West Haven, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,416 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3330 S Midland Dr West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 15d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 4449 S 1900 W Unit 4 Roy, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3560 Midland Dr West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,599 | $1.71 | 15d | 22 | 0.82mi |
| 4499 S 1930 W Roy, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1106 | $2,162 | $1.95 | 15d | 11 | 0.90mi |
| 2112 W 3300 S West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,772 | $1.82 | 15d | 15 | 0.93mi |
| 3405 S 2400 W West Haven, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 24d | 5 | 0.95mi |
| 90 West Roy, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $1,635 | $1.52 | 15d | 11 | 1.12mi |
| 4372 S 1000 W Unit A Riverdale, UT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1375 | $1,725 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 918 W 4350 S Ogden, UT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $2,350 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 759 3900 S Ogden, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1775 W 4800 S Roy, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,250 | $1.62 | 15d | 4 | 1.32mi |
| 735 3900 S Unit 1 Riverdale, UT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4389 S Locomotive DR Roy, UT | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1651 | $2,340 | $1.42 | 15d | 48 | 1.35mi |
| 3922 Lamplighter Way Riverdale, UT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1390 | $1,695 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2914 W 3885 S West Haven, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,395 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $775 · $9,300/yr
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $87,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $96,996 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $96,996 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $96,996 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 368-char remark
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2026-06-14days on market $96,996 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $96,996 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $96,996 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $96,996 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $96,996 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $96,996 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $96,996 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $96,996 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $96,997 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,997 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,997 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $96,997
-
2026-05-08price $96,998
-
2026-04-30price $96,999
-
2026-04-22$97,000 Active
-
2026-04-14historical
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2026-02-25price $97,000
-
2026-02-11price $109,000
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2026-01-07price $115,000
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2025-12-24price $124,997
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2025-11-25price $124,998
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2025-11-14price $124,999
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2025-11-07$125,000 Active
-
2025-09-02historical
-
2025-08-29price $34,500
-
2025-08-21price $34,900
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2025-08-05price $39,900
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2025-08-01price $44,900
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2025-07-08status Active
-
2025-07-08price $45,000
-
2025-06-05status Under Contract
-
2025-05-29price $39,990
-
2025-05-23price $49,500
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2025-05-17$49,990 Active
-
2025-02-16historical
-
2025-02-01price $50,000
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2025-01-30price $54,000
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2025-01-29price $54,499
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2025-01-10price $54,999
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2024-12-21$59,999 Active
-
2019-10-17soldstatus Sold
-
2019-10-16status Under Contract
-
2019-10-16status Active
-
2019-10-09status Under Contract
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 4 d/yr ≥94°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,425
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,873
- − Property taxes
- −$1,305
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,714
- − Management
- −$1,714
- − HOA
- −$9,300
- − Depreciation
- −$2,531
- Taxable loss
- −$448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$107
- After-tax cash flow
- $518/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weber District
- NCES district ID
- 4901200
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,750
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5757
- State rank
- #56 of 80 in UT
Livability — Roy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #1449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roy, UT
- County
- Weber County · 260,557 people
- City population
- 38,794
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,794
- Household income
- $91,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Weber County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 274,329 people
- By 2030
- 288,577 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 314,848 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 338,710 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 384,412 · +40.1%
- By 2100
- 409,305 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weber
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 36.8% · R 60.3% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -284.84%
- Current HPI
- 323.642
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.45%
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+106.4% since first listed39 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $96,997 WFRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $96,998 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $96,999 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $97,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $97,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $109,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $115,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $124,997 WFRMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $124,998 WFRMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $124,999 WFRMLS
- 2025-11-07 Listed $125,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $34,500 WFRMLS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $34,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $39,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $44,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-07-08 Relisted — WFRMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $45,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-06-05 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2025-05-29 Price Changed $39,990 WFRMLS
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $49,500 WFRMLS
- 2025-05-17 Listed $49,990 WFRMLS
- 2025-02-16 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2025-02-01 Price Changed $50,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-01-30 Price Changed $54,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-01-29 Price Changed $54,499 WFRMLS
- 2025-01-10 Price Changed $54,999 WFRMLS
- 2024-12-21 Listed $59,999 WFRMLS
- 2019-10-17 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2019-10-16 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2019-10-16 Relisted — WFRMLS
- 2019-10-09 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2019-10-07 Price Changed $20,000 WFRMLS
- 2019-09-29 Price Changed $30,000 WFRMLS
- 2019-08-27 Relisted — WFRMLS
- 2019-08-22 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2019-08-14 Listed $39,900 WFRMLS
- 2002-09-09 Listed $47,000 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…