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102 South St
F Composite 32.79
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$145,000

102 South St · Mannsville, OK 73447
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1980 0.28 ac lot Est $109k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cozy and practical, this 3-Bedroom 1-Bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort and functionality. Featuring updated LVP flooring, fresh paint, and water softener. The fully equipped Kitchen boasts hard countertops, ample storage in beautiful oak cabinets and eat-in area. This spacious floorplan is complemented by a fenced backyard-perfect for pets or entertaining-and a covered carport for year-round convenience. Equipment shed in the backyard and additional storage in carport with laundry room. Move-in ready!

Key facts

  • Water softener
  • Covered carport
  • Updated lvp flooring

Tags

UPDATED LVP FLOORINGWATER SOFTENERHARD COUNTERTOPSAMPLE STORAGEFENCED BACKYARDCOVERED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (14.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (25.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#216 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mannsville (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #170 of 513 in OK (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Johnston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,186 (25.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.36%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$109,080
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 North St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-4%) 7mo $92,499 $89 64
209 S 16th 0.23mi 3/1.0 960 (-11%) 12mo $97,000 $101 61
400 E Broadway 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-7%) 21mo $123,000 $122 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$47,806
Equity at exit
$107,443
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
4.59×
Total profit
$145,662
Equity at exit
$210,732

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73447

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$-147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $123,673
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-47 -5% $-97 +0% $-147 +5% $-197 +10% $-248
Rent -10% $-233 -5% $-190 +0% $-147 +5% $-105 +10% $-62
Rate -1.0pp $-74 -0.5pp $-111 base $-147 +0.5pp $-185 +1.0pp $-223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,982
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$4,335
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,040
After-tax cash flow
$-728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mannsville
NCES district ID
4018870
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$44,781
Composite
32.46/100
National rank
#10855
State rank
#170 of 513 in OK

Livability — Mannsville

Score
63/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#15590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mannsville, OK
Population (ZIP)
1,104

Population outlook (Johnston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,201 people
By 2030
11,244 · +0.4%
By 2040
11,212 · +0.1%
By 2050
10,993 · -1.9%
By 2075
10,708 · -4.4%
By 2100
10,764 · -3.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Two or more races 23% Hispanic / Latino 15% Native American 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% European 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnston

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.2% · R 81.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.9pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+63.6 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+36.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.72%
Current HPI
381.0026
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $72 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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