4224 Cypress Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY!!! SOLD AS IS
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1974
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; House; One level
- Construction: Built (year from public records); Brick exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Brick construction; Slab foundation; Approximately 0.33-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Single-story home (bedroom level not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the living room; Central heating; Central electric air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Timberlawn Elementary School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #334 of 375 statewide, top 89%, 353 students, 100% FRL); Northwest Middle School (math 31% / reading 52%, grade F, #53 of 179 statewide, top 30%, 206 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.28%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,198
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 Cedarwood Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (+1%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $62 | 74 |
| 160 Waxwing Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+1%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $127 | 72 |
| 4251 Cypress Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (+11%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $61 | 71 |
| 236 Lake Cove Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-4%) | 15mo | $174,900 | $123 | 69 |
| 337 Woodcliff Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (+5%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $106 | 66 |
| 423 Cedarwood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (-0%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 405 Greenmont Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-7%) | 9mo | $182,900 | $133 | 56 |
| 346 Sharon Hills Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+3%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $102 | 56 |
| 4344 Will O Run Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-7%) | 9mo | $169,000 | $122 | 54 |
| 539 Winnwood | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (-11%) | 16mo | $109,900 | $83 | 44 |
| 5539 Will O Run Cir | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-4%) | 16mo | $119,500 | $84 | 44 |
| 4957 Oak Creek Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,401 (-6%) | 15mo | $140,000 | $100 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $626
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $32,663
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4954 Hanging Oak Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,215 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1457 Lakeview Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,426 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-17$125,000 Active
-
2026-03-12historical
-
2025-12-30price $115,000
-
2025-06-03status Active
-
2025-05-31historical
-
2025-05-28price $130,000
-
2025-05-20price $135,000
-
2025-01-29price $145,000
-
2024-12-11price $152,500
-
2024-11-06$155,000 Active
-
2024-08-19historical
-
2024-07-26price $154,500
-
2024-07-08price $158,000
-
2024-06-21$162,500 Active
-
2023-12-29soldstatus Closed
-
2023-11-08status Pending
-
2023-11-06price $68,000
-
2023-11-02price $70,000
-
2023-10-25price $75,000
-
2023-10-11price $80,000
-
2023-09-29$85,000 Active
-
2014-02-21soldstatus
-
2014-01-18$15,500
-
2013-08-23soldstatus
-
1978-09-27soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,154
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,464
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,682
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+706.5% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $125,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-12 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $115,000 MLSU
- 2025-06-03 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-05-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $130,000 MLSU
- 2025-05-20 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
- 2025-01-29 Price Changed $145,000 MLSU
- 2024-12-11 Price Changed $152,500 MLSU
- 2024-11-06 Listed $155,000 MLSU
- 2024-08-19 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-07-26 Price Changed $154,500 MLSU
- 2024-07-08 Price Changed $158,000 MLSU
- 2024-06-21 Listed $162,500 MLSU
- 2023-12-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-11-08 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-11-06 Price Changed $68,000 MLSU
- 2023-11-02 Price Changed $70,000 MLSU
- 2023-10-25 Price Changed $75,000 MLSU
- 2023-10-11 Price Changed $80,000 MLSU
- 2023-09-29 Listed $85,000 MLSU
- 2014-02-21 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2014-01-18 Listed $15,500 MLSU
- 2013-08-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1978-09-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,464 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…