78 Warren St · Pottstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute Row Home with LR & DR with 9 Ft. ceilings, Eat-in Kit, Sun Porch with skylights and sliders to back yard, heat and built-in AC on the main floor. 2nd floor holds 2 BRs, the main with build-ins, both BRs with 9 Ft. ceilings and BA. 3rd floor is finished, but without heat, suitable for storage or possible office area. Basement is unfinished but has laundry facilities, shower, and toilet. Possesses 3-zone heat and replacement windows. This neat and clean home is ready for you to move in and apply your personal touches. GL0433
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Shingle, pitched roof; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Full basement
- Exterior features: On-street parking; Lot dimensions approximately 15.00 x 0.00
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (all upper levels)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: 9' + ceilings; Carpet and luxury vinyl plank flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.0% in Pottstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#643 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Pottstown SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #504 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $128k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.13%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,828
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 Warren St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,212 (0%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $106 | 99 |
| 226 N Warren St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,180 (-3%) | 3mo | $226,000 | $192 | 77 |
| 412 Beech St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-2%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $114 | 76 |
| 923 Queen St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,207 (-0%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $137 | 69 |
| 173 N Franklin St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,315 (+8%) | 4mo | $209,900 | $160 | 64 |
| 256 Beech St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $152 | 64 |
| 322 South St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,066 (-12%) | 1mo | $197,500 | $185 | 58 |
| 890 South St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+8%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $196 | 54 |
| 847 South St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,109 (-8%) | 6mo | $209,900 | $189 | 53 |
| 474 N Franklin St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,382 (+14%) | 5mo | $183,500 | $133 | 48 |
| 505 N Hanover St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $186 | 44 |
| 516 Spruce St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,035 (-15%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $169 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,658
- Equity at exit
- $19,085
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $53,422
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19464
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,696 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,677/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $392
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $465 | -5% $428 | +0% $392 | +5% $356 | +10% $320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $258 | -5% $325 | +0% $392 | +5% $459 | +10% $526 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $457 | -0.5pp $425 | base $392 | +0.5pp $359 | +1.0pp $325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614 Beech St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 457 Walnut St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 226 Warren St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1180 | $2,050 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 420 Chestnut St Unit 2 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1034 | $1,795 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 541 Lincoln Ave Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,975 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 60 N Franklin St Unit 2 Pottstown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 384 E High St Apt 3 Pottstown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 450 South St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,995 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 824 E High St Unit 3 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 113 S Washington St Unit B Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 6d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 814 South St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,995 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 308 Walnut St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,950 | $2.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 56 S Charlotte St Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 909 | $1,520 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 262 Beech St Unit 2 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 220 N Penn St Unit 1 Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 20 S Hanover St Unit 2B Pottstown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 151 N Hanover St Unit 1 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 19d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 148 Walnut St Unit 2 Pottstown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 122 E 3rd St Unit 3 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 657 N Charlotte St Unit 2 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 261 N York St Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 261 N York St Unit A Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 63 King St Unit 2 Pottstown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 48 Chestnut St #2 Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 24 E 5th St Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 796 | $1,700 | $2.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5 E 2nd St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $2,000 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 207 Manatawny St Unit B Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1318 Cherry St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,250 | $1.81 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1412 Cherry Ln Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 644 Kline Ave Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1103 | $2,195 | $1.99 | 2d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 94 Hillside Dr Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,862 | $1.93 | 2d | 4 | 1.27mi |
| 422 Upland St Pottstown, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1082 | $1,650 | $1.52 | 2d | 5 | 1.29mi |
| 735 Fisher Ave Unit 2 Pottstown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-11$128,000 Active
-
2026-04-08historical $128,000
-
2017-06-09soldstatus $45,000 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
Cute Row Home with LR & DR with 9 Ft. ceilings, Eat-in Kit, Sun Porch with skylights and sliders to back yard, heat and built-in AC on the main floor. 2nd floor holds 2 BRs, the main with build-ins, both BRs with 9 Ft. ceilings and BA. 3rd floor is finished, but without heat, suitable for storage or possible office area. Basement is unfinished but has laundry facilities, shower, and toilet. Possesses 3-zone heat and replacement windows. This neat and clean home is ready for you to move in and apply your personal touches. GL0433
-
2017-06-09soldstatus $45,000 Sold 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
Cute Row Home with LR & DR with 9 Ft. ceilings, Eat-in Kit, Sun Porch with skylights and sliders to back yard, heat and built-in AC on the main floor. 2nd floor holds 2 BRs, the main with build-ins, both BRs with 9 Ft. ceilings and BA. 3rd floor is finished, but without heat, suitable for storage or possible office area. Basement is unfinished but has laundry facilities, shower, and toilet. Possesses 3-zone heat and replacement windows. This neat and clean home is ready for you to move in and apply your personal touches. GL0433
-
2017-04-18status Under Contract 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (541 chars)
Cute Row Home with LR & DR with 9 Ft. ceilings, Eat-in Kit, Sun Porch with skylights and sliders to back yard, heat and built-in AC on the main floor. 2nd floor holds 2 BRs, the main with build-ins, both BRs with 9 Ft. ceilings and BA. 3rd floor is finished, but without heat, suitable for storage or possible office area. Basement is unfinished but has laundry facilities, shower, and toilet. Possesses 3-zone heat and replacement windows. This neat and clean home is ready for you to move in and apply your personal touches. GL0433
-
2017-02-10$49,900 Active 541-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Cute Row Home with LR & DR with 9 Ft. ceilings, Eat-in Kit, Sun Porch with skylights and sliders to back yard, heat and built-in AC on the main floor. 2nd floor holds 2 BRs, the main with build-ins, both BRs with 9 Ft. ceilings and BA. 3rd floor is finished, but without heat, suitable for storage or possible office area. Basement is unfinished but has laundry facilities, shower, and toilet. Possesses 3-zone heat and replacement windows. This neat and clean home is ready for you to move in and apply your personal touches. GL0433
-
2017-02-10$49,900 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Cute Row Home with LR & DR with 9 Ft. ceilings, Eat-in Kit, Sun Porch with skylights and sliders to back yard, heat and built-in AC on the main floor. 2nd floor holds 2 BRs, the main with build-ins, both BRs with 9 Ft. ceilings and BA. 3rd floor is finished, but without heat, suitable for storage or possible office area. Basement is unfinished but has laundry facilities, shower, and toilet. Possesses 3-zone heat and replacement windows. This neat and clean home is ready for you to move in and apply your personal touches. GL0433
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,677 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,677 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$2,677
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,628
- − Management
- −$1,628
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable income
- $2,885
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$692
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,014/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottstown SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219680
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,739
- Composite
- 14.78/100
- National rank
- #9390
- State rank
- #504 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pottstown
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #643
- US rank
- #6257
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pottstown, PA
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- City population
- 49,101
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,101
- Household income
- $79,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1797.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.73%
- Current HPI
- 271.9399
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.93%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+156.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $128,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $128,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-06-09 Sold (MLS) $45,000 TREND
- 2017-06-09 Sold (MLS) $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-04-18 Pending — TREND
- 2017-02-10 Listed $49,900 TREND
- 2017-02-10 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,677 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…