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9115 E 46th Pl
D+ Composite 47.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,900

9115 E 46th Pl · Tulsa, OK 74145
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,170 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1970 8,320 sqft lot Est $191k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ceramic Tile to Large Open Living, New Tile in Dining & Kitchen. Butlers Inside Seperate Loundry, Master w/ Bath & Walk-In, All New Carpet Paint, Tile, Appliances & Fixtures, Privacy Fenced Large Yard.

Key facts

  • 8,320 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1970

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces west; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Privacy fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Oven; Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate countertops; Vinyl window features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-166/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (1.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (17.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Union (urban): math 20% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #160 of 270 in OK (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Grove Es (math 16% / reading 15%, grade F, #588 of 845 statewide, top 70%, 548 students, 0% FRL); Union 6Th-7Th Grade Ctr (math 18% / reading 17%, grade F, #186 of 345 statewide, top 55%, 2,182 students, 0% FRL); Union Hs (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #139 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 3,355 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $89k; list at $155k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,520 (17.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.38%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$190,710
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4640 S 86th EastAvenue 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+3%) 5mo $120,000 $100 73
4838 S 85th EastAvenue E 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,160 (-1%) 6mo $139,900 $121 70
4650 S 86th EastAvenue 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,291 (+10%) 1mo $222,500 $172 63
9412 E 40th Pl 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,226 (+5%) 2mo $120,000 $98 62
5031 S 88th EastAvenue 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,204 (+3%) 20mo $189,000 $157 56
9006 E 39th St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,227 (+5%) 9mo $220,000 $179 54
4722 S 85th EastAvenue 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,340 (+14%) 6mo $227,000 $169 48
8505 E 47th Pl 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+13%) 13mo $215,000 $163 48
3859 S 88th East Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,290 (+10%) 11mo $235,000 $182 39
3833 S 88th Pl 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,309 (+12%) 19mo $210,000 $160 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-21,071
Equity at exit
$23,096
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,275
Equity at exit
$13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74145

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,275 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,733/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,293
Max offer price $152,451
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $74 -5% $30 +0% $-14 +5% $-58 +10% $-102
Rent -10% $-115 -5% $-64 +0% $-14 +5% $37 +10% $87
Rate -1.0pp $64 -0.5pp $26 base $-14 +0.5pp $-54 +1.0pp $-95

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4858 S 78th E Pl Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.5–2.5 1147 $1,154 $1.01 0d 3 0.91mi
7643 E 51st St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $839 $1.08 0d 2 1.08mi
4974 S 76th East Ave Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $989 $1.13 17d 3 1.20mi
9730 E 33rd St Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0–2.0 822 $1,154 $1.40 14d 2 1.32mi
3218 S 93rd East Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0 732 $1,000 $1.37 0d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $154,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    remarks 486-char remark
  4. 2026-06-13
    listed $154,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,733 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,733 · $144/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,302
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$1,733
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,224
− Management
−$1,224
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable loss
−$2,836
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$681
After-tax cash flow
$514/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union
NCES district ID
4030600
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$52,744
Composite
18.18/100
National rank
#8962
State rank
#160 of 270 in OK

Livability — Tulsa

Score
75/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#4058

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tulsa, OK
County
Tulsa County · 640,811 people
City population
389,418
Metro
Tulsa, OK
Population (ZIP)
18,196
Household income
$58,706
Rent vs Own
42.7% rent · 57.3% own
Severe rent burden
566.0

Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
723,846 people
By 2030
766,033 · +5.8%
By 2040
851,386 · +17.6%
By 2050
938,389 · +29.6%
By 2075
1,166,011 · +61.1%
By 2100
1,350,277 · +86.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 18% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa

2024 margin
R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -168.71%
Current HPI
236.7578
Rent YoY
▲ 6.70%
Metro
Tulsa, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $154,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2005-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-15 Sold (MLS) $89,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2005-08-02 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2005-06-06 Listed $89,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,733 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…