Multi-family
508 W Marion St · Lititz, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy Semi detached on a quiet street. Hardwood floors throughout, fresh paint and new kitchen and bath. Gas heat and central air. Nice yard for entertaining.
Key facts
- Built 1965
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway; Driveway and off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (100 Amp); Natural gas available; Hot water: Natural gas
- Home design: Semi-detached home; Shingle roof; Fee simple ownership; Located in a suburban setting; Public road access (paved)
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Poured concrete foundation; Basement: Full, daylight with outside entrance, walkout stairs, windows; unfinished
- Exterior features: Level lot; Wood fencing; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Single oven; Gas oven/range; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic; Breakfast area; Built-ins; Combination kitchen and dining area; Dining area; Family room off kitchen; Traditional floor plan; Eat-in kitchen; Master bath(s); Window treatments; Atrium door
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.9% in Lititz — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#57 in PA, #396 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Warwick SD (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #158 of 539 in PA (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,204/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 1164% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $275k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.35%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,382
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- 0.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $50,869
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $167,223
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17543
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$266 /mo · $3,196/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$883
- Net cashflow
- $1,498
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,654 | -5% $1,576 | +0% $1,498 | +5% $1,420 | +10% $1,342 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,166 | -5% $1,332 | +0% $1,498 | +5% $1,664 | +10% $1,830 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,637 | -0.5pp $1,568 | base $1,498 | +0.5pp $1,427 | +1.0pp $1,354 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $4,204 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,102 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,102 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,204 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 446 Crosswinds Dr Lititz, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $2,250 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 446 Crosswinds Dr Lititz, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 100 W Kleine Ln Lititz, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $2,095 | $2.40 | 14d | 12 | 0.80mi |
| 100 Wickshire Cir Lititz, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $3,688 | $3.55 | 14d | 4 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending 725-char remark
-
2026-04-30$275,000 Active 725-char remark
-
2026-04-27historical $275,000 725-char remark
-
2019-06-10soldstatus $169,900
-
2019-05-30soldstatus $169,900 Closed 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy Semi detached on a quiet street. Hardwood floors throughout, fresh paint and new kitchen and bath. Gas heat and central air. Nice yard for entertaining.
-
2019-05-02status Pending 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy Semi detached on a quiet street. Hardwood floors throughout, fresh paint and new kitchen and bath. Gas heat and central air. Nice yard for entertaining.
-
2019-04-26$169,900 Active 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy Semi detached on a quiet street. Hardwood floors throughout, fresh paint and new kitchen and bath. Gas heat and central air. Nice yard for entertaining.
-
1990-03-02soldstatus $73,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,196 · $266/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,771 · $314/mo
- Expected delta
- +$574/yr (+$48/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$3,196
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,036
- − Management
- −$4,036
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $14,401
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,456
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warwick SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224960
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,696
- Composite
- 44.03/100
- National rank
- #2884
- State rank
- #158 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lititz
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lititz, PA
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 45,912
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,912
- Household income
- $97,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1164.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, India, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -283.22%
- Current HPI
- 265.3653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+276.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
- 2019-05-30 Sold (MLS) $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-26 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1990-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2026): $3,196 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…