103 E Magnolia St · Kissimmee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellently maintained Triplex with 3 one bedroom/one bath units. One unit is currently rented. Great investment opportunity! Live in one unit and rent out the other two!
Key facts
- 9,932 sq ft lot
- Built 1904
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: KRA2
- Financial info: Multifamily: 2 units listed in summary; unit breakdown shows 1 apartment with 4 beds/2 baths and 2 apartments with 2 beds/2 baths; Annual net income reported as $0.00; Pro forma rents indicated: one unit approx. 1800 and other units approx. 1400 (units' pro forma values listed)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Residential income property — Triplex; One building on the lot; Entry level and facing direction not specified
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built within last century (year built not specified)
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.23 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: 8 total bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Multiple bathrooms (unit breakdown available)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: No dedicated laundry listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 9-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $209k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.5% in Kissimmee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#181 in FL, #2,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D-, employment D-.
- Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.38%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-3,082
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $17,239
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34744
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 563
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,633 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,518/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$553
- Net cashflow
- $604
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $722 | -5% $663 | +0% $604 | +5% $544 | +10% $485 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $396 | -5% $500 | +0% $604 | +5% $708 | +10% $812 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $709 | -0.5pp $657 | base $604 | +0.5pp $549 | +1.0pp $494 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-13remarks 448-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $209,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 408-char remark
-
2026-06-10$219,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,518 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,518 · $293/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,593
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$3,518
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,527
- − Management
- −$2,527
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable income
- $4,187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,005
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osceola
- NCES district ID
- 1201470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,528
- Composite
- 35.7/100
- National rank
- #4865
- State rank
- #60 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kissimmee
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #2841
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kissimmee, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 410,217 people
- City population
- 196,187
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,582
- Household income
- $74,537
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2462.0
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,624 people
- By 2030
- 511,823 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 642,986 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 774,552 · +73.0%
- By 2075
- 1,078,144 · +140.9%
- By 2100
- 1,269,660 · +183.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 23% White 21% Black 8% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 32% Cuban 4% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 53% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.17%
- Current HPI
- 277.404
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.54%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+338.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2007-09-07 Sold (MLS) $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-16 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-12 Listed $237,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $192,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-04 Sold (MLS) $192,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-11 Listed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1983-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,518 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…