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616 Cypress St
C Composite 59.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

616 Cypress St · Manistee, MI 49660
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · SingleFamily · 41 Days on market
Built 1900 3,485 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4 bed/1 bath home needs some TLC and would make a great first home or investment/rental property. Basement, detached garage, and situated on a corner lot. CASH ONLY. NO LAND CONTRACTS.

Key facts

  • Basement
  • Corner lot
  • Detached garage

Tags

BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGECORNER LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Shared septic
  • Home design: Two-story single-family residence; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 29.5 x 117

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Block basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.0% in Manistee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,543 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
  • Manistee Area Public Schools (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #284 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Manistee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manistee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $105k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.27%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$246,448
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
289 6th St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,677 (-1%) 0mo $213,900 $128 90
534 Hancock St 0.17mi 4/1.0 1,682 (-0%) 5mo $132,000 $78 87
817 Oak St 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,658 (-2%) 0mo $310,000 $187 78
359 10th St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (-3%) 7mo $249,000 $153 68
305 5th St 0.18mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,826 (+8%) 7mo $306,000 $168 65
810 Vine St 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,696 (+0%) 5mo $82,000 $48 61
511 Browning Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,643 (-3%) 0mo $429,000 $261 57
1335 Greenwich St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,840 (+9%) 1mo $275,000 $149 56
418 5th St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,856 (+10%) 8mo $270,000 $145 53
479 Fourth St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,579 (-6%) 8mo $230,000 $146 47
38 Lake St 0.73mi 4/1.0 1,482 (-12%) 1mo $170,000 $115 45
217 5th Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,856 (+10%) 8mo $225,000 $121 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,482
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$16,740
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49660

Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,515/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,018
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $287 -5% $257 +0% $227 +5% $197 +10% $168
Rent -10% $124 -5% $176 +0% $227 +5% $279 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $280 -0.5pp $254 base $227 +0.5pp $200 +1.0pp $172

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on marketlisting id $105,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    listing id $105,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 23 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $105,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (189 chars)

    This 4 bed/1 bath home needs some TLC and would make a great first home or investment/rental property. Basement, detached garage, and situated on a corner lot. CASH ONLY. NO LAND CONTRACTS.

  18. 2026-05-08
    listed $105,000 Active 189-char remark
    Show marketing remark (189 chars)

    This 4 bed/1 bath home needs some TLC and would make a great first home or investment/rental property. Basement, detached garage, and situated on a corner lot. CASH ONLY. NO LAND CONTRACTS.

  19. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $35,000 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.

  20. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $35,000
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.

  21. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $35,000
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.

  22. 2018-05-07
    listed $38,500 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.

  23. 2018-05-07
    listed $38,500
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.

  24. 2018-05-07
    listed $38,500
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.

  25. 2018-03-25
    historical
  26. 2018-03-25
    historical
  27. 2018-03-25
    historical
  28. 2017-03-25
    listed $39,900
  29. 2017-03-25
    listed $39,900
  30. 2017-03-25
    listed $39,900
  31. 2003-11-10
    soldstatus $77,900
  32. 2003-11-10
    soldstatus $77,900
  33. 2003-02-10
    listed $79,900
  34. 2003-02-10
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,515 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,515 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,662
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,515
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,180
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$283
After-tax cash flow
$2,442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manistee Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622410
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$42,417
Composite
30.02/100
National rank
#6358
State rank
#284 of 540 in MI

Livability — Manistee

Score
78/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#2543

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Manistee, MI
Population (ZIP)
14,501

Population outlook (Manistee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,785 people
By 2030
23,227 · -2.3%
By 2040
21,795 · -8.4%
By 2050
20,653 · -13.2%
By 2075
18,833 · -20.8%
By 2100
15,491 · -34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manistee

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.2% · R 57.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.3pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+5.9 2008: D+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.26%
Current HPI
214.9984
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $35,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-07 Listed $38,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-07 Listed $38,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-05-07 Listed $38,500 REALCOMP
  • 2018-03-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2017-03-25 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-03-25 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2017-03-25 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-11-10 Sold (MLS) $77,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-11-10 Sold (MLS) $77,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2003-02-10 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-02-10 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,515 · +36.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…