616 Cypress St · Manistee, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 4 bed/1 bath home needs some TLC and would make a great first home or investment/rental property. Basement, detached garage, and situated on a corner lot. CASH ONLY. NO LAND CONTRACTS.
Key facts
- Basement
- Corner lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Shared septic
- Home design: Two-story single-family residence; Residential zoning
- Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 29.5 x 117
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Block basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.0% in Manistee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#103 in MI, #2,543 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Manistee Area Public Schools (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #284 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Manistee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manistee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $105k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.27%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,448
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289 6th St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,677 (-1%) | 0mo | $213,900 | $128 | 90 |
| 534 Hancock St | 0.17mi | 4/1.0 | 1,682 (-0%) | 5mo | $132,000 | $78 | 87 |
| 817 Oak St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,658 (-2%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $187 | 78 |
| 359 10th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-3%) | 7mo | $249,000 | $153 | 68 |
| 305 5th St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,826 (+8%) | 7mo | $306,000 | $168 | 65 |
| 810 Vine St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,696 (+0%) | 5mo | $82,000 | $48 | 61 |
| 511 Browning Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,643 (-3%) | 0mo | $429,000 | $261 | 57 |
| 1335 Greenwich St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,840 (+9%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $149 | 56 |
| 418 5th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,856 (+10%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $145 | 53 |
| 479 Fourth St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,579 (-6%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 38 Lake St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 | 1,482 (-12%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $115 | 45 |
| 217 5th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,856 (+10%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $121 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,482
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $16,740
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49660
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,515/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $257 | +0% $227 | +5% $197 | +10% $168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $176 | +0% $227 | +5% $279 | +10% $330 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $280 | -0.5pp $254 | base $227 | +0.5pp $200 | +1.0pp $172 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01$105,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-08$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
This 4 bed/1 bath home needs some TLC and would make a great first home or investment/rental property. Basement, detached garage, and situated on a corner lot. CASH ONLY. NO LAND CONTRACTS.
-
2026-05-08$105,000 Active 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
This 4 bed/1 bath home needs some TLC and would make a great first home or investment/rental property. Basement, detached garage, and situated on a corner lot. CASH ONLY. NO LAND CONTRACTS.
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $35,000 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $35,000
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $35,000
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.
-
2018-05-07$38,500 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.
-
2018-05-07$38,500
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.
-
2018-05-07$38,500
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Looking for an investment then here it is. Two story home in the City of Manistee with 4 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a detached 1 car garage. The kitchen has nice high ceilings and a big pantry and the second floor has two bedrooms with updated windows and a huge walk in closet. There is also a full basement with an outside entrance and updated electrical. The home does need TLC but would make a great fixer upper! Home will not qualify for financing.
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2018-03-25historical
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2018-03-25historical
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2018-03-25historical
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2017-03-25$39,900
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2017-03-25$39,900
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2017-03-25$39,900
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2003-11-10soldstatus $77,900
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2003-11-10soldstatus $77,900
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2003-02-10$79,900
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2003-02-10$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,515 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,515 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,515
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manistee Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2622410
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,417
- Composite
- 30.02/100
- National rank
- #6358
- State rank
- #284 of 540 in MI
Livability — Manistee
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #2543
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Manistee, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,501
Population outlook (Manistee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,785 people
- By 2030
- 23,227 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 21,795 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 20,653 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 18,833 · -20.8%
- By 2100
- 15,491 · -34.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manistee
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.2% · R 57.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.3pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+5.9 2008: D+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.26%
- Current HPI
- 214.9984
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+31.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $35,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-07-20 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-05-07 Listed $38,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-05-07 Listed $38,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-05-07 Listed $38,500 REALCOMP
- 2018-03-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-03-25 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-03-25 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2017-03-25 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-10 Sold (MLS) $77,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-10 Sold (MLS) $77,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2003-02-10 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-02-10 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,515 · +36.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…