CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1508 Courtland Cir
B- Composite 65.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

1508 Courtland Cir · Clovis, NM 88101
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,407 sqft · Other · 77 Days on market
Built 1971 9,120 sqft lot $92/sqft · 45% below area Est $234k · 45% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1508 Courtland Circle. This home boasts a traditional floorplan with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Extra large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Large yard and attached 2 car garage. Located in East Clovis and walking distance to Zia Elementary School. Call today to schedule your private viewing

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • 9,120 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

WOODBURNING FIREPLACELARGE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.60%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,086
List price
$129,900
Delta
-44.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-717
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$36,888
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,550/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,094
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $334 -5% $297 +0% $261 +5% $224 +10% $187
Rent -10% $148 -5% $204 +0% $261 +5% $317 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $294 base $261 +0.5pp $227 +1.0pp $193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2517 Ross St Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 991 $950 $0.96 45d 1 0.61mi
1621 N Lea St Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,500 $0.91 45d 1 0.76mi
37 Paseo Vlg Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1564 $1,600 $1.02 45d 1 0.81mi
3520 Adenmor Ct Clovis, NM 2.0 1.5 1230 $1,200 $0.98 45d 1 0.85mi
2112 Fred Daugherty Ave Apt C Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 45d 1 0.92mi
800 Laurelwood Dr Unit 804-2 Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 897 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 1.06mi
2500 E 14th St Unit 2502-B Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 45d 1 1.11mi
144 Chisum Dr Unit A 1244 Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,550 $1.46 45d 1 1.11mi
3205 N Main St Unit 301 Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1017 $1,350 $1.33 45d 1 1.26mi
1313 Mission Dr Unit a Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,400 $1.33 45d 1 1.29mi
2101 Bobwhite Ct Unit B Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 981 $1,200 $1.22 45d 1 1.31mi
112 Cades Ct Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1478 $1,800 $1.22 45d 1 1.37mi
213 Almond Tree Ln Clovis, NM 4.0 2.0 1601 $1,700 $1.06 45d 1 1.38mi
2365 Marlene Blvd Unit B Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 956 $2,000 $2.09 45d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $129,900 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $129,900 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,900 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    price $139,900 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Welcome to 1508 Courtland Circle. This home boasts a traditional floorplan with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Extra large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Large yard and attached 2 car garage. Located in East Clovis and walking distance to Zia Elementary School. Call today to schedule your private viewing

  17. 2026-04-03
    listed $145,000 Active 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Welcome to 1508 Courtland Circle. This home boasts a traditional floorplan with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Extra large living room with a woodburning fireplace. Large yard and attached 2 car garage. Located in East Clovis and walking distance to Zia Elementary School. Call today to schedule your private viewing

  18. 2024-02-26
    soldstatus
  19. 2024-02-23
    soldstatus Closed 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home that just needs a little TLC. This home features 2 large living areas that are open to each other. Both living areas and the bedrooms have a wood look flooring. The Master Bedroom has an attached bathroom. The washer & dryer are located in the hall bath. Lots of living space in this home.

  20. 2024-01-25
    status Pending 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home that just needs a little TLC. This home features 2 large living areas that are open to each other. Both living areas and the bedrooms have a wood look flooring. The Master Bedroom has an attached bathroom. The washer & dryer are located in the hall bath. Lots of living space in this home.

  21. 2023-11-27
    listed $145,000 Active 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home that just needs a little TLC. This home features 2 large living areas that are open to each other. Both living areas and the bedrooms have a wood look flooring. The Master Bedroom has an attached bathroom. The washer & dryer are located in the hall bath. Lots of living space in this home.

  22. 2023-09-27
    soldstatus
  23. 2014-05-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,550 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,550 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,091
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,550
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$1,101
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$264
After-tax cash flow
$2,863/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-3.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $139,900 NMMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $145,000 NMMLS
  • 2024-02-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-02-23 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2024-01-25 Pending NMMLS
  • 2023-11-27 Listed $145,000 NMMLS
  • 2023-09-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-05-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,550 · +22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…