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123 Evelyn St
D Composite 41.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

123 Evelyn St · DeSoto, TX 75115
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1968 $155/sqft · 16% below area Est $268k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NICE 3 BED 1.5 BATH HOME WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. FRESH PAINT, RECENTLY REPLACED FLOORING.LARGE LIVING AREA OPEN TO KITCHEN. HUGE FENCED YARD IN WELL ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD. THE HOME IS CURRENTLY RENTED AS INVESTMENT HOME. LEASE EXPIRES JULY 2026. MONTHLY RENT IS $1750.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1968

Tags

FENCED YARDWELL ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (10.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (10.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in DeSoto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#589 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Desoto ISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #754 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.6%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,856 (10.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
5.59%
Cash-on-cash
-2.50%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$267,654
List price
$225,000
Delta
-15.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 Evelyn St 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,493 (+2%) 4mo $189,000 $127 88
118 Evelyn St 0.04mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,410 (-3%) 2mo $286,000 $203 84
236 Evelyn St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,450 (-0%) 4mo $265,000 $183 79
208 Evelyn St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,341 (-8%) 8mo $275,000 $205 74
221 Evelyn St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-3%) 11mo $285,000 $202 73
523 Faye St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,642 (+13%) 6mo $270,000 $164 67
627 Randa Ln 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-12%) 7mo $259,000 $203 64
709 Priscilla 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,525 (+5%) 16mo $240,000 $157 59
422 Brookview Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,552 (+7%) 1mo $245,000 $158 52
405 Derby Ln 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,662 (+14%) 12mo $310,000 $187 45
911 Whitewater Trl 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,556 (+7%) 12mo $264,000 $170 45
612 Desoto Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,662 (+14%) 11mo $260,000 $156 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.2%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-50,590
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-33.4%
Equity multiple
-0.22×
Total profit
$-77,132
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75115

Rents YoY
-2.6%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,021 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$454 /mo · $5,447/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$-131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,187
Max offer price $201,856
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Evelyn St Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1592 $1,900 $1.19 43d 1 0.11mi
508 Nora Ln Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1837 $2,125 $1.16 43d 1 0.18mi
120 Westmoreland Rd Unit 2201 DeSoto, TX 2.0 2.0 949 $1,899 $2.00 24d 1 0.31mi
426 Newcastle Dr DeSoto, TX 3.0 2.5 1834 $1,600 $0.87 4d 1 0.45mi
720 Nora Ln Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1733 $1,950 $1.13 4d 1 0.47mi
928 Eagle Dr Desoto, TX 4.0 2.5 1766 $2,195 $1.24 4d 1 0.77mi
532 Saddle Head Dr Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1751 $2,420 $1.38 43d 1 0.85mi
518 N Hampton Rd Desoto, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,610 $1.89 43d 1 0.89mi
1052 Twin Falls Dr Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1730 $1,995 $1.15 43d 1 0.90mi
216 Wesley Dr Desoto, TX 4.0 2.0 1769 $2,299 $1.30 22d 1 0.94mi
221 Connie Dr Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1755 $2,095 $1.19 4d 1 0.97mi
115 Brook Hollow Dr Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,931 $1.27 24d 1 0.98mi
115 Brook Hollow Dr Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,835 $1.21 20d 1 0.98mi
439 Chestnut Ln Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,795 $1.25 43d 1 1.09mi
816 Red Bud Dr Desoto, TX 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,350 $1.11 43d 1 1.10mi
434 Chestnut Ln DeSoto, TX 4.0 2.0 1258 $1,950 $1.55 20d 1 1.12mi
432 Chestnut Ln Unit 434 DeSoto, TX 4.0 2.0 1258 $1,950 $1.55 10d 1 1.12mi
432 Chestnut Ln Unit 434 DeSoto, TX 4.0 2.0 1258 $1,950 $1.55 20d 1 1.12mi
522 E Lanett Dr Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1822 $2,385 $1.31 43d 1 1.16mi
514 E Belt Line Rd Unit B13 DeSoto, TX 2.0 1.5 1106 $1,550 $1.40 24d 1 1.20mi
632 Mockingbird Ln Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1783 $2,400 $1.35 7d 1 1.24mi
912 Oak Trl Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1722 $2,000 $1.16 7d 1 1.26mi
511 Amber Ln Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1353 $2,200 $1.63 24d 1 1.28mi
828 Haverford Ln Desoto, TX 3.0 2.0 1394 $2,000 $1.43 7d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $225,000 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-03-01
    listed $225,000 Active 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    NICE 3 BED 1.5 BATH HOME WITH 2 CAR GARAGE. FRESH PAINT, RECENTLY REPLACED FLOORING.LARGE LIVING AREA OPEN TO KITCHEN. HUGE FENCED YARD IN WELL ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD. THE HOME IS CURRENTLY RENTED AS INVESTMENT HOME. LEASE EXPIRES JULY 2026. MONTHLY RENT IS $1750.

  16. 2026-02-28
    historical
  17. 2025-11-20
    listed $225,000 Active
  18. 2003-06-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,447 · $454/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,447 · $454/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,252
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$5,447
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,940
− Management
−$1,940
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$5,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,284
After-tax cash flow
$-288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desoto ISD
NCES district ID
4816860
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$61,556
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8851
State rank
#754 of 826 in TX

Livability — DeSoto

Score
66/100
State rank
#589
US rank
#11236

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
DeSoto, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
56,211
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
56,211
Household income
$82,782
Rent vs Own
30.4% rent · 69.6% own
Severe rent burden
1867.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -170.49%
Current HPI
272.1565
Rent YoY
▼ -2.60%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-28 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2003-06-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,447 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…