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7717 Church Ave #64
C+ Composite 62.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,999

7717 Church Ave #64 · Highland, CA 92346
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · Manufactured public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1998 $151/sqft · 12% above area Est $165k · 12% over ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1998

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.9% in Highland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#618 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-; Watch: schools C-, commute D+, crime D-.
  • San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,899 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.93%
Cash-on-cash
16.57%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,000
List price
$184,999
Delta
12.12%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7717 Church Ave #166 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-6%) 7mo $128,000 $111 85
7717 Church Ave #34 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-2%) 12mo $195,000 $163 82
7717 Church Ave #77 0.00mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-6%) 7mo $150,000 $130 79
7717 Church Ave #163 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+1%) 24mo $165,000 $134 79
7717 Church #48 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (-10%) 8mo $65,000 $59 72
7717 Church Ave #39 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 20mo $198,990 $148 67
7717 Church Ave #147 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,340 (+10%) 21mo $155,000 $116 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$15,377
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$71,256
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92346

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,524 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$530
Net cashflow
$715

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618
Max offer price $184,999
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27531 Temple St Highland, CA 3.0 2.0 1144 $2,650 $2.32 10d 1 0.17mi
7000 La Praix St Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 865 $2,200 $2.54 1d 1 0.90mi
7925 Midhurst Dr Highland, CA 3.0 1.5 1326 $2,450 $1.85 24d 1 0.98mi
7767 Colwyn Ave Highland, CA 3.0 1.5 1107 $2,500 $2.26 24d 1 1.03mi
7257 Wakefield Ct Highland, CA 3.0 2.0 1183 $2,395 $2.02 24d 1 1.14mi
28561 Foxboro Ln Highland, CA 4.0 2.5 1437 $3,150 $2.19 18d 1 1.21mi
6787 Cole Ave Highland, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1005 $2,550 $2.54 1d 1 1.26mi
7221 Olive St Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 866 $2,150 $2.48 43d 1 1.26mi
26660 9th St Highland, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 755 $2,050 $2.72 1d 4 1.30mi
28349 Saffron Ave Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,500 $3.12 43d 1 1.32mi
3511 Rainbow Ln Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 780 $2,050 $2.63 2d 1 1.36mi
28638 Strathmore Rd Highland, CA 2.0 2.0 966 $2,500 $2.59 43d 1 1.37mi
7410 San Francisco St Highland, CA 2.0 2.0 864 $2,400 $2.78 20d 1 1.37mi
7410 San Francisco St Highland, CA 2.0 2.0 864 $2,500 $2.89 24d 1 1.37mi
26814 Mansfield St Highland, CA 3.0 1.0 1275 $2,850 $2.24 43d 1 1.39mi
3532 Rainbow Ln Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 882 $2,100 $2.38 1d 1 1.39mi
3479 20th St Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 882 $1,995 $2.26 43d 1 1.44mi
3495 21st St Unit B Highland, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 43d 1 1.49mi
3404 20th St #1 Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 780 $2,195 $2.81 2d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,999 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,999 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,999 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,999 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,999 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,999 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,999 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $184,999 Active 78 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $184,999 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $184,999 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,999 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $184,999 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $184,999 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-05-02
    price $178,765
  15. 2026-03-21
    listed $184,897 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,282
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,423
− Management
−$2,423
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$5,993
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,438
After-tax cash flow
$7,143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Bernardino City Unified
NCES district ID
0634170
Math proficiency
27% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,758
Composite
30.8/100
National rank
#11385
State rank
#959 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Highland

Score
59/100
State rank
#618
US rank
#19608

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment C Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Highland, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
56,179
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
56,179
Household income
$85,163
Rent vs Own
32.9% rent · 67.1% own
Severe rent burden
1816.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 26% Two or more races 14% Black 8% Asian 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -328.00%
Current HPI
367.2829
Rent YoY
▲ 2.91%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $178,765 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $184,897 CRMLS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $283 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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