2605 Marion St · Hopewell, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
Key facts
- Detached rear garage
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,615 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, schools F.
- Hopewell Area SD (suburban): math 36% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #191 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $120k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.06%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,436
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -18.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2406 Marion St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+2%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $197 | 89 |
| 2515 Martha St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 911 (+7%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $154 | 79 |
| 2513 Martha St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 911 (+7%) | 19mo | $138,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 14 Cedar Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 799 (-6%) | 3mo | $27,500 | $34 | 64 |
| 2013 Davidson St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 882 (+4%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 2445 Linden Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 | 936 (+10%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $166 | 56 |
| 2013 Main St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+9%) | 17mo | $100,000 | $108 | 48 |
| 1302 Allen St | 0.49mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 776 (-9%) | 18mo | $83,500 | $108 | 41 |
| 106 Larry St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+10%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $85 | 40 |
| 1809 Main St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+13%) | 16mo | $95,000 | $99 | 34 |
| 1823 Davidson St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+13%) | 12mo | $53,000 | $55 | 34 |
| 1829 Davidson St | 0.64mi | 2/1.5 | 960 (+13%) | 18mo | $121,000 | $126 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,065
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,262
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15001
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,064/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1620 Polk St Aliquippa, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,045 | $0.93 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2971 Kane Rd Aliquippa, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1173 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 1d | 18 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 352 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 351 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 350 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 343 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 342 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 341 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 338 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 337 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 335 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 334 DOM
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2026-05-15price $119,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2026-03-24price $129,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2026-01-21price $137,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2025-11-11price $139,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2025-09-08price $149,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2025-08-11price $159,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2025-07-01$170,000 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Investor Alert! Great 2 bedroom rancher, fenced in front and rear yard, detached rear garage. Covered rear patio area. Updated gas forced air furnace and a/c and updated hot water heater. Currently occupied by tenant on a month to month lease for $1,000 a month. Being sold in as-is condition.
-
2022-05-18historical Contingent 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
2 bedroom home with many updates located in Hopewell Township. Detached one car garage. Updated furnace and H2O tank. Updated windows, Updated kitchen. Clean up and clean out in process.
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2022-05-04$119,999 Active 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
2 bedroom home with many updates located in Hopewell Township. Detached one car garage. Updated furnace and H2O tank. Updated windows, Updated kitchen. Clean up and clean out in process.
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1995-09-15soldstatus $45,000
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1995-09-05soldstatus $45,000
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1995-05-17$45,000
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1955-11-01soldstatus $11,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,064 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,064 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$2,064
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $509
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$122
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hopewell Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212030
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,944
- Composite
- 41.98/100
- National rank
- #3340
- State rank
- #191 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hopewell
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1615
- US rank
- #22072
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Beaver County · 116,001 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,976
- Household income
- $70,985
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 720.0
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 13% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.21%
- Current HPI
- 247.7251
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+924.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $119,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $129,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $137,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $139,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $149,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $159,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-07-01 Listed $170,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-05-18 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2022-05-04 Listed $119,999 West Penn MLS
- 1995-09-15 Sold (MLS) $45,000 West Penn MLS
- 1995-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1995-05-17 Listed $45,000 West Penn MLS
- 1955-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,064 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…