CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
128 Croton Ave
B Composite 72.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

128 Croton Ave · Ossining, NY 10562
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,622 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1872 2,269 sqft lot ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Everything new! Move right into this centrally located mixed use home and call it your own. Are you a business owner or looking to make supplemental income as a landlord? Live in this turn key ready home while renting the lower level as an office or in-law space. Recent upgrades include new siding, new plumbing and electric, new kitchen and bathrooms. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

Key facts

  • 2,269 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1872

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single family residence
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Finished full basement; Partial attic; 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 2.9% in Ossining — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#116 in NY, #1,876 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Ossining Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #104 of 590 in NY (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Park School (543 students, 46% FRL); Anne M Dorner Middle School (math 42% / reading 64%, grade C+, #231 of 729 statewide, top 32%, 1,033 students, 51% FRL); Ossining High School (math 86% / reading 82%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 1,552 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $250k (56%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1872 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1872 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
15.44%
Cash-on-cash
32.65%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$639,068
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 Eldridge Ave 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,610 (-1%) 4mo $625,000 $388 86
4 Spaulding Pl 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,636 (+1%) 0mo $700,500 $428 86
5 Sabrina Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,646 (+2%) 5mo $645,000 $392 75
59 Watson Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,730 (+7%) 1mo $649,222 $375 72
11 Sutton Pl 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,444 (-11%) 5mo $715,000 $495 68
16 Forest Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,488 (-8%) 7mo $577,700 $388 58
61 Snowden Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,516 (-6%) 5mo $515,000 $340 52
19 First Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,512 (-7%) 7mo $596,370 $394 50
73 Van Cortlandt Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,482 (-9%) 7mo $610,000 $412 49
10 Pine Brook Rd 0.56mi 3/3.0 1,824 (+12%) 1mo $810,000 $444 46
48 Pershing Ave 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,463 (-10%) 2mo $675,000 $461 45
50 Snowden Ave 0.67mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,444 (-11%) 7mo $530,000 $367 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$64,700
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$181,536
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10562

Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,678 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$772
Net cashflow
$1,524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
48 Ferris Pl Ossining, NY 3.0 1.0 1080 $3,000 $2.78 18d 1 0.19mi
5 Brandreth St Unit 2A Ossining, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $3,900 $3.39 4d 1 0.66mi
51 Iroquois Rd Ossining, NY 4.0 2.0 1703 $4,950 $2.91 24d 1 0.67mi
42 Cedar Ln Ossining, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 975 $2,995 $3.07 1d 1 0.70mi
217 N Highland Ave Ossining, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1075 $4,687 $4.36 1d 4 0.90mi
90 S Highland Ave Unit 6 Ossining, NY 2.0 1.5 1092 $3,500 $3.21 5d 1 0.92mi
76 State St Unit 10 Ossining, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,750 $2.50 43d 1 1.08mi
1 Harbor Sq Ossining, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 894 $5,795 $6.48 1d 8 1.09mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 34-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $200,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,141
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,000
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,531
− Management
−$3,531
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$16,057
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,854
After-tax cash flow
$14,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ossining Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3622020
Math proficiency
72% ▲ 27.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 25.00%
Median HH income
$78,402
Composite
63.75/100
National rank
#599
State rank
#104 of 590 in NY

Livability — Ossining

Score
80/100
State rank
#116
US rank
#1876

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ossining, NY
County
Westchester County · 709,332 people
City population
33,793
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
33,793
Household income
$115,697
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
1248.0

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,028,035 people
By 2030
1,051,636 · +2.3%
By 2040
1,098,520 · +6.9%
By 2050
1,136,044 · +10.5%
By 2075
1,196,925 · +16.4%
By 2100
1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 11% Black 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -605.12%
Current HPI
251.6831
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.0% since first listed
38 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-30 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-01 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-29 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-15 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-01 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-19 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-23 Price Changed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-29 Listed $450,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $377,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-31 Sold (MLS) $377,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-02 Price Changed $375,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-10 Listed $400,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-16 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-26 Listed $425,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-29 Sold (MLS) $110,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-21 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-10 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-21 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-24 Price Changed $149,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-10 Price Changed $164,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-20 Listed $174,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $434,452 Public Records
  • 2013-01-15 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2013-01-15 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-10 Price Changed HGMLS
  • 2012-11-09 Price Changed HGMLS
  • 2012-11-07 Price Changed HGMLS
  • 2012-10-05 Price Changed HGMLS
  • 2012-09-07 Price Changed HGMLS
  • 2012-08-06 Price Changed HGMLS
  • 2012-07-11 Listed HGMLS
  • 2012-07-11 Listed $84,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $298,700 Public Records
  • 2006-05-03 Sold (MLS) $290,000 HGMLS
  • 2006-02-23 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2006-02-23 Price Changed $309,999 HGMLS
  • 2005-08-29 Listed $290,000 HGMLS

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $15,685 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…