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303 N Main St
B Composite 73.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

303 N Main St · Campbell, MO 63933
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · Other public records · 397 Days on market
Built 1940 5,410 sqft lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute home on Main St, within walking distance to downtown Campbell. 2 Bedroom 2 Bath , New roof put on in 2024 Very sweet home, with accent wood wall in living room and one of the bedrooms serves as a primary bedroom with bathroom. Some appliances stay

Key facts

  • Accent wood wall
  • New roof
  • 5,410 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW ROOFACCENT WOOD WALL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#358 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Campbell R-II (rural): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #264 of 324 in MO (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Dunklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $709 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $260 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Dunklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 397 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 397 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.48%
Cash-on-cash
29.25%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$27,566
Equity at exit
$20,186
10-year hold
IRR
33.6%
Equity multiple
4.86×
Total profit
$70,253
Equity at exit
$25,337

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63933

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $294/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $497
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Cute home on Main St, within walking distance to downtown Campbell. 2 Bedroom 2 Bath , New roof put on in 2024 Very sweet home, with accent wood wall in living room and one of the bedrooms serves as a primary bedroom with bathroom. Some appliances stay

  2. 2026-01-13
    price $65,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Cute home on Main St, within walking distance to downtown Campbell. 2 Bedroom 2 Bath , New roof put on in 2024 Very sweet home, with accent wood wall in living room and one of the bedrooms serves as a primary bedroom with bathroom. Some appliances stay

  3. 2025-09-30
    price $72,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Cute home on Main St, within walking distance to downtown Campbell. 2 Bedroom 2 Bath , New roof put on in 2024 Very sweet home, with accent wood wall in living room and one of the bedrooms serves as a primary bedroom with bathroom. Some appliances stay

  4. 2025-05-20
    price $80,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Cute home on Main St, within walking distance to downtown Campbell. 2 Bedroom 2 Bath , New roof put on in 2024 Very sweet home, with accent wood wall in living room and one of the bedrooms serves as a primary bedroom with bathroom. Some appliances stay

  5. 2025-04-08
    listed $90,000 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Cute home on Main St, within walking distance to downtown Campbell. 2 Bedroom 2 Bath , New roof put on in 2024 Very sweet home, with accent wood wall in living room and one of the bedrooms serves as a primary bedroom with bathroom. Some appliances stay

  6. 2001-03-01
    soldstatus
  7. 2001-02-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$294 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$630 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$336/yr (+$28/mo · 114.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,700
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$294
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,016
− Management
−$1,016
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,084
After-tax cash flow
$4,239/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Campbell R-II
NCES district ID
2907050
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$30,610
Composite
26.01/100
National rank
#7316
State rank
#264 of 324 in MO

Livability — Campbell

Score
63/100
State rank
#358
US rank
#15784

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Campbell, MO
Population (ZIP)
3,099

Population outlook (Dunklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,599 people
By 2030
27,230 · -4.8%
By 2040
24,696 · -13.6%
By 2050
22,402 · -21.7%
By 2075
17,776 · -37.8%
By 2100
13,890 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dunklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.3pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+30.2 2008: R+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.40%
Current HPI
112.5422
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $72,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-20 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $90,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-02-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $294 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…