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32 Pine Dr
C Composite 55.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

32 Pine Dr · Hogansville, GA 30230
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1958 0.46 ac lot Est $219k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

100% USDA Financing available. Cozy ranch home, 2 bedroom, 2 bath with new HVAC, new Roof and fresh paint throughout. Convenient location to 1-85. Must see! Call today!

Key facts

  • 0.46 acre lot
  • Built 1958
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.46-acre lot
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA loan, and VA loan
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential resale; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1958; Composition roof; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric and natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Den; Mud room; Laundry room; One-level living; No basement; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in mud room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (4.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.6% in Hogansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#425 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Troup County (rural): math 26% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #109 of 174 in GA (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Hogansville Elementary School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 439 students, 94% FRL); Callaway Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #381 of 470 statewide, top 82%, 759 students, 94% FRL); Callaway High School (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #264 of 424 statewide, top 63%, 921 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 58% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 474 units permitted in Troup County in 2024 (87 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Troup County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $94k; list at $145k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,104 (4.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.83%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$219,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Green Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,454 (+3%) 2mo $240,000 $165 59
500 Lincoln St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,400 (-1%) 18mo $95,000 $68 57
100 International St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,493 (+5%) 5mo $164,900 $110 51
103 Greene Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,444 (+2%) 16mo $184,000 $127 49
102 Dickinson St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,472 (+4%) 12mo $255,000 $173 49
208 Royal Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,268 (-10%) 4mo $205,000 $162 42
104 Dickinson St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,528 (+8%) 13mo $254,000 $166 42
404 Lincoln St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,204 (-15%) 6mo $149,000 $124 41
115 International St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,514 (+7%) 20mo $253,100 $167 40
108 Corinth Rd 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,308 (-8%) 15mo $57,000 $44 38
103 Blue Creek Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,222 (-14%) 14mo $112,780 $92 30
200 Askew Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,612 (+14%) 22mo $250,000 $155 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-13,109
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,905
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30230

Home prices YoY
-9.5%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,391 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,377/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,184
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
108 International St Hogansville, GA 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,195 $0.95 1d 1 0.60mi
406 E Main St Hogansville, GA 2.0 1.5 900 $999 $1.11 24d 1 1.14mi
406 E Main St Hogansville, GA 2.0 1.5 900 $999 $1.11 44d 1 1.14mi
306 Foxtrot Trl Hogansville, GA 4.0 2.0 1603 $1,825 $1.14 20d 1 1.16mi
225 Brooks Rd Hogansville, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.27mi
228 Fox Chase Way Hogansville, GA 4.0 3.0 1811 $1,925 $1.06 13d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $145,000 Under Contract 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 New 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 New 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    remarks 303-char remark
  5. 2026-06-14
    listed $145,000 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,377 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,377 · $115/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,692
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,377
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,335
− Management
−$1,335
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$420
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$101
After-tax cash flow
$2,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Troup County
NCES district ID
1300001
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,354
Composite
23.3/100
National rank
#7920
State rank
#109 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hogansville

Score
58/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#20915

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
9,022
Population (ZIP)
9,022

Population outlook (Troup County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,537 people
By 2030
78,250 · +3.6%
By 2040
83,184 · +10.1%
By 2050
87,167 · +15.4%
By 2075
95,643 · +26.6%
By 2100
94,234 · +24.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Troup

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.4) · D 37.6% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -24.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.4 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+23.4 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.98%
Current HPI
315.5032
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+222.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $145,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-15 Sold (MLS) $94,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-10-31 Pending GAMLS
  • 2020-10-30 Listed $94,000 GAMLS
  • 2010-01-07 Price Changed $39,900 GAMLS
  • 2009-12-18 Price Changed $44,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,377 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…