2233 W 5th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$959,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
FINISHED BASEMENT W/BATH SUMMER KITCHEN. 1ST FLR KITCHEN, NEW PARQUET FLOORS. LARGE YARD. SEPARATE ENT. TO BASEMENT. BEST HOUSE FOR THIS PRICE. OWNER WANTS OFFERS. FULL POSSESSION.
Key facts
- 1,675 sq ft lot
- Listed 2684 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two-unit multi-family property (2 units total); one unit owner-occupied, one unit leased
- Financial info: Financing available: bank mortgage or cash
Exterior
- Parking: No on-site parking
- Utilities: 220V electric; Gas hot water; Gas heating; Steam/radiator heat
- Home design: Detached residential building; Two-story building; Building dimensions approximately 50.00 x 15.00; Building footprint about 750
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Flat rubber roof; Poured concrete foundation; Property zoned R5
- Exterior features: Back yard; Side yard; Siding exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (one on 1st floor, one on 2nd floor)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas heating; 220V electric
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Hardwood floors; Tile floors; No central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $959k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $317/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $794k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $794k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,942/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 6011% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 2684 days — a 12% lower offer ($844k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $510k; list at $959k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 2684 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.84%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,048,800
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2032 W 4th St | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 5mo | $1,196,000 | $831 | 76 |
| 450 Lake St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,292 (-9%) | 11mo | $1,110,000 | $859 | 67 |
| 26 Bay 41 St | 0.60mi | 4/3.5 | 1,428 (+0%) | 1mo | $1,200,000 | $840 | 64 |
| 2030 W 8th St | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 | 1,280 (-10%) | 1mo | $990,000 | $773 | 61 |
| 2574 Stillwell Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,504 (+6%) | 8mo | $998,000 | $664 | 51 |
| 2552 East 2nd St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,480 (+4%) | 10mo | $1,150,000 | $777 | 50 |
| 145 Bay 41 St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,540 (+8%) | 14mo | $995,000 | $646 | 43 |
| 1885 W 11th St | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 | 1,488 (+4%) | 19mo | $1,095,000 | $736 | 43 |
| 1871 West 8th St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+12%) | 9mo | $850,000 | $531 | 39 |
| 2701 86th St | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,590 (+12%) | 20mo | $880,000 | $553 | 38 |
| 322 Avenue S | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 1,608 (+13%) | 23mo | $1,165,000 | $725 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-73,480
- Equity at exit
- $142,990
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $177,131
- Equity at exit
- $82,917
Cash invested: $268,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11223
- Rents YoY
- 13.1%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 20.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,942 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,029
- Tax from tax record
- −$211 /mo · $2,528/yr
- Insurance
- −$400
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,668
- Net cashflow
- $635
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $7,942 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,971 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,971 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,942 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $239,750
- Closing costs
- $28,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8642 26th Ave Unit 3 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,100 | $2.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2538 E 2nd St Unit 2 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2321 81st St Unit 1 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1199 | $2,499 | $2.08 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2957 Shell Rd Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $5,550 | $4.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 602 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $5,299 | $4.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 532 Neptune Ave Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $5,725 | $6.04 | 7d | 8 | 1.01mi |
| 187 Bay 31st St #1 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $5,200 | $2.89 | 19d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $959,000 Active 2684 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $959,000 Active 2683 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $959,000 Active 2681 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $959,000 Active 2679 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $959,000 Active 2675 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $959,000 Active 2674 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $959,000 Active 2669 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $959,000 Active 2667 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $959,000 Active 2666 DOM
-
2019-03-22price $959,000
-
2019-02-11$919,000 Active
-
2007-10-09soldstatus $510,000
-
2007-03-01$528,000 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
FINISHED BASEMENT W/BATH SUMMER KITCHEN. 1ST FLR KITCHEN, NEW PARQUET FLOORS. LARGE YARD. SEPARATE ENT. TO BASEMENT. BEST HOUSE FOR THIS PRICE. OWNER WANTS OFFERS. FULL POSSESSION.
-
1984-10-30soldstatus $93,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,528 · $211/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,367 · $781/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,840/yr (+$570/mo · 270.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $95,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$53,719
- − Property taxes
- −$2,528
- − Insurance
- −$4,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,624
- − Management
- −$7,624
- − Depreciation
- −$27,898
- Taxable loss
- −$8,884
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,751/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,093
- Household income
- $63,368
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6011.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Asian 26% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 4% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · China, Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Chinese 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -286.92%
- Current HPI
- 430.9891
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.09%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+931.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2019-03-22 Price Changed $959,000 BNYMLS
- 2019-02-11 Listed $919,000 BNYMLS
- 2007-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $510,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-01 Listed $528,000 BNYMLS
- 1984-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,528 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…