🏗️ New Construction
Alden Plan · Oswego, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.9/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Alden plan available at Piper Glen in Oswego, IL! The home offers a total of around 1,500 square feet and features a modern, open design.
Key facts
- Modern design
- Open layout
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $326k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-820 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $301k (7.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $286k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $286k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in IL, #1,366 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Southbury Elem School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #503 of 2,056 statewide, top 25%, 581 students, 0% FRL); Traughber Jr High School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #284 of 665 statewide, top 44%, 1,135 students, 0% FRL); Oswego High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,901 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 358 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 60d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 710 days — a 12% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $61k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 710 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.37%
- DSCR
- 0.63
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $419,820
- List price
- $325,990
- Delta
- -22.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743 Alberta Ave | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,474 (0%) | 0mo | $376,925 | $256 | 92 |
| 739 Alberta Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,474 (0%) | 2mo | $378,205 | $257 | 87 |
| 712 Alberta Ave | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,474 (0%) | 11mo | $379,990 | $258 | 84 |
| 714 Alberta Ave | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,474 (0%) | 14mo | $379,990 | $258 | 83 |
| 741 Alberta Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,573 (+7%) | 1mo | $389,255 | $247 | 81 |
| 740 Alberta Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,573 (+7%) | 2mo | $390,145 | $248 | 80 |
| 721 Alberta Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (+7%) | 0mo | $406,055 | $258 | 80 |
| 717 Alberta Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (+7%) | 0mo | $399,075 | $254 | 79 |
| 730 Alberta Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,573 (+7%) | 6mo | $389,990 | $248 | 77 |
| 735 Alberta Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (+7%) | 8mo | $379,990 | $242 | 72 |
| 716 Alberta Ave | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,573 (+7%) | 14mo | $399,990 | $254 | 72 |
| 456 Bower Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,695 (+15%) | 13mo | $440,990 | $260 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-115,801
- Equity at exit
- $62,596
- IRR
- -23.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-149,307
- Equity at exit
- $36,298
Cash invested: $117,550 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 19 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.5 mo (18%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $417,515 ($247/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 112 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 60543
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,860 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,202
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$525 /mo · $6,297/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$178
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$601
- Net cashflow
- $-820
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-530 | -5% $-675 | +0% $-820 | +5% $-965 | +10% $-1,110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,046 | -5% $-933 | +0% $-820 | +5% $-707 | +10% $-594 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-608 | -0.5pp $-713 | base $-820 | +0.5pp $-929 | +1.0pp $-1,039 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,955
- Closing costs
- $12,595
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Lakeshore Dr Unit 120 Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 400 Gloria Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1829 | $2,495 | $1.36 | 10d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 137 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 42d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 119 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,900 | $1.86 | 92d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 157 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,751 | $1.76 | 92d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 501 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1874 | $3,300 | $1.76 | 0d | 12 | 1.37mi |
| 182 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $3,501 | $2.00 | 59d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 513 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $3,000 | $1.86 | 92d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 517 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1747 | $2,900 | $1.66 | 92d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 519 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,700 | $1.73 | 92d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 519 Vinca Ln Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $3,401 | $2.18 | 59d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 254 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1559 | $2,651 | $1.70 | 92d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 279 Dorset Ave Oswego, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $4,000 | $2.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $325,990 Active 710 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $325,990 Active 708 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $325,990 Active 707 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $325,990 Active 706 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $325,990 Active 705 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $325,990 Active 702 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $325,990 Active 700 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $325,990 Active 699 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $325,990 Active 697 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $325,990 Active 695 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $325,990 Active 694 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $325,990 Active 693 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $325,990 Active 692 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $325,990 Active 691 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $325,990 Active 689 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $325,990 Active 688 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $325,990 Active 687 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $325,990 Active 686 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $325,990 Active 685 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $325,990 Active 684 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $325,990 Active 683 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $325,990 Active 682 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $325,990 Active 680 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $325,990 Active 678 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $325,990 Active 677 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $325,990 Active 676 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $325,990 Active 675 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $325,990 Active 674 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $325,990 Active 673 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $325,990 Active 672 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $325,990 Active 671 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $325,990 Active 670 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $325,990 Active 669 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $325,990 Active 668 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $325,990 Active 667 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $325,990 Active 665 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $325,990 Active 663 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $325,990 Active 662 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,990 Active 659 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,990 Active 658 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,990 Active 657 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,990 Active 656 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,990 Active 654 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,990 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,990 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,990 Active 648 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $325,990 Active 645 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,990 Active 644 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,990 Active 643 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,990 Active 642 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,516
- − Property taxes
- −$6,297
- − Insurance
- −$2,099
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,746
- − Management
- −$2,746
- − HOA
- −$2,136
- − Depreciation
- −$12,213
- Taxable loss
- −$17,433
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,184
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,654/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This Alden plan home in Oswego, IL is in excellent condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for a move-in-ready home with potential for further value enhancement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — Improves energy efficiency and adds modern amenities ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- CUSD 308
- NCES district ID
- 1730270
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,945
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6028
- State rank
- #179 of 620 in IL
Livability — Oswego
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #1366
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kendall County · 138,283 people
- City population
- 43,047
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,047
- Household income
- $119,371
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Kendall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,283 people
- By 2030
- 144,935 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 156,944 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 165,424 · +19.6%
- By 2075
- 174,715 · +26.3%
- By 2100
- 168,523 · +21.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kendall
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.7 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+4.1 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.42%
- Current HPI
- 210.3944
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.47%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-15.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $325,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $415,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $414,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $413,990 Zillow
- 2025-11-25 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-11-19 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $433,990 Zillow
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $431,990 Zillow
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $421,990 Zillow
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $401,990 Zillow
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $391,990 Zillow
- 2025-01-02 Price Changed $389,990 Zillow
- 2024-08-21 Listed $386,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…