424 59th St · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$470,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Excellent opportunity for first-time homebuyers and investors alike! This well-maintained single-family residence features 4 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering comfort and versatility for families of all sizes. The roof is old but it's in good shape, central A/C system installed in 2022., accordion shutters The bright, open floor plan is filled with natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout the home. Step outside to your private backyard oasis, complete with a variety of mature fruit trees—avocado, mango, coconut, guava, and more, perfect for relaxation or entertaining. Ideally located near schools, shopping, dining, and major highways, this ho
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Mature fruit trees
- Central a/c system
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed (per listing details)
- HOA & community: Community amenities: Park, Cafe/Restaurant
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Multi/split levels; Entry level living area; Faces north
- Construction: Concrete / CBS construction; Composition shingle roof; Built on a foundation with entry-level living area
- Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s); Fenced yard; Fruit trees on the lot; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Split bedroom layout; Blinds and sliding windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $470k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $389k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $389k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Northmore Elementary School (math 34% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 628 students, 73% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($414k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $470k implies a 1206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.06%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-54,723
- Equity at exit
- $70,079
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-19,864
- Equity at exit
- $40,637
Cash invested: $131,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33407
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,894 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,465
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $965/yr
- Insurance
- −$196
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$818
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $117,500
- Closing costs
- $14,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 56th St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $3,800 | $3.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 517 55th St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $4,550 | $3.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5600 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $6,000 | $5.03 | 20d | 8 | 0.21mi |
| 5203 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $6,000 | $4.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 424 51st St Unit 426 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $3,500 | $2.85 | 11d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 436 51st St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $3,750 | $3.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5200 N Flagler Dr #2004 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $3,800 | $3.08 | 7d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5200 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $3,375 | $2.74 | 24d | 2 | 0.42mi |
| 5101 Spruce Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1151 | $3,100 | $2.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 522 W 2nd St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,895 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4444 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,579 | $3.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 401 42nd St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $4,950 | $4.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 401 42nd St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $4,950 | $3.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 65 W 16th St Apt 1 Riviera Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,500 | $2.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 65 W 16th St Apt 1 Riviera Beach, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,500 | $2.92 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 436 38th St West Palm Beach, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1479 | $6,500 | $4.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 619 37th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $3,350 | $2.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 230 Colonial Ln Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $20,000 | $13.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 701 37th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $3,600 | $2.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,900 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,900 | $2.61 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 636 35th St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $3,500 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 306 34th St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1443 | $4,650 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3415 N Flagler Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $9,950 | $8.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3410 Poinsettia Ave West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1257 | $3,350 | $2.67 | 11d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 120 Inlet Way #204 Palm Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $10,000 | $7.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1401 W 9th St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $3,200 | $2.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 106 Linda Ln #4 Palm Beach Shores, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1118 | $3,500 | $3.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 517 31st St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1406 | $3,150 | $2.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $470,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $470,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $470,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $470,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $470,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $470,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $470,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $470,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $470,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $470,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $470,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $470,000
-
2026-01-20$500,000 Active
-
2008-12-13historical
-
2007-12-13$265,000
-
1991-05-08soldstatus $36,000
-
1990-11-01soldstatus $33,649
-
1985-08-01soldstatus $44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $965 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,901 · $325/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,936/yr (+$245/mo · 304.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,327
- − Property taxes
- −$965
- − Insurance
- −$2,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,739
- − Management
- −$3,739
- − Depreciation
- −$13,673
- Taxable loss
- −$4,059
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$974
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 222,012
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,851
- Household income
- $59,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2157.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.26%
- Current HPI
- 363.3995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+946.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $470,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $500,000 Beaches MLS
- 2008-12-13 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-12-13 Listed $265,000 Beaches MLS
- 1991-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 1990-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,649 Public Records
- 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $965 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…