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5854 Wright Dr
C+ Composite 63.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$145,000

5854 Wright Dr · Merrydale, LA 70812
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,454 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 1983 10,018 sqft lot Est $166k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This house can be either a great starter home or rental property; it is within walking distance of Glen Oaks Park Elementary. The house has been a rental property over the last several years and could use some TLC. Current owner has had no trouble leasing the property.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1983
  • Listed 187 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick, masonite and cement siding construction; Slab foundation; Built with composition roof
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot approx. 0.23 acres (125 x 80)

Interior

  • Flooring: Tile; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Tile and ceramic tile flooring; Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#301 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $145k implies a 680% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.37%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,756
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6142 Wright Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,457 (+0%) 8mo $165,000 $113 82
6008 Matthews St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,450 (-0%) 14mo $166,000 $114 65
7754 Grayson Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,357 (-7%) 13mo $154,900 $114 63
6156 Lanier Dr 0.24mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,514 (+4%) 16mo $199,900 $132 62
6040 Lanier Dr 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,250 (-14%) 9mo $169,999 $136 60
7819 Greenwell St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,293 (-11%) 6mo $107,500 $83 59
7822 Phebus Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,524 (+5%) 14mo $169,000 $111 55
5238 Dickens Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,625 (+12%) 3mo $150,000 $92 54
6855 Dalark Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-11%) 3mo $158,900 $122 52
6777 Oak Park Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+11%) 9mo $149,900 $93 44
7224 Poinsetta Dr 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,235 (-15%) 0mo $175,000 $142 38
7625 Glen Lea Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,612 (+11%) 13mo $165,000 $102 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$52,854
Equity at exit
$90,512
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$146,586
Equity at exit
$163,588

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70812

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,481 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,006/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,251
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8614 Forestwood Ave Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1313 $1,700 $1.29 14d 1 0.48mi
9173 Cedar Ct Baton Rouge, LA 4.0 2.0 1405 $1,596 $1.14 14d 1 0.77mi
5255 Astoria Dr Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1463 $1,295 $0.89 43d 1 0.83mi
9062 Cedar Ct Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,158 $0.86 23d 1 0.83mi
7745 S Maribel Ct Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1682 $1,500 $0.89 21d 1 1.10mi
7745 S Maribel Ct Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1682 $1,500 $0.89 44d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 186 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 185 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 184 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 178 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 176 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active 173 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 172 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 171 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 170 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 169 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 168 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    status Active 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    This house can be either a great starter home or rental property; it is within walking distance of Glen Oaks Park Elementary. The house has been a rental property over the last several years and could use some TLC. Current owner has had no trouble leasing the property.

  17. 2026-05-22
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    This house can be either a great starter home or rental property; it is within walking distance of Glen Oaks Park Elementary. The house has been a rental property over the last several years and could use some TLC. Current owner has had no trouble leasing the property.

  18. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    This house can be either a great starter home or rental property; it is within walking distance of Glen Oaks Park Elementary. The house has been a rental property over the last several years and could use some TLC. Current owner has had no trouble leasing the property.

  19. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    This house can be either a great starter home or rental property; it is within walking distance of Glen Oaks Park Elementary. The house has been a rental property over the last several years and could use some TLC. Current owner has had no trouble leasing the property.

  20. 2025-12-02
    status Active
  21. 2025-11-19
    status Pending
  22. 2025-10-30
    listed $145,000 Active 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    This house can be either a great starter home or rental property; it is within walking distance of Glen Oaks Park Elementary. The house has been a rental property over the last several years and could use some TLC. Current owner has had no trouble leasing the property.

  23. 2025-10-30
    listed $145,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    This house can be either a great starter home or rental property; it is within walking distance of Glen Oaks Park Elementary. The house has been a rental property over the last several years and could use some TLC. Current owner has had no trouble leasing the property.

  24. 2006-05-24
    soldstatus $18,598

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,006 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,006 · $167/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,769
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,006
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,421
− Management
−$1,421
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$35
After-tax cash flow
$2,216/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Merrydale

Score
58/100
State rank
#301
US rank
#21115

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Merrydale, LA
City population
11,124
Population (ZIP)
11,124

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% White 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.93%
Current HPI
174.6882
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+679.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $145,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2006-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $18,598 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,006 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…