3444 W Center St #43 · Riverside, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 22 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful home located in Fruition new community all age Mobile Home Park features 3 bedrooms 2 bathroom open kitchen to living room, small shed, carport for 2 vehicles . Don't miss out on this great opportunity home is only 1 year old.
Key facts
- Small shed
- Community pool
- Built 2024
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
- Riverside Unified (urban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #574 of 1,400 in CA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 42 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,176/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 900% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 241 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 241 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.50%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,155
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- 1.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3444 Center St #13 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,223 (-1%) | 1mo | $202,033 | $165 | 98 |
| 3444 Center St #11 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-2%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $179 | 85 |
| 2851 S La Cadena Dr #130 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-12%) | 7mo | $159,000 | $147 | 62 |
| 2851 S La Cadena #123 Dr #123 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+9%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 2851 S La Cadena Dr #72 | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+9%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $138 | 49 |
| 2851 S La Cadena #100 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-6%) | 20mo | $140,000 | $122 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $39,514
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $100,962
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92501
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,176 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$667
- Net cashflow
- $1,230
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,358 | -5% $1,294 | +0% $1,230 | +5% $1,166 | +10% $1,102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $979 | -5% $1,105 | +0% $1,230 | +5% $1,356 | +10% $1,481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,323 | -0.5pp $1,277 | base $1,230 | +0.5pp $1,182 | +1.0pp $1,134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 N Orange St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $4,999 | $4.63 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1054 Orange St Unit 207 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,750 | $2.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1151 Clark St Riverside, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 19173 Sequoia Grove St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $3,250 | $2.70 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7440 Fig Grove Ln Unit 7440 Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1257 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7512 Fig Grove Ln Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $3,500 | $2.48 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7281 Olive Grove St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1257 | $3,075 | $2.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3812 Carrotwood St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1381 | $2,900 | $2.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3516 Tyco Dr Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $2,600 | $2.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3647 Elliotta Dr Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,895 | $2.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3523 Strong St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1126 | $3,200 | $2.84 | 11d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3745 Strong St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,995 | $2.55 | 5d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 3845 Strong St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $2,800 | $2.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 220 DOM
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2025-10-23$185,000 Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Beautiful home located in Fruition new community all age Mobile Home Park features 3 bedrooms 2 bathroom open kitchen to living room, small shed, carport for 2 vehicles . Don't miss out on this great opportunity home is only 1 year old.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 22 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,049
- − Management
- −$3,049
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $12,566
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,016
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,748/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates that could further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality in high-traffic areas.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality in high-traffic areas. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverside Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633150
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,038
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #7563
- State rank
- #574 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Riverside
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #11613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverside, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 367,890
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,934
- Household income
- $81,886
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% White 27% Two or more races 12% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Portuguese 2% American 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 41% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.22%
- Current HPI
- 457.2511
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.13%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-23 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…