676 Highway 50 · Delta, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 676 Highway 50 #7 in Four Seasons, mobile home community in Delta. This well-kept home offers a comfortable and inviting layout with bright living spaces, large windows, and charming wood-paneled accents throughout. The kitchen features abundant cabinetry, generous counter space, a breakfast bar, gas cooktop, and convenient access to the covered porch. Inside, you’ll also find spacious rooms, built-in storage, ceiling fans, in-home laundry, and a full bathroom with vanity storage. Recent updates include new paint, new carpet, and new light fixtures, giving the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. Outside, enjoy mature shade trees, a fenced outdoor area, covered entry, ramp acc
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Fenced outdoor area
- In-home laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease in effect (monthly land lease of $1,000; lease expires December 31, 2026); Located in a senior community
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Manufactured home located in-park (mobile home); Individual ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Built as a manufactured/mobile home; Approximate living area 896
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl siding; Located in Four Seasons park; Public water
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 42.7% vs local median 2.8% in Delta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#313 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Delta County Joint District No. 50 (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #38 of 86 in CO (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #430 of 966 statewide, top 47%, 444 students, 61% FRL); Delta Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #145 of 270 statewide, top 55%, 508 students, 53% FRL); Delta High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #196 of 381 statewide, top 53%, 628 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delta County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 130.04%
- DSCR
- 6.79
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,548
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Fox Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+4%) | 22mo | $272,200 | $187 | 53 |
| 1721 Pioneer Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+8%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $208 | 52 |
| 446 B St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $132 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.32×
- Total profit
- $70,654
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.40×
- Total profit
- $160,856
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81416
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,845 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $252/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $1,211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,233 | -5% $1,222 | +0% $1,211 | +5% $1,199 | +10% $1,188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,065 | -5% $1,138 | +0% $1,211 | +5% $1,284 | +10% $1,356 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,231 | -0.5pp $1,221 | base $1,211 | +0.5pp $1,200 | +1.0pp $1,190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $39,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $39,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $45,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $49,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $54,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$54,900 Active
-
2016-07-29historical
-
2014-07-29$38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $252 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $252 · $21/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$252
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,771
- − Management
- −$1,771
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $14,750
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,540
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Delta County Joint District No. 50
- NCES district ID
- 0803330
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,741
- Composite
- 30.33/100
- National rank
- #6268
- State rank
- #38 of 86 in CO
Livability — Delta
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #22051
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Delta, CO
- County
- Delta County · 14,256 people
- City population
- 14,256
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,256
- Household income
- $50,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 289.0
Population outlook (Delta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,529 people
- By 2030
- 25,951 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 22,510 · -18.2%
- By 2050
- 19,460 · -29.3%
- By 2075
- 14,030 · -49.0%
- By 2100
- 9,093 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.5) · D 31.0% · R 66.5% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -35.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.5 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+45.2 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+32.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.96%
- Current HPI
- 278.8786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+44.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $54,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-29 Listing Removed — cren
- 2014-07-29 Listed $38,000 cren
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $252 · +280.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…