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676 Highway 50
D Composite 43.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

676 Highway 50 · Delta, CO 81416
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · Manufactured public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1974 871 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 676 Highway 50 #7 in Four Seasons, mobile home community in Delta. This well-kept home offers a comfortable and inviting layout with bright living spaces, large windows, and charming wood-paneled accents throughout. The kitchen features abundant cabinetry, generous counter space, a breakfast bar, gas cooktop, and convenient access to the covered porch. Inside, you’ll also find spacious rooms, built-in storage, ceiling fans, in-home laundry, and a full bathroom with vanity storage. Recent updates include new paint, new carpet, and new light fixtures, giving the home a fresh, move-in-ready feel. Outside, enjoy mature shade trees, a fenced outdoor area, covered entry, ramp acc

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Fenced outdoor area
  • In-home laundry

Tags

ABUNDANT CABINETRYBREAKFAST BARCOVERED PORCHBUILT-IN STORAGEIN-HOME LAUNDRYFENCED OUTDOOR AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease in effect (monthly land lease of $1,000; lease expires December 31, 2026); Located in a senior community

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Manufactured home located in-park (mobile home); Individual ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Built as a manufactured/mobile home; Approximate living area 896
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl siding; Located in Four Seasons park; Public water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Forced air heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.7% vs local median 2.8% in Delta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#313 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Delta County Joint District No. 50 (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #38 of 86 in CO (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #430 of 966 statewide, top 47%, 444 students, 61% FRL); Delta Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #145 of 270 statewide, top 55%, 508 students, 53% FRL); Delta High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #196 of 381 statewide, top 53%, 628 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Delta County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $38,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.62%
Cap rate
42.70%
Cash-on-cash
130.04%
DSCR
6.79
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$262,548
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
610 Fox Ct 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+4%) 22mo $272,200 $187 53
1721 Pioneer Cir 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+8%) 2mo $315,000 $208 52
446 B St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+3%) 18mo $190,000 $132 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.32×
Total profit
$70,654
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.40×
Total profit
$160,856
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81416

Home prices YoY
-34.0%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,845 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $252/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$1,211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $313
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,233 -5% $1,222 +0% $1,211 +5% $1,199 +10% $1,188
Rent -10% $1,065 -5% $1,138 +0% $1,211 +5% $1,284 +10% $1,356
Rate -1.0pp $1,231 -0.5pp $1,221 base $1,211 +0.5pp $1,200 +1.0pp $1,190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $39,900 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $39,900 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    price $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $49,900 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 11 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 10 DOM
  20. 2026-05-20
    listed $54,900 Active
  21. 2016-07-29
    historical
  22. 2014-07-29
    listed $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$252 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$252 · $21/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,140
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$252
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,771
− Management
−$1,771
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$14,750
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,540
After-tax cash flow
$10,988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Delta County Joint District No. 50
NCES district ID
0803330
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,741
Composite
30.33/100
National rank
#6268
State rank
#38 of 86 in CO

Livability — Delta

Score
57/100
State rank
#313
US rank
#22051

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime C Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Delta, CO
County
Delta County · 14,256 people
City population
14,256
Metro
Montrose, CO
Population (ZIP)
14,256
Household income
$50,243
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
289.0

Population outlook (Delta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,529 people
By 2030
25,951 · -5.7%
By 2040
22,510 · -18.2%
By 2050
19,460 · -29.3%
By 2075
14,030 · -49.0%
By 2100
9,093 · -67.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delta

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.5) · D 31.0% · R 66.5% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -35.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.5 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+45.2 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+32.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.96%
Current HPI
278.8786
Rent YoY
Metro
Montrose, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $54,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-29 Listing Removed cren
  • 2014-07-29 Listed $38,000 cren

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $252 · +280.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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