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2766 County Route 102
C Composite 55.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$36,000

2766 County Route 102 · Addison, NY 14801
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,627 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1890 2.00 ac lot ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Country Property. Home has a new kitchen, large formal dining room and also an eating area in the kitchen. Living room has a wood pellet stove for additional heat. Owners bedroom on the first floor with it's own bath and a walk in closet. Upstairs is 2 bedrooms( one is walk through). Newer double pane windows. 2 large sheds(one was used for a barn) and a green house. Pasture and garden area.

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Shed
  • 2 acres

Tags

2 ACRESSHEDSMALL STABLEOUTDOOR RECREATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Well water
  • Home design: Single-story property; Resale condition
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Agricultural lot; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Water heater; Additional notes: see remarks
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Other interior features (see remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#768 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Jasper-Troupsburg Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #319 of 755 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($249 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $34,920 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.11%
Cap rate
55.93%
Cash-on-cash
177.29%
DSCR
8.89
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.36×
Total profit
$114,488
Equity at exit
$32,432
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
27.05×
Total profit
$262,627
Equity at exit
$69,940

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14801

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$189
Tax est. 1.5%
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$1,489

Break-even live

Break-even rent $315
Max offer price $36,000
Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,000
Closing costs
$1,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2757 County Route 102 Addison, NY 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,200 $1.52 44d 1 0.10mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $36,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $36,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    status $36,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  5. 2026-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2026-04-15
    listed $36,000 Active
  7. 2025-03-11
    listed $39,900 Active
  8. 2017-11-29
    soldstatus $91,150
  9. 2017-10-31
    soldstatus $91,150 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Great Country Property. Home has a new kitchen, large formal dining room and also an eating area in the kitchen. Living room has a wood pellet stove for additional heat. Owners bedroom on the first floor with it's own bath and a walk in closet. Upstairs is 2 bedrooms( one is walk through). Newer double pane windows. 2 large sheds(one was used for a barn) and a green house. Pasture and garden area.

  10. 2017-07-24
    listed $89,900 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Great Country Property. Home has a new kitchen, large formal dining room and also an eating area in the kitchen. Living room has a wood pellet stove for additional heat. Owners bedroom on the first floor with it's own bath and a walk in closet. Upstairs is 2 bedrooms( one is walk through). Newer double pane windows. 2 large sheds(one was used for a barn) and a green house. Pasture and garden area.

  11. 2016-06-13
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,400
− Mortgage interest
−$2,017
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,112
− Management
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$1,047
Taxable income
$18,392
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,414
After-tax cash flow
$13,456/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jasper-Troupsburg Central School District
NCES district ID
3600007
Math proficiency
61% ▲ 9.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$41,266
Composite
50.68/100
National rank
#3935
State rank
#319 of 755 in NY

Livability — Addison

Score
64/100
State rank
#768
US rank
#14729

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,415

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.75%
Current HPI
332.2296
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $36,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-03-11 Listed $39,900 IBRMLS
  • 2017-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $91,150 Public Records
  • 2017-10-31 Sold (MLS) $91,150 UNYREIS
  • 2017-07-24 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,099 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…