2766 County Route 102 · Addison, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$36,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Country Property. Home has a new kitchen, large formal dining room and also an eating area in the kitchen. Living room has a wood pellet stove for additional heat. Owners bedroom on the first floor with it's own bath and a walk in closet. Upstairs is 2 bedrooms( one is walk through). Newer double pane windows. 2 large sheds(one was used for a barn) and a green house. Pasture and garden area.
Key facts
- Outdoor recreation
- Shed
- 2 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Septic tank; Well water
- Home design: Single-story property; Resale condition
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Agricultural lot; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; Water heater; Additional notes: see remarks
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Laminate flooring; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Other interior features (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#768 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Jasper-Troupsburg Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #319 of 755 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($249 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 55.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 177.29%
- DSCR
- 8.89
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.36×
- Total profit
- $114,488
- Equity at exit
- $32,432
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 27.05×
- Total profit
- $262,627
- Equity at exit
- $69,940
Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14801
- Home prices YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$189
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$45 /mo · $540/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $1,489
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,000
- Closing costs
- $1,080
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2757 County Route 102 Addison, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $36,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $36,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $36,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-04-30historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-15$36,000 Active
-
2025-03-11$39,900 Active
-
2017-11-29soldstatus $91,150
-
2017-10-31soldstatus $91,150 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Great Country Property. Home has a new kitchen, large formal dining room and also an eating area in the kitchen. Living room has a wood pellet stove for additional heat. Owners bedroom on the first floor with it's own bath and a walk in closet. Upstairs is 2 bedrooms( one is walk through). Newer double pane windows. 2 large sheds(one was used for a barn) and a green house. Pasture and garden area.
-
2017-07-24$89,900 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Great Country Property. Home has a new kitchen, large formal dining room and also an eating area in the kitchen. Living room has a wood pellet stove for additional heat. Owners bedroom on the first floor with it's own bath and a walk in closet. Upstairs is 2 bedrooms( one is walk through). Newer double pane windows. 2 large sheds(one was used for a barn) and a green house. Pasture and garden area.
-
2016-06-13soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,017
- − Property taxes
- −$540
- − Insurance
- −$180
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$1,047
- Taxable income
- $18,392
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,414
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper-Troupsburg Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600007
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▲ 9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,266
- Composite
- 50.68/100
- National rank
- #3935
- State rank
- #319 of 755 in NY
Livability — Addison
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #768
- US rank
- #14729
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,415
Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,062 people
- By 2030
- 89,793 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 82,353 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 74,286 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 55,589 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 37,587 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Steuben
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.75%
- Current HPI
- 332.2296
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-40.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $36,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-03-11 Listed $39,900 IBRMLS
- 2017-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $91,150 Public Records
- 2017-10-31 Sold (MLS) $91,150 UNYREIS
- 2017-07-24 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,099 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…