CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
39 William Penn Dr
D Composite 42.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$218,000

39 William Penn Dr · Chambersburg, PA 17201
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,320 sqft · Other · 57 Days on market
Built 1975 2,614 sqft lot $165/sqft · at area comps Est $223k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled in the charming Coldbrook Meadows community, this delightful Colonial townhouse offers a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Built in 1975, this well-maintained home features a classic brick and vinyl siding exterior, exuding timeless appeal. Step inside to discover a warm and inviting interior, where natural light dances across the spacious living areas. The main floor boasts plush carpeting and vinyl flooring, creating a cozy atmosphere throughout. Modern appliances, including a dishwasher, microwave, and electric oven/range, make meal prep a breeze. With three bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, this home provides ample space for relaxation and privacy. The convenience o

Key facts

  • Charming porch
  • Rear yard
  • Sidewalks

Tags

COLDBROOK MEADOWS COMMUNITYMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY AREAREAR YARDCHARMING PORCHSIDEWALKSEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions; Above-grade finished area is estimated; Building not winterized

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with 200+ amp and circuit breakers; Electric hot water; Municipal trash service
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Very good overall condition; Built according to assessor records
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Double-hung and wood-frame windows with storm windows
  • Exterior features: Front and rear yard; Sidewalks; Porch(es); Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (one is the primary/master bedroom)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (all upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling equipment
  • Interior features: Stall shower and tub/shower; Dining area; Kitchen with table space; Pantry; Primary bedroom with master bath; Six-panel, storm, and sliding glass doors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $218k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($89/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (13.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
  • Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Falling Spring El Sch (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 284 students, 55% FRL); Chambersburg Area Ms - North (math 18% / reading 52%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 1,045 students, 63% FRL); Chambersburg Area Shs (math 46% / reading 10%, grade F, #362 of 437 statewide, top 83%, 2,348 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 92% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,850 (13.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.15%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$222,643
List price
$218,000
Delta
-2.09%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-32,198
Equity at exit
$32,505
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-16,233
Equity at exit
$18,849

Cash invested: $61,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17201

Home prices YoY
-20.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,888 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,143
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $3,005/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,879
Max offer price $218,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $131 -5% $69 +0% $7 +5% $-54 +10% $-116
Rent -10% $-142 -5% $-67 +0% $7 +5% $82 +10% $157
Rate -1.0pp $117 -0.5pp $63 base $7 +0.5pp $-49 +1.0pp $-107

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,500
Closing costs
$6,540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
871 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $1,950 $1.20 45d 1 0.80mi
829 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $1,950 $1.20 45d 1 0.82mi
825 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $1,950 $1.20 45d 1 0.82mi
801 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $1,950 $1.20 45d 1 0.84mi
824 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $2,050 $1.26 45d 1 0.84mi
804 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $2,050 $1.26 45d 1 0.85mi
902 Setting Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $2,050 $1.26 45d 1 0.89mi
1121 Progress Rd Chambersburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1376 $1,650 $1.20 45d 1 1.00mi
74 Kelhigh Dr Chambersburg, PA 3.0 2.0–2.5 2050 $2,100 $1.02 15d 21 1.14mi
548 Nelson St Chambersburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,500 $1.16 45d 1 1.20mi
9 Delano Dr Chambersburg, PA 3.0 2.5 1860 $2,195 $1.18 45d 1 1.34mi
330 Parkwood Dr Chambersburg, PA 2.0 2.0 1841 $2,300 $1.25 45d 1 1.38mi
111 Delano Dr Chambersburg, PA 3.0 2.5 1825 $2,295 $1.26 45d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $218,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $218,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $218,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $218,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $218,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $218,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $218,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $218,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $218,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $218,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $218,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $218,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $218,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $218,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $218,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $218,000 Active 1812-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,005 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,225 · $269/mo
Expected delta
+$220/yr (+$18/mo · 7.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,662
− Mortgage interest
−$12,211
− Property taxes
−$3,005
− Insurance
−$1,090
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,813
− Management
−$1,813
− Depreciation
−$6,342
Taxable loss
−$3,612
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$867
After-tax cash flow
$956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chambersburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4205550
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$52,666
Composite
32.17/100
National rank
#5787
State rank
#383 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chambersburg

Score
74/100
State rank
#530
US rank
#4894

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chambersburg, PA
County
Franklin County · 56,916 people
City population
27,554
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,554
Household income
$61,234
Rent vs Own
51.6% rent · 48.4% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.07%
Current HPI
247.913
Rent YoY
▲ 4.37%
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $218,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,005 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…