39 William Penn Dr · Chambersburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$218,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the charming Coldbrook Meadows community, this delightful Colonial townhouse offers a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Built in 1975, this well-maintained home features a classic brick and vinyl siding exterior, exuding timeless appeal. Step inside to discover a warm and inviting interior, where natural light dances across the spacious living areas. The main floor boasts plush carpeting and vinyl flooring, creating a cozy atmosphere throughout. Modern appliances, including a dishwasher, microwave, and electric oven/range, make meal prep a breeze. With three bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, this home provides ample space for relaxation and privacy. The convenience o
Key facts
- Charming porch
- Rear yard
- Sidewalks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions; Above-grade finished area is estimated; Building not winterized
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with 200+ amp and circuit breakers; Electric hot water; Municipal trash service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Very good overall condition; Built according to assessor records
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Double-hung and wood-frame windows with storm windows
- Exterior features: Front and rear yard; Sidewalks; Porch(es); Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (one is the primary/master bedroom)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (all upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling equipment
- Interior features: Stall shower and tub/shower; Dining area; Kitchen with table space; Pantry; Primary bedroom with master bath; Six-panel, storm, and sliding glass doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($89/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (13.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
- Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Falling Spring El Sch (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 284 students, 55% FRL); Chambersburg Area Ms - North (math 18% / reading 52%, grade F, #322 of 512 statewide, top 64%, 1,045 students, 63% FRL); Chambersburg Area Shs (math 46% / reading 10%, grade F, #362 of 437 statewide, top 83%, 2,348 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 92% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.15%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,643
- List price
- $218,000
- Delta
- -2.09%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-32,198
- Equity at exit
- $32,505
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-16,233
- Equity at exit
- $18,849
Cash invested: $61,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17201
- Home prices YoY
- -20.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,888 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,143
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $3,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $131 | -5% $69 | +0% $7 | +5% $-54 | +10% $-116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-67 | +0% $7 | +5% $82 | +10% $157 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $117 | -0.5pp $63 | base $7 | +0.5pp $-49 | +1.0pp $-107 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,500
- Closing costs
- $6,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 871 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,950 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 829 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,950 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 825 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,950 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 801 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $1,950 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 824 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,050 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 804 Rising Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,050 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 902 Setting Sun Ln Chambersburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1625 | $2,050 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1121 Progress Rd Chambersburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1376 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 74 Kelhigh Dr Chambersburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2050 | $2,100 | $1.02 | 15d | 21 | 1.14mi |
| 548 Nelson St Chambersburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 9 Delano Dr Chambersburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $2,195 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 330 Parkwood Dr Chambersburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1841 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 111 Delano Dr Chambersburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1825 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $218,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $218,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $218,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $218,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $218,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $218,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $218,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $218,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $218,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $218,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $218,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $218,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $218,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $218,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $218,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$218,000 Active 1812-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,005 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,225 · $269/mo
- Expected delta
- +$220/yr (+$18/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,211
- − Property taxes
- −$3,005
- − Insurance
- −$1,090
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,813
- − Management
- −$1,813
- − Depreciation
- −$6,342
- Taxable loss
- −$3,612
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$867
- After-tax cash flow
- $956/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chambersburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205550
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,666
- Composite
- 32.17/100
- National rank
- #5787
- State rank
- #383 of 539 in PA
Livability — Chambersburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #4894
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chambersburg, PA
- County
- Franklin County · 56,916 people
- City population
- 27,554
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,554
- Household income
- $61,234
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 157,827 people
- By 2030
- 158,933 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 159,060 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 155,132 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 138,545 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 112,321 · -28.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.07%
- Current HPI
- 247.913
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.37%
- Metro
- Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $218,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2026): $3,005 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…