23 Bristol Way · Lewes, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 23 Bristol Way, an adorable 2 bedroom 2 bath turn key home located in Sussex East MHP in Lewes. It has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for over 20 years who have just now decided to let this one go. It has a large 3 season room great for entertaining, rear deck and a split floorplan. There is an indoor pool, dog park and manor house. The lot rent is currently $641.00/mt. This home is being sold in "AS IS" condition and inspections are for informational purposes only. (Lease will renew again on June 1, 2026 with any increase capped as per 25 Del. C. Sec. 7050-7054). Homeowner pays electric, water, sewer, gas, recycling & lawn maintenance. RHP, the community owner, requires an Application from the Buyer, with acceptance based on the following criteria: 1.)income verification, 2.)favorable credit bureau score, including evaluation of debt-to-income ratio, and 3.)clean criminal background check. Financing may be available to qualified borrowers from only a few Lenders that specialize in installment/chattel loans for manufactured homes on leased land. Closing costs will include a 3.75% transfer tax (DMV Doc Fee) & a Settlement Agent fee.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 1987
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 1.7% in Lewes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#40 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 818 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.06%
- DSCR
- 3.54
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,805
- List price
- $84,000
- Delta
- -8.50%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31752 Siham Rd | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-9%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $110 | 61 |
| 32041 Janice Rd #2275 | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 850 (-8%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $135 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $52,931
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 57.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $119,421
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19958
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 818
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $1,118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12001 Old Vine Blvd Lewes, DE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 987 | $3,055 | $3.10 | 13d | 17 | 0.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-19price $84,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $89,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $94,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-05-02$99,900 Active 1194-char remark
Show marketing remark (1194 chars)
Welcome to 23 Bristol Way, an adorable 2 bedroom 2 bath turn key home located in Sussex East MHP in Lewes. It has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for over 20 years who have just now decided to let this one go. It has a large 3 season room great for entertaining, rear deck and a split floorplan. There is an indoor pool, dog park and manor house. The lot rent is currently $641.00/mt. This home is being sold in "AS IS" condition and inspections are for informational purposes only. (Lease will renew again on June 1, 2026 with any increase capped as per 25 Del. C. Sec. 7050-7054). Homeowner pays electric, water, sewer, gas, recycling & lawn maintenance. RHP, the community owner, requires an Application from the Buyer, with acceptance based on the following criteria: 1.)income verification, 2.)favorable credit bureau score, including evaluation of debt-to-income ratio, and 3.)clean criminal background check. Financing may be available to qualified borrowers from only a few Lenders that specialize in installment/chattel loans for manufactured homes on leased land. Closing costs will include a 3.75% transfer tax (DMV Doc Fee) & a Settlement Agent fee.
-
2026-04-19historical $99,900 1194-char remark
Show marketing remark (1194 chars)
Welcome to 23 Bristol Way, an adorable 2 bedroom 2 bath turn key home located in Sussex East MHP in Lewes. It has been lovingly cared for by the same owners for over 20 years who have just now decided to let this one go. It has a large 3 season room great for entertaining, rear deck and a split floorplan. There is an indoor pool, dog park and manor house. The lot rent is currently $641.00/mt. This home is being sold in "AS IS" condition and inspections are for informational purposes only. (Lease will renew again on June 1, 2026 with any increase capped as per 25 Del. C. Sec. 7050-7054). Homeowner pays electric, water, sewer, gas, recycling & lawn maintenance. RHP, the community owner, requires an Application from the Buyer, with acceptance based on the following criteria: 1.)income verification, 2.)favorable credit bureau score, including evaluation of debt-to-income ratio, and 3.)clean criminal background check. Financing may be available to qualified borrowers from only a few Lenders that specialize in installment/chattel loans for manufactured homes on leased land. Closing costs will include a 3.75% transfer tax (DMV Doc Fee) & a Settlement Agent fee.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,064
- − Management
- −$2,064
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $12,848
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,084
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,337/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cape Henlopen School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000170
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,196
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3214
- State rank
- #5 of 26 in DE
Livability — Lewes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #11077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- City population
- 31,938
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,938
- Household income
- $97,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.07%
- Current HPI
- 299.0736
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.77%
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-19 Coming Soon $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $159 · -59.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…